Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 15, 2006

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $36.0700 (0.19%) ($35.8000 - $36.1000) on Wed. Nov. 15, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $36.0700(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(89%)    FXI(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-12%)    LQD(16%)    GLD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.63(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.26(2.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.74(3.83%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.42%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.69%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.36%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.9%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2006	32.54	34.74	35.26	35.63	35.63	35.91	36.07(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	60	27	116	9.69	65%	0.22	67.9	1.16%	0	2	67	0
2	Nov_14_2006	32.47	34.63	35.07	35.44	35.48	35.58	36(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	20	23	96	13.5	65%	0.22	71.9	1.19%	0	2.1	67	0
3	Nov_13_2006	32.4	34.5	34.92	35.26	35.28	35.35	35.45(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	20	2	81	7.75	62%	0.19	77.2	1.18%	0	1.7	67	0
4	Nov_10_2006	32.34	34.43	34.76	35.21	35.24	35.38	35.33(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	18	84	7.72	62%	0.22	92.1	1.19%	0	1.7	68	0
5	Nov_9_2006	32.27	34.36	34.63	35.03	35.14	35.21	35.28(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	20	19	72	13.46	62%	0.16	97.2	1.2%	0	1.9	67	0

6	Nov_8_2006	32.22	34.28	34.55	34.83	34.95	35.1	35.16(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	40	16	62	13.21	62%	0.22	88.2	1.2%	0	1.7	63	0
7	Nov_7_2006	32.15	34.17	34.48	34.63	34.76	35.07	35.07(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	70	21	56	17.5	62%	0.19	81.6	1.2%	0	1.7	64	0
8	Nov_6_2006	32.09	34.08	34.38	34.53	34.57	34.8	35.22(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	50	32	59	17.76	62%	0.19	86.1	1.2%	0	2.1	70	0
9	Nov_3_2006	32.03	33.96	34.24	34.26	34.41	34.45	34.4(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	20	14	30	14.08	57%	0.16	82.7	1.17%	0	0.9	54	0
10	Nov_2_2006	31.98	33.89	34.19	34.18	34.2	34.35	34.29(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	30	-3	16	11.11	57%	0.19	83.7	1.17%	0	0.8	55	0

11	Nov_1_2006	31.92	33.83	34.17	34.24	34.18	34.37	34.19(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	30	10	31	21.52	57%	0.22	84.5	1.18%	0	0.6	56	0
12	Oct_31_2006	31.85	33.75	34.15	34.3	34.21	34.04	34.53(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-40	6	48	15.64	57%	0.22	74.4	1.19%	0	1.1	70	0
13	Oct_30_2006	31.78	33.62	34.06	34.3	34.22	33.99	33.88(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-50	-18	39	13.03	51%	0.13	65	1.17%	0	0.4	62	0
14	Oct_27_2006	31.74	33.54	34.06	34.21	34.27	34.38	34(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	30	-0	64	16.73	51%	0.16	63.9	1.2%	0	0.6	67	0
15	Oct_26_2006	31.69	33.46	34.08	34.2	34.19	34.45	34.58(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	50	21	86	14.02	58%	0.16	66.5	1.19%	0	1.4	73	0

16	Oct_25_2006	31.64	33.35	33.99	34.1	34.05	34.16	34.49(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	20	17	88	13.43	58%	0.13	68.4	1.19%	0	1.5	70	0
17	Oct_24_2006	31.6	33.24	33.85	33.99	33.97	33.93	34.1(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10	3	81	13.89	69%	0.1	64.6	1.18%	0	1.2	72	0
18	Oct_23_2006	31.57	33.15	33.75	33.89	34.03	33.95	33.9(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-0	-3	82	10.94	69%	0.06	61.9	1.3%	0	1	77	0
19	Oct_20_2006	31.55	33.06	33.65	33.89	33.98	34.01	33.93(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	10	-4	93	8.52	59%	0.06	56.5	1.32%	0	1.1	69	0
20	Oct_19_2006	31.53	32.94	33.56	33.93	33.99	34.11	34.09(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	9	107	17.71	69%	0.1	54	1.37%	0	1.5	70	0

21	Oct_18_2006	31.5	32.83	33.46	33.87	33.97	33.96	33.94(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	10	14	100	13.06	69%	0.1	55.4	1.56%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Oct_17_2006	31.47	32.77	33.32	33.67	33.77	33.87	33.61(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	30	3	89	22.28	69%	0.06	53.3	1.56%	0	1.2	65	0
23	Oct_16_2006	31.45	32.69	33.15	33.58	33.59	33.98	34.06(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	80	24	87	12.19	69%	0.06	54.1	1.57%	0	2	69	0
24	Oct_13_2006	31.43	32.61	32.96	33.34	33.33	33.67	33.97(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	70	28	77	20.14	60%	0.06	60.2	1.57%	0	2.3	72	0
25	Oct_12_2006	31.41	32.52	32.79	33.14	33.05	33.21	33.77(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	30	14	64	29.41	60%		61.8	1.65%	0	2.5	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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