Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 28, 2005

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $25.7200 (1.26%) ($25.4800 - $25.8000) on Thu. Jul. 28, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $25.7200(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.37(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.24(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.83(3.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.73%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 8.71%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -1.28%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.79%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.65%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2005	23.36	24.83	25.24	25.37	25.37	25.51	25.72(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	40	20	89	7.76	64%	0.09	66.8	0.9%	0	1.6	80	0
2	Jul_27_2005	23.34	24.74	25.17	25.3	25.31	25.29	25.4(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-0	9	100	5.39	61%	0.04	63.1	0.92%	0	1.2	80	0
3	Jul_26_2005	23.33	24.67	25.12	25.25	25.28	25.23	25.26(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-10	-2	112	5.17	61%	0	62.1	0.93%	0	1.1	80	0
4	Jul_25_2005	23.33	24.6	25.08	25.22	25.26	25.32	25.12(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	20	6	134	4.8	65%	0.04	59.1	0.94%	0	1	74	0
5	Jul_22_2005	23.32	24.54	25.04	25.17	25.19	25.33	25.34(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	40	19	147	2.61	65%	0.04	50	0.96%	0	1.4	82	0

6	Jul_21_2005	23.31	24.46	24.93	25.08	25.06	25.19	25.4(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	30	15	145	4.68	69%	0.09	45.7	0.97%	0	1.7	84	0
7	Jul_20_2005	23.29	24.4	24.8	25.01	24.99	25.05	25.13(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	10	8	131	5.92	61%	0	50.2	1.02%	0	1.5	79	0
8	Jul_19_2005	23.29	24.34	24.68	24.97	25.02	24.93	25.12(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-20	3	117	5.01	64%	0.04	55	1.07%	0	1.7	73	0
9	Jul_18_2005	23.28	24.29	24.58	24.93	25	24.94	24.84(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10	-4	115	3.74	64%	0	62.7	1.08%	0	1.3	73	0
10	Jul_15_2005	23.28	24.26	24.49	24.89	24.99	25.1	24.92(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	40	16	125	2.39	59%	0.04	73.4	1.08%	0	1.6	77	0

11	Jul_14_2005	23.27	24.21	24.39	24.76	24.85	25.06	25.05(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	70	30	113	9.33	54%	0.04	77.7	1.12%	0	2.2	78	0
12	Jul_13_2005	23.26	24.15	24.27	24.55	24.6	24.88	24.91(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	90	31	80	9.84	51%	0.09	80.3	1.17%	0	2.3	60	0
13	Jul_12_2005	23.24	24.09	24.18	24.35	24.32	24.65	24.93(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	39	90	32	58	2.95	53%	0.09	78.3	1.2%	0	2.9	65	0
14	Jul_11_2005	23.22	24.02	24.07	24.18	24.09	24.31	24.63(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	50	26	31	4.31	51%	0.04	76	1.2%	0	2.5	58	0
15	Jul_8_2005	23.21	23.96	23.98	24.04	23.96	23.99	24.26(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-0	11	-2	5.34	49%	0	70.7	1.19%	0	1.4	46	0

16	Jul_7_2005	23.21	23.92	23.94	23.97	23.92	23.88	24.01(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-20	-1	-21	2.38	49%	0.04	60.4	1.19%	0	0.4	49	0
17	Jul_6_2005	23.2	23.89	23.96	23.95	23.95	23.92	23.94(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10	-5	-17	3.66	51%	0	51.3	1.2%	0	0.2	52	0
18	Jul_5_2005	23.2	23.86	23.96	23.98	23.98	23.97	24.06(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-0	1	-5	4.65	51%	0.04	58.2	1.2%	0	0.7	58	0
19	Jul_1_2005	23.19	23.84	23.97	23.95	24	23.99	23.95(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	0	3	2	3.82	51%	0.04	57.7	1.19%	0	0.4	59	0
20	Jun_30_2005	23.18	23.81	24.01	23.91	23.96	24	23.87(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	20	1	14	6.05	54%	0.04	56.7	1.19%	0	0.2	59	0

21	Jun_29_2005	23.17	23.78	24.01	23.9	23.96	24.02	23.94(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	30	-0	24	2.4	50%	0.04	64	1.22%	0	0.5	62	0
22	Jun_28_2005	23.16	23.75	24.03	23.96	23.92	23.93	24.08(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-0	4	43	2.27	50%	0.04	66.7	1.26%	0	0.9	67	0
23	Jun_27_2005	23.15	23.7	23.99	23.95	23.98	23.81	23.9(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-50	-8	43	2.74	50%	0.04	66.7	1.26%	0	0.5	62	0
24	Jun_24_2005	23.14	23.66	23.97	24	24.03	23.91	23.75(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-20	46	2.4	50%	0.04	72	1.27%	0	0.2	56	0
25	Jun_23_2005	23.13	23.63	23.95	24.13	24.12	24.15	23.83(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	10	-5	72	3.37	49%		76.4	1.27%	0	0.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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