Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2005

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $26.6300 (-0.56%) ($26.5000 - $26.8500) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $26.6300(-0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.34(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.3(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.79(3.26%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.31%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.46%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.21%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.5%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.63%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2005	23.67	25.79	26.3	26.34	26.42	26.74	26.63(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	90	24	133	4.97	70%	0.21	65	0.88%	0	1.4	68	NAN
2	Aug_10_2005	23.62	25.71	26.21	26.27	26.25	26.52	26.78(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	70	31	136	6.55	63%	0.17	72.5	0.88%	0	1.8	69	NAN
3	Aug_9_2005	23.58	25.62	26.07	26.22	26.15	26.11	26.5(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-20	5	121	3.8	62%	0.17	82.4	0.93%	0	1.5	70	NAN
4	Aug_8_2005	23.54	25.54	25.95	26.23	26.21	25.97	25.98(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-70	-19	124	6.22	58%	0.13	92.7	0.9%	0	0.8	66	NAN
5	Aug_5_2005	23.51	25.47	25.87	26.26	26.21	26.19	25.8(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	26	-30	-13	141	7.17	58%	0.09	94.1	0.9%	0	0.6	68	NAN

6	Aug_4_2005	23.49	25.4	25.83	26.24	26.34	26.45	26.28(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	40	12	169	5.32	68%	0.13	88.5	0.86%	0	1.3	75	NAN
7	Aug_3_2005	23.46	25.29	25.74	26.13	26.18	26.5	26.52(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	90	42	169	3.89	71%	0.17	82.5	0.9%	0	1.8	76	NAN
8	Aug_2_2005	23.42	25.16	25.6	25.9	25.96	26.24	26.58(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	76	80	52	149	4.57	71%	0.13	76.4	0.9%	0	2.2	79	NAN
9	Aug_1_2005	23.39	25.03	25.45	25.64	25.69	25.87	26.12(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	50	36	112	5.39	69%	0.09	75.9	0.89%	0	1.9	75	NAN
10	Jul_29_2005	23.37	24.92	25.32	25.44	25.48	25.68	25.7(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	60	20	84	4.64	69%	0.04	70.6	0.88%	0	1.4	75	NAN

11	Jul_28_2005	23.36	24.83	25.24	25.37	25.37	25.51	25.72(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	40	20	89	7.76	64%	0.09	66.8	0.9%	0	1.6	80	NAN
12	Jul_27_2005	23.34	24.74	25.17	25.3	25.31	25.29	25.4(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-0	9	100	5.39	61%	0.04	63.1	0.92%	0	1.2	80	NAN
13	Jul_26_2005	23.33	24.67	25.12	25.25	25.28	25.23	25.26(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-10	-2	112	5.17	61%	0	62.1	0.93%	0	1.1	80	NAN
14	Jul_25_2005	23.33	24.6	25.08	25.22	25.26	25.32	25.12(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	20	6	134	4.8	65%	0.04	59.1	0.94%	0	1	74	NAN
15	Jul_22_2005	23.32	24.54	25.04	25.17	25.19	25.33	25.34(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	40	19	147	2.61	65%	0.04	50	0.96%	0	1.4	82	NAN

16	Jul_21_2005	23.31	24.46	24.93	25.08	25.06	25.19	25.4(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	30	15	145	4.68	69%	0.09	45.7	0.97%	0	1.7	84	NAN
17	Jul_20_2005	23.29	24.4	24.8	25.01	24.99	25.05	25.13(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	10	8	131	5.92	61%	0	50.2	1.02%	0	1.5	79	NAN
18	Jul_19_2005	23.29	24.34	24.68	24.97	25.02	24.93	25.12(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-20	3	117	5.01	64%	0.04	55	1.07%	0	1.7	73	NAN
19	Jul_18_2005	23.28	24.29	24.58	24.93	25	24.94	24.84(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10	-4	115	3.74	64%	0	62.7	1.08%	0	1.3	73	NAN
20	Jul_15_2005	23.28	24.26	24.49	24.89	24.99	25.1	24.92(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	40	16	125	2.39	59%	0.04	73.4	1.08%	0	1.6	77	NAN

21	Jul_14_2005	23.27	24.21	24.39	24.76	24.85	25.06	25.05(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	70	30	113	9.33	54%	0.04	77.7	1.12%	0	2.2	78	NAN
22	Jul_13_2005	23.26	24.15	24.27	24.55	24.6	24.88	24.91(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	90	31	80	9.84	51%	0.09	80.3	1.17%	0	2.3	60	NAN
23	Jul_12_2005	23.24	24.09	24.18	24.35	24.32	24.65	24.93(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	39	90	32	58	2.95	53%	0.09	78.3	1.2%	0	2.9	65	NAN
24	Jul_11_2005	23.22	24.02	24.07	24.18	24.09	24.31	24.63(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	50	26	31	4.31	51%	0.04	76	1.2%	0	2.5	58	NAN
25	Jul_8_2005	23.21	23.96	23.98	24.04	23.96	23.99	24.26(1.04%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	8	-0	11	-2	5.34	49%		70.7	1.19%	0	1.4	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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