Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 10, 2006

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $36.6300 (-1.08%) ($36.5100 - $37.0500) on Wed. May. 10, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $36.6300(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    FXI(89%)    EWY(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.71(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.06(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.48(3.24%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.58%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.18%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.22%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.2%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2006	32.86	35.48	36.06	36.71	36.8	36.88	36.63(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	20	9	94	11.21	61%	0.21	76.5	1.46%	0	1.2	62	0
2	May_9_2006	32.79	35.32	35.94	36.54	36.62	36.92	37.03(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	60	22	89	4.64	61%	0.28	64.3	1.45%	0	1.7	64	0
3	May_8_2006	32.7	35.15	35.7	36.29	36.33	36.72	37(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	80	35	74	9.24	61%	0.25	58.4	1.45%	0	1.9	65	0
4	May_5_2006	32.62	34.99	35.51	35.92	36.01	36.31	36.73(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	70	31	58	9.86	59%	0.25	55.1	1.49%	0	1.9	72	0
5	May_4_2006	32.54	34.86	35.38	35.6	35.69	35.94	36.15(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	60	23	55	8.97	58%	0.22	58	1.5%	0	1.6	72	0

6	May_3_2006	32.47	34.77	35.29	35.33	35.42	35.71	35.8(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	60	16	54	9.24	56%	0.19	62.9	1.51%	0	1.3	72	0
7	May_2_2006	32.41	34.68	35.25	35.24	35.26	35.44	35.76(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	40	20	73	8.36	53%	0.22	74.2	1.52%	0	1.5	73	0
8	May_1_2006	32.34	34.59	35.2	35.24	35.15	35.13	35.14(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	10	4	70	7.21	52%	0.19	76.1	1.54%	0	0.8	65	0
9	Apr_28_2006	32.28	34.49	35.11	35.03	35.06	35.07	35.13(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	0	-8	72	8.29	52%	0.22	72.6	1.52%	0	0.8	64	0
10	Apr_27_2006	32.21	34.39	34.98	35.13	35.13	35.17	34.81(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	10	-3	76	12.13	52%	0.19	76.9	1.53%	0	0.5	55	0

11	Apr_26_2006	32.15	34.29	34.87	35.24	35.28	35.05	35.37(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-40	-3	76	10.15	56%	0.19	78	1.52%	0	1.2	58	0
12	Apr_25_2006	32.09	34.14	34.68	35.26	35.34	35.09	34.68(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-40	-20	65	12.58	54%	0.19	74.3	1.53%	0	0.6	56	0
13	Apr_24_2006	32.03	34.06	34.59	35.38	35.44	35.51	35.17(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	20	7	83	9.84	55%	0.22	75.5	1.52%	0	1.2	63	0
14	Apr_21_2006	31.96	33.93	34.45	35.17	35.35	35.59	35.63(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	60	29	87	7.17	58%	0.22	69.6	1.54%	0	1.8	76	0
15	Apr_20_2006	31.89	33.77	34.3	34.79	34.94	35.38	35.36(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	100	30	77	12.25	55%	0.25	60.3	1.55%	0	1.7	74	0

16	Apr_19_2006	31.81	33.63	34.2	34.44	34.5	35.12	35.48(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	52	130	44	76	11.62	57%	0.25	51.7	1.6%	0	2.1	76	0
17	Apr_18_2006	31.73	33.47	34.05	34.02	34.05	34.49	35.27(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	43	90	35	65	22.75	57%	0.22	41.5	1.65%	0	2.3	79	0
18	Apr_17_2006	31.66	33.35	33.9	33.7	33.75	33.89	34.13(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	30	13	49	12.52	53%	0.19	45.8	1.6%	0	1.2	63	0
19	Apr_13_2006	31.6	33.28	33.8	33.63	33.7	33.89	33.73(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10	-6	42	9.09	53%	0.19	53.8	1.61%	0	0.7	63	0
20	Apr_12_2006	31.54	33.22	33.74	33.74	33.8	33.6	33.57(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-40	-16	53	7.42	52%	0.16	70.9	1.61%	0	0.5	64	0

21	Apr_11_2006	31.49	33.19	33.68	33.92	33.99	33.8	33.38(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-30	-14	68	17.66	52%	0.19	91.8	1.62%	0	0.3	59	0
22	Apr_10_2006	31.43	33.14	33.58	34.07	34.15	33.99	33.67(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-30	-10	81	10.64	52%	0.16	98.2	1.62%	0	0.7	65	0
23	Apr_7_2006	31.38	33.04	33.51	34.13	34.21	34.19	33.78(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	0	4	90	12.54	52%	0.19	90.7	1.62%	0	0.9	57	0
24	Apr_6_2006	31.32	32.93	33.4	33.97	34.11	34.3	34.31(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	50	17	86	21.63	53%	0.22	71.2	1.62%	0	1.6	63	0
25	Apr_5_2006	31.25	32.76	33.21	33.72	33.82	34.22	34.48(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	90	27	73	12.66	53%		51.7	1.64%	0	2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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