Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 17, 2005

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $28.0400 (1.48%) ($27.8100 - $28.1300) on Thu. Nov. 17, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $28.0400(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.65(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.53(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.99(3.89%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.09%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.96%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2005	26.33	26.99	27.53	27.65	27.61	27.73	28.04(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	30	14	62	10.07	53%	0.19	55.6	1.5%	0	1.2	84	0
2	Nov_16_2005	26.28	26.84	27.46	27.56	27.51	27.5	27.63(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10	2	79	5.85	52%	0.11	49.3	1.49%	0	1	86	0
3	Nov_15_2005	26.25	26.76	27.44	27.54	27.5	27.48	27.4(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10	2	98	6.8	52%	0.15	47.7	1.5%	0	0.8	70	0
4	Nov_14_2005	26.21	26.68	27.4	27.48	27.46	27.53	27.56(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	4	111	3.02	52%	0.15	38.8	1.5%	0	1.1	73	0
5	Nov_11_2005	26.17	26.61	27.3	27.45	27.36	27.51	27.63(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	8	113	3.3	51%	0.11	34.9	1.51%	0	1.3	64	0

6	Nov_10_2005	26.14	26.52	27.15	27.39	27.29	27.39	27.57(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	10	8	116	10.09	52%	0.15	28.6	1.51%	0	1.4	69	0
7	Nov_9_2005	26.1	26.44	26.94	27.36	27.25	27.21	27.53(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-20	1	118	6.62	53%	0.12	27.2	1.51%	0	1.5	73	0
8	Nov_8_2005	26.07	26.37	26.79	27.33	27.3	27.19	27.12(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-30	-2	116	5.46	52%	0.12	20.2	1.52%	0	1.1	58	0
9	Nov_7_2005	26.04	26.36	26.67	27.3	27.32	27.29	27.38(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10	8	124	4.34	52%	0.12	11.5	1.52%	0	1.5	64	0
10	Nov_4_2005	26.01	26.33	26.56	27.12	27.19	27.4	27.36(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	60	19	117	7.89	50%	0.15	-5.5	1.54%	0	1.5	57	0

11	Nov_3_2005	25.97	26.31	26.4	26.86	26.96	27.35	27.41(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	110	40	101	11.96	50%	0.12	-26.4	1.54%	0	1.7	59	0
12	Nov_2_2005	25.94	26.25	26.16	26.45	26.54	26.98	27.38(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	40	130	35	53	8.2	51%	0.15	-58.9	1.54%	0	1.8	58	0
13	Nov_1_2005	25.9	26.23	26.02	26.17	26.16	26.57	26.97(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	110	30	26	12.28	52%	0.12	-65.7	1.55%	0	1	54	0
14	Oct_31_2005	25.87	26.28	25.88	25.95	25.98	26.09	26.5(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	30	13	-19	15.59	51%	0.12	-60.4	1.54%	0	0.3	45	0
15	Oct_28_2005	25.84	26.37	25.84	25.94	25.9	25.74	26.03(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-50	-2	-36	12.14	51%	0.12	-51.6	1.53%	0	-0.4	43	0

16	Oct_27_2005	25.81	26.47	25.83	25.87	25.98	25.87	25.37(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-20	-3	-58	8.89	49%	0.08	-46.8	1.5%	0	-1.1	37	0
17	Oct_26_2005	25.79	26.62	25.91	25.81	25.95	26.06	25.98(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	50	-0	-69	6.78	50%	0.12	-45.7	1.47%	0	-0.6	47	0
18	Oct_25_2005	25.76	26.71	25.93	25.83	25.85	26.1	25.89(-1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	70	14	-78	8.22	50%	0.08	-45.3	1.47%	0	-0.8	40	0
19	Oct_24_2005	25.74	26.79	26.04	25.78	25.72	25.84	26.41(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	30	11	-102	11.25	52%	0.12	-47.3	1.46%	0	-0.4	37	0
20	Oct_21_2005	25.71	26.86	26.08	25.75	25.68	25.6	25.72(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-30	-6	-137	5.14	51%	0.12	-47.4	1.42%	0	-1.2	30	0

21	Oct_20_2005	25.68	26.95	26.21	25.8	25.84	25.61	25.05(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-54	-60	-19	-160	8.56	48%	0.04	-48	1.39%	0	-2	26	0
22	Oct_19_2005	25.67	27.08	26.35	26.01	25.93	25.76	26.1(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-57	-60	-15	-183	15.26	53%	0.16	-45.3	1.29%	0	-1.1	30	0
23	Oct_18_2005	25.63	27.17	26.47	26.03	26.01	26.07	25.6(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-66	10	-23	-195	7.57	51%	0	-42	1.28%	0	-1.9	32	0
24	Oct_17_2005	25.63	27.27	26.73	26.33	26.18	26.09	26.27(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-40	-9	-160	10.72	54%	0.12	-33.6	1.24%	0	-1.4	40	0
25	Oct_14_2005	25.6	27.33	26.94	26.47	26.43	25.96	25.98(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-61	-130	-32	-148	8.91	54%		-29.2	1.23%	0	-1.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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