Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 14, 2006

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $32.3000 (2.54%) ($31.4000 - $32.3300) on Tue. Feb. 14, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $32.3000(2.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    FXI(89%)    EWY(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Resistance Level   $32.44
5 Day Moving Average   $32.14(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.42(-0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.44(-0.43%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.07%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.94%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2006	29.13	32.44	32.42	32.14	32.16	31.87	32.3(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-60	-8	-74	14.79	62%	0.17	17.6	1.39%	0	-0.2	51	0
2	Feb_13_2006	29.08	32.38	32.54	32.12	32.2	32.1	31.5(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-10	-30	-73	13	60%	0.14	11.3	1.36%	0	-1.1	45	0
3	Feb_10_2006	29.04	32.39	32.74	32.12	32.36	32.45	32.3(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	10	3	-21	10.59	64%	0.17	21.1	1.32%	0	-0.1	57	0
4	Feb_9_2006	28.99	32.35	32.86	32.42	32.47	32.3	32.35(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-30	-0	9	9.54	66%	0.17	23.3	1.31%	0	0	65	0
5	Feb_8_2006	28.94	32.33	32.94	32.49	32.41	32.26	32.27(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-19	-40	-31	18	13.06	66%	0.17	31.6	1.32%	0	-0.1	54	0

6	Feb_7_2006	28.89	32.29	32.97	32.75	32.63	32.64	32.17(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10	-17	63	12.82	66%	0.17	44.7	1.33%	0	-0.1	61	0
7	Feb_6_2006	28.84	32.28	33	33.04	32.92	32.56	33.03(2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	-90	-9	114	7.11	71%	0.17	67.8	1.28%	0	0.9	67	0
8	Feb_3_2006	28.79	32.21	32.9	33.1	33.07	32.63	32.27(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-100	-45	115	13.24	68%	0.21	83.3	1.26%	0	0.1	58	0
9	Feb_2_2006	28.73	32.15	32.79	33.36	33.34	33.28	32.71(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	25	-10	-16	148	14.2	71%	0.21	96.5	1.24%	0	0.6	61	0
10	Feb_1_2006	28.67	32.06	32.72	33.44	33.45	33.51	33.58(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	10	21	182	9.95	79%	0.24	104.4	1.19%	0	1.6	63	0

11	Jan_31_2006	28.6	31.9	32.46	33.2	33.28	33.39	33.59(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	30	17	153	10.57	81%	0.21	104.9	1.2%	0	1.8	65	0
12	Jan_30_2006	28.54	31.7	32.2	32.96	33.07	33.4	33.37(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	80	33	125	8.7	81%	0.21	102.6	1.22%	0	1.9	60	0
13	Jan_27_2006	28.48	31.5	32	32.66	32.76	33.16	33.53(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	90	54	107	11.52	77%	0.25	85.3	1.24%	0	2.2	63	0
14	Jan_26_2006	28.41	31.3	31.78	32.15	32.29	32.75	33.15(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	110	35	61	7.87	77%	0.21	71.1	1.29%	0	2	66	0
15	Jan_25_2006	28.35	31.1	31.63	31.9	31.95	32.36	32.38(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	90	41	60	7.49	71%	0.21	66.4	1.26%	0	1.4	63	0

16	Jan_24_2006	28.29	30.97	31.54	31.61	31.7	31.84	32.37(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	40	33	46	10.88	73%	0.14	58.3	1.3%	0	1.5	65	0
17	Jan_23_2006	28.25	30.84	31.48	31.32	31.37	31.55	31.87(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	40	6	45	13.69	72%	0.21	54.5	1.32%	0	1.1	70	0
18	Jan_20_2006	28.19	30.74	31.45	31.24	31.37	31.57	30.97(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	70	10	70	17.34	65%	0.14	54.4	1.31%	0	0.3	66	0
19	Jan_19_2006	28.15	30.66	31.46	31.34	31.24	31.19	31.92(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-20	11	98	13.73	71%	0.25	55.8	1.36%	0	1.4	76	0
20	Jan_18_2006	28.08	30.52	31.34	31.33	31.25	30.91	30.92(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-80	-25	107	16.17	64%	0.18	56.7	1.33%	0	0.4	72	0

21	Jan_17_2006	28.03	30.44	31.32	31.45	31.49	31.29	30.93(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-40	-23	129	16.21	64%	0.29	59.3	1.37%	0	0.5	66	0
22	Jan_13_2006	27.95	30.36	31.19	31.65	31.6	31.6	31.48(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	34	-0	-6	152	5.5	67%	0.22	64.6	1.35%	0	1.1	70	0
23	Jan_12_2006	27.89	30.25	31	31.67	31.67	31.69	31.45(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	0	9	160	8.06	62%	0.25	68.6	1.35%	0	1.2	70	0
24	Jan_11_2006	27.82	30.15	30.8	31.57	31.61	31.6	31.89(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	0	13	153	7.19	64%	0.22	70.2	1.4%	0	1.8	79	0
25	Jan_10_2006	27.76	30.01	30.55	31.35	31.38	31.65	31.52(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	60	14	142	6.39	64%		71	1.4%	0	1.7	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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