Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 15, 2006

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $32.7300 (2.44%) ($32.2800 - $32.7500) on Tue. Aug. 15, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.49% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $32.7300(2.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(89%)    FXI(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-12%)    LQD(16%)    GLD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.245% (StdDev 2.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.12(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.69(3.28%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 2.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.8%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.23%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.07%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2006	32.2	31.69	32	32.12	32.14	32.31	32.73(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	40	12	19	15.63	48%	-0.03	80	2.49%	0	1.4	67	0
2	Aug_14_2006	32.21	31.54	32	31.93	32.05	32.01	31.95(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	0	2	8	13.23	48%	0	53.8	2.48%	0	0.5	59	0
3	Aug_11_2006	32.21	31.41	31.88	31.89	32.02	31.97	31.82(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	0	-3	10	10.01	46%	-0.03	38.3	2.5%	0	0.5	59	0
4	Aug_10_2006	32.22	31.31	31.93	31.92	32.01	32.09	32.21(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	8	30	1	29	16.81	46%	0	31	2.52%	0	0.9	76	0
5	Aug_9_2006	32.22	31.18	31.88	31.86	32.05	32.07	31.89(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	20	4	36	16.47	46%	-0.03	20	2.52%	0	0.7	65	0

6	Aug_8_2006	32.23	31.12	31.82	31.87	31.96	31.93	31.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	0	-1	35	21.19	46%	-0.03	19.2	2.51%	0	0.7	53	0
7	Aug_7_2006	32.24	31.1	31.78	31.82	31.95	32.03	31.77(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	30	0	46	10.21	46%	-0.03	15.5	2.52%	0	0.7	66	0
8	Aug_4_2006	32.25	31.07	31.74	31.87	31.9	31.98	31.97(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	20	1	64	13.25	47%	-0.03	17.4	2.53%	0	1	69	0
9	Aug_3_2006	32.26	31.01	31.55	31.94	31.85	31.87	31.9(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-0	1	71	20.23	47%	-0.03	19	2.53%	0	1	65	0
10	Aug_2_2006	32.27	30.99	31.42	31.9	31.92	31.81	31.93(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-20	4	79	11.77	48%	0	29.2	2.53%	0	1.1	65	0

11	Aug_1_2006	32.27	30.94	31.36	31.76	31.86	31.84	31.52(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	10	-2	78	12.91	48%	0	37.4	2.53%	0	0.7	54	0
12	Jul_31_2006	32.27	30.95	31.18	31.73	31.73	32.03	32.03(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	70	9	69	12.06	48%	0	50.3	2.55%	0	1.2	52	0
13	Jul_28_2006	32.27	30.91	30.91	31.58	31.54	31.89	32.34(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	70	24	55	19.53	48%	0.06	59.4	2.55%	0	1.7	54	0
14	Jul_27_2006	32.25	30.85	30.64	31.1	31.26	31.44	31.66(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	60	15	23	26.69	47%	0	59.1	2.53%	0	1	53	0
15	Jul_26_2006	32.25	30.74	30.42	30.87	30.9	31.19	31.23(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	70	2	-7	21.14	48%	0	48.1	2.53%	0	0.6	47	0

16	Jul_25_2006	32.25	30.62	30.36	30.91	30.85	31.09	31.37(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	50	20	-0	24.09	48%	-0.03	43.3	2.55%	0	0.8	52	0
17	Jul_24_2006	32.26	30.51	30.34	30.56	30.69	30.62	31.28(4.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-0	15	-22	29.59	48%	-0.03	35.5	2.55%	0	0.8	46	0
18	Jul_21_2006	32.27	30.41	30.32	30.14	30.32	30.61	29.94(-1.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-11	80	1	-47	17.35	45%	-0.09	21.3	2.49%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Jul_20_2006	32.3	30.38	30.42	30.09	30.1	30.76	30.53(-2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	150	24	-42	26.59	45%	-0.09	17.1	2.48%	0	0.1	46	0
20	Jul_19_2006	32.33	30.34	30.52	29.89	29.77	30.04	31.43(6.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	50	18	-40	45.47	47%	-0.03	19	2.46%	0	1	61	0

21	Jul_18_2006	32.34	30.22	30.46	29.75	29.61	29.45	29.61(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-50	-17	-47	28.73	45%	-0.12	21.6	2.32%	0	-0.6	59	0
22	Jul_17_2006	32.38	30.17	30.7	30.11	29.99	29.51	29.2(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-120	-23	-12	14.68	45%	-0.09	32.3	2.36%	0	-0.9	54	0
23	Jul_14_2006	32.41	30.2	30.92	30.53	30.43	29.76	29.67(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-16	-160	-28	22	26.45	45%	-0.09	46.2	2.36%	0	-0.5	56	0
24	Jul_13_2006	32.44	30.21	31.09	30.8	30.85	30.47	29.52(-3.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-80	-29	50	29.47	45%	-0.12	55.2	2.38%	0	-0.6	55	0
25	Jul_12_2006	32.48	30.15	31.13	31.22	31.18	31.1	30.73(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-20	-6	81	13.65	47%		55.2	2.33%	0	0.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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