Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 12, 2005

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $29.2000 (0.59%) ($29.0800 - $29.4500) on Mon. Dec. 12, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $29.2000(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.03(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.78(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.41(2.78%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.03%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.91%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.33%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2005	26.96	28.41	28.78	29.03		29.06	29.2(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	10	8	60	4.22	52%	0.15	74.7	1.47%	0	1.5	68	0
2	Dec_9_2005	26.92	28.34	28.69	28.99	29.03	28.87	29.03(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-30	-2	55	2.32	53%	0.15	78.7	1.46%	0	1.3	66	0
3	Dec_8_2005	26.88	28.26	28.62	28.99	29.04	29	28.74(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	0	-7	54	6.38	53%	0.11	77.7	1.47%	0	0.9	64	0
4	Dec_7_2005	26.85	28.2	28.59	28.93	29.03	29.2	28.96(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	50	16	75	7.27	53%	0.15	78.7	1.47%	0	1.4	75	0
5	Dec_6_2005	26.81	28.11	28.5	28.75	28.87	29.07	29.23(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	38	60	25	75	6.53	55%	0.19	69.3	1.46%	0	2.1	83	0

6	Dec_5_2005	26.76	28.02	28.39	28.49	28.59	28.87	28.97(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	29	80	18	61	4.21	55%	0.15	70.9	1.46%	0	1.9	76	0
7	Dec_2_2005	26.72	27.93	28.3	28.34	28.4	28.67	28.73(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	70	17	56	7.12	55%	0.15	80	1.47%	0	1.7	71	0
8	Dec_1_2005	26.68	27.86	28.23	28.28	28.29	28.31	28.77(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	10	10	55	7.67	56%	0.11	104.5	1.48%	0	2.1	73	0
9	Nov_30_2005	26.65	27.79	28.11	28.21	28.26	28.13	28.03(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-30	-7	45	7.61	54%	0.15	130.7	1.46%	0	0.6	65	0
10	Nov_29_2005	26.61	27.74	28.06	28.23	28.32	28.27	27.97(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-0	-4	53	9.57	55%	0.11	136.5	1.47%	0	0.6	72	0

11	Nov_28_2005	26.58	27.67	28.02	28.26	28.25	28.39	28.22(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	30	3	62	6.87	55%	0.15	118.1	1.47%	0	1.1	69	0
12	Nov_25_2005	26.54	27.57	27.96	28.24	28.19	28.38	28.4(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	14	70	1.45	56%	0.26	102.9	1.46%	0	1.4	74	0
13	Nov_23_2005	26.47	27.42	27.88	28.17	28.12	28.12	28.42(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10	14	67	5.97	54%	0.15	78.3	1.47%	0	1.3	72	0
14	Nov_22_2005	26.43	27.3	27.79	28.01	28.02	28.01	28.12(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-0	5	54	4.92	55%	0.08	70.6	1.47%	0	1.1	69	0
15	Nov_21_2005	26.41	27.19	27.69	27.86	27.93	28.12	28.13(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	60	11	47	7.1	55%	0.15	69.3	1.48%	0	1.2	76	0

16	Nov_18_2005	26.37	27.11	27.61	27.75	27.77	28.04	28.12(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	70	19	54	9.53	53%	0.15	64.9	1.48%	0	1.3	81	0
17	Nov_17_2005	26.33	26.99	27.53	27.65	27.61	27.73	28.04(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	30	14	62	10.07	53%	0.19	55.6	1.5%	0	1.2	84	0
18	Nov_16_2005	26.28	26.84	27.46	27.56	27.51	27.5	27.63(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10	2	79	5.85	52%	0.11	49.3	1.49%	0	1	86	0
19	Nov_15_2005	26.25	26.76	27.44	27.54	27.5	27.48	27.4(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10	2	98	6.8	52%	0.15	47.7	1.5%	0	0.8	70	0
20	Nov_14_2005	26.21	26.68	27.4	27.48	27.46	27.53	27.56(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	4	111	3.02	52%	0.15	38.8	1.5%	0	1.1	73	0

21	Nov_11_2005	26.17	26.61	27.3	27.45	27.36	27.51	27.63(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	8	113	3.3	51%	0.11	34.9	1.51%	0	1.3	64	0
22	Nov_10_2005	26.14	26.52	27.15	27.39	27.29	27.39	27.57(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	10	8	116	10.09	52%	0.15	28.6	1.51%	0	1.4	69	0
23	Nov_9_2005	26.1	26.44	26.94	27.36	27.25	27.21	27.53(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-20	1	118	6.62	53%	0.12	27.2	1.51%	0	1.5	73	0
24	Nov_8_2005	26.07	26.37	26.79	27.33	27.3	27.19	27.12(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-30	-2	116	5.46	52%	0.12	20.2	1.52%	0	1.1	58	0
25	Nov_7_2005	26.04	26.36	26.67	27.3	27.32	27.29	27.38(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10	8	124	4.34	52%		11.5	1.52%	0	1.5	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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