Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $42.0500 (-0.4%) ($41.7000 - $42.2300) on Thu. May. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $42.0500(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(89%)    FXI(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.89(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.72(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.38(1.62%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.76%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.01%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.19%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2007	38.91	41.38	41.72	41.89	41.85	41.99	42.05(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	13	45	17.95	50%	0.1	43.8	1.7%	0	1.3	57	0
2	May_16_2007	38.87	41.31	41.67	41.67	41.76	41.81	42.22(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	10	7	35	18.25	50%	0.13	31.7	1.72%	0	1.8	56	0
3	May_15_2007	38.82	41.24	41.57	41.62	41.61	41.71	41.63(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	20	2	31	27.39	50%	0.08	41.1	1.71%	0	0.8	52	0
4	May_14_2007	38.79	41.21	41.46	41.55	41.62	41.7	41.57(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	20	6	27	28.34	53%	0.1	44.6	1.71%	0	0.8	56	0
5	May_11_2007	38.75	41.2	41.34	41.61	41.53	41.5	41.98(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10	0	24	21.42	55%	0.13	61.5	1.71%	0	1.7	59	0

6	May_10_2007	38.7	41.15	41.25	41.53	41.58	41.53	40.94(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	0	-0	-6	18	36.29	52%	0.1	70.2	1.69%	0	-0.5	50	0
7	May_9_2007	38.66	41.14	41.29	41.66	41.66	41.56	41.97(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-20	3	35	22.21	54%	0.13	77.8	1.67%	0	1.7	64	0
8	May_8_2007	38.61	41.05	41.21	41.52	41.6	41.62	41.3(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	10	4	32	27.63	54%	0.1	78.2	1.67%	0	0.6	55	0
9	May_7_2007	38.57	41.01	41.18	41.34	41.48	41.75	41.85(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	60	21	29	10.08	54%	0.1	76.9	1.66%	0	1.8	56	0
10	May_4_2007	38.53	40.93	41.07	41.03	41.12	41.58	41.58(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	80	20	8	15.58	54%	0.1	78.7	1.64%	0	1.5	50	0

11	May_3_2007	38.49	40.86	41.01	40.93	40.83	41.2	41.61(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	60	21	4	15.72	54%	0.13	84.5	1.65%	0	1.7	56	0
12	May_2_2007	38.44	40.77	40.9	40.87	40.7	40.66	41.24(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-20	4	-7	26.21	54%	0.1	100.9	1.66%	0	1	55	0
13	May_1_2007	38.4	40.7	40.86	40.89	40.79	40.46	40.44(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-60	-15	-7	28.78	53%	0.1	103.3	1.65%	0	-0.5	57	0
14	Apr_30_2007	38.36	40.65	40.94	40.98	41	40.74	40.28(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-11	-40	-16	3	27.58	55%	0.08	93.1	1.64%	0	-0.6	50	0
15	Apr_27_2007	38.33	40.58	41.06	41.09	41	41.12	41.09(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	10	-4	24	24.46	56%	0.1	81.7	1.63%	0	0.7	61	0

16	Apr_26_2007	38.29	40.48	41.05	41.08	41.08	41.25	41.28(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	30	11	37	20.43	56%	0.1	74.4	1.64%	0	1	64	0
17	Apr_25_2007	38.25	40.33	41	40.94	41.03	41.04	41.35(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	11	37	17.79	51%	0.08	57.4	1.64%	0	1.1	66	0
18	Apr_24_2007	38.22	40.2	40.88	40.85	40.81	40.91	40.9(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	10	-6	28	18.76	51%	0.1	59	1.69%	0	0.8	66	0
19	Apr_23_2007	38.18	40.1	40.84	40.91	40.82	41.03	40.84(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	30	5	47	14.39	54%	0.13	65.8	1.69%	0	0.8	71	0
20	Apr_20_2007	38.13	40.01	40.78	41.03	40.88	40.72	41.05(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	18	-40	2	64	15.98	54%	0.11	81.4	1.7%	0	1.1	76	0

21	Apr_19_2007	38.09	39.9	40.69	41.02	40.94	40.61	40.57(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-60	-16	68	30.47	56%	0.13	90.3	1.7%	0	0.7	73	0
22	Apr_18_2007	38.04	39.82	40.64	41.06	41.05	41.05	40.89(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-0	1	93	16.98	54%	0.13	102.5	1.71%	0	1.1	82	0
23	Apr_17_2007	37.99	39.67	40.53	40.89	40.93	41.26	41.21(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	60	15	99	26.24	54%	0.16	99.6	1.72%	0	1.5	74	0
24	Apr_16_2007	37.93	39.49	40.33	40.74	40.71	41.04	41.45(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	50	24	101	20.17	54%	0.13	94.6	1.71%	0	1.9	75	0
25	Apr_13_2007	37.88	39.26	40.07	40.5	40.48	40.59	40.99(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	20	14	86	11.78	54%		82.2	1.71%	0	1.6	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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