Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 21, 2007

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $44.4000 (1.25%) ($43.7600 - $44.4900) on Thu. Jun. 21, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $44.4000(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(89%)    FXI(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.16(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.31(2.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.79(3.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.7%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.53%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2007	40.15	42.79	43.31	44.16	44.16	44.16	44.4(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	0	11	106	26.64	60%	0.15	51.7	1.2%	0	1.6	55	NAN
2	Jun_20_2007	40.09	42.67	43.01	43.91	44.1	44.16	43.85(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	20	17	81	31.78	59%	0.15	49.5	1.25%	0	1.3	60	NAN
3	Jun_19_2007	40.03	42.59	42.81	43.64	43.79	44.15	44.23(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	70	34	70	20.06	62%	0.18	47.3	1.24%	0	1.9	63	NAN
4	Jun_18_2007	39.96	42.49	42.67	43.13	43.33	44.05	44.18(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	130	51	57	14.04	62%	0.18	38.8	1.27%	0	2.1	65	NAN
5	Jun_15_2007	39.89	42.39	42.55	42.77	42.75	43.44	44.14(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	55	110	57	50	45.04	62%	0.18	33.1	1.28%	0	2.5	63	NAN

6	Jun_14_2007	39.82	42.27	42.45	42.35	42.33	42.62	43.16(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	50	44	41	22.37	59%	0.1	28.8	1.25%	0	1.6	63	NAN
7	Jun_13_2007	39.78	42.22	42.35	41.98	42.03	42.06	42.49(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	10	8	3	32.83	51%	0.1	13.5	1.25%	0	0.5	51	NAN
8	Jun_12_2007	39.74	42.22	42.32	41.87	41.88	42.05	41.68(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	30	-11	-13	31.15	48%	0.13	10.2	1.3%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
9	Jun_11_2007	39.69	42.18	42.34	42.14	42	42	42.39(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10	1	3	22.27	50%	0.13	21.9	1.28%	0	0.4	51	NAN
10	Jun_8_2007	39.64	42.16	42.3	42.3	42.18	41.72	42.03(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-80	-29	-3	42.55	54%	0.13	34.4	1.28%	0	-0.2	49	NAN

11	Jun_7_2007	39.59	42.11	42.24	42.57	42.52	42.01	41.3(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-29	-90	-39	3	65.89	52%	0.1	38.7	1.29%	0	-1.4	46	NAN
12	Jun_6_2007	39.55	42.15	42.35	42.76	42.85	42.65	41.95(-2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-30	-17	25	40.85	61%	0.13	55.1	1.28%	0	-0.3	49	NAN
13	Jun_5_2007	39.5	42.13	42.4	42.81	42.83	42.65	43.03(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	40	17	48	27.28	61%	0.08	63.4	1.33%	0	1.5	65	NAN
14	Jun_4_2007	39.47	42.06	42.32	42.56	42.49	43.04	43.18(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	90	31	46	26.45	61%	0.15	66.9	1.37%	0	2	67	NAN
15	Jun_1_2007	39.41	41.98	42.22	42.31	42.17	42.62	43.38(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	45	60	46	41	24.04	61%	0.18	66.9	1.38%	0	2.7	62	NAN

16	May_31_2007	39.34	41.88	42.22	42.31	41.88	41.93	42.27(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	10	11	13	25.5	57%	0.18	61.3	1.36%	0	1	65	NAN
17	May_30_2007	39.27	41.83	42.07	41.89	41.75	41.72	42.2(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-6	-20	-10	8	35.05	57%	0.15	58.2	1.37%	0	0.9	52	NAN
18	May_29_2007	39.21	41.75	42.01	41.93	41.96	41.83	41.77(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-20	-5	15	20.45	57%	0.18	45.8	1.38%	0	0	55	NAN
19	May_25_2007	39.14	41.68	42	42.04	42.11	41.78	41.92(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-50	-13	12	20.32	47%	0.1	40.1	1.71%	0	0.4	51	NAN
20	May_24_2007	39.1	41.64	42.01	42.11	42.24	42.09	41.28(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-9	-20	-17	17	52.8	47%	0.08	44.4	1.72%	0	-0.6	49	NAN

21	May_23_2007	39.07	41.65	41.99	42.27	42.35	42.44	42.3(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	20	4	29	41.57	50%	0.1	57.7	1.7%	0	1.1	56	NAN
22	May_22_2007	39.03	41.6	41.95	42.25	42.24	42.39	42.37(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	10	36	23.9	50%	0.08	62.6	1.7%	0	1.3	60	NAN
23	May_21_2007	39	41.52	41.85	42.1	42.13	42.27	42.34(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	30	13	38	33.3	50%	0.13	54.7	1.7%	0	1.4	66	NAN
24	May_18_2007	38.95	41.45	41.79	41.95	41.95	42.09	42.28(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	20	6	41	16.46	50%	0.1	45.4	1.69%	0	1.5	67	NAN
25	May_17_2007	38.91	41.38	41.72	41.89	41.85	41.99	42.05(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	13	45	17.95	50%		43.8	1.7%	0	1.3	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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