Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 18, 2005

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $24.8400 (-0.32%) ($24.7700 - $24.9200) on Mon. Jul. 18, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $24.8400(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.93(-0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.58(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.29(2.26%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.45%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2005	23.28	24.29	24.58	24.93	25	24.94	24.84(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10	-4	115	3.74	64%	0	62.7	1.08%	0	1.3	73	0
2	Jul_15_2005	23.28	24.26	24.49	24.89	24.99	25.1	24.92(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	40	16	125	2.39	59%	0.04	73.4	1.08%	0	1.6	77	0
3	Jul_14_2005	23.27	24.21	24.39	24.76	24.85	25.06	25.05(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	70	30	113	9.33	54%	0.04	77.7	1.12%	0	2.2	78	0
4	Jul_13_2005	23.26	24.15	24.27	24.55	24.6	24.88	24.91(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	90	31	80	9.84	51%	0.09	80.3	1.17%	0	2.3	60	0
5	Jul_12_2005	23.24	24.09	24.18	24.35	24.32	24.65	24.93(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	39	90	32	58	2.95	53%	0.09	78.3	1.2%	0	2.9	65	0

6	Jul_11_2005	23.22	24.02	24.07	24.18	24.09	24.31	24.63(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	50	26	31	4.31	51%	0.04	76	1.2%	0	2.5	58	0
7	Jul_8_2005	23.21	23.96	23.98	24.04	23.96	23.99	24.26(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-0	11	-2	5.34	49%	0	70.7	1.19%	0	1.4	46	0
8	Jul_7_2005	23.21	23.92	23.94	23.97	23.92	23.88	24.01(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-20	-1	-21	2.38	49%	0.04	60.4	1.19%	0	0.4	49	0
9	Jul_6_2005	23.2	23.89	23.96	23.95	23.95	23.92	23.94(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10	-5	-17	3.66	51%	0	51.3	1.2%	0	0.2	52	0
10	Jul_5_2005	23.2	23.86	23.96	23.98	23.98	23.97	24.06(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-0	1	-5	4.65	51%	0.04	58.2	1.2%	0	0.7	58	0

11	Jul_1_2005	23.19	23.84	23.97	23.95	24	23.99	23.95(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	0	3	2	3.82	51%	0.04	57.7	1.19%	0	0.4	59	0
12	Jun_30_2005	23.18	23.81	24.01	23.91	23.96	24	23.87(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	20	1	14	6.05	54%	0.04	56.7	1.19%	0	0.2	59	0
13	Jun_29_2005	23.17	23.78	24.01	23.9	23.96	24.02	23.94(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	30	-0	24	2.4	50%	0.04	64	1.22%	0	0.5	62	0
14	Jun_28_2005	23.16	23.75	24.03	23.96	23.92	23.93	24.08(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-0	4	43	2.27	50%	0.04	66.7	1.26%	0	0.9	67	0
15	Jun_27_2005	23.15	23.7	23.99	23.95	23.98	23.81	23.9(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-50	-8	43	2.74	50%	0.04	66.7	1.26%	0	0.5	62	0

16	Jun_24_2005	23.14	23.66	23.97	24	24.03	23.91	23.75(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-20	46	2.4	50%	0.04	72	1.27%	0	0.2	56	0
17	Jun_23_2005	23.13	23.63	23.95	24.13	24.12	24.15	23.83(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	10	-5	72	3.37	49%	0.09	76.4	1.27%	0	0.5	63	0
18	Jun_22_2005	23.11	23.58	23.91	24.18	24.17	24.16	24.26(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-0	10	86	1.7	49%	0.04	74.3	1.26%	0	1.5	69	0
19	Jun_21_2005	23.1	23.51	23.82	24.1	24.1	24.09	24.03(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-0	3	77	1.58	47%	0.09	76.5	1.28%	0	1.2	69	0
20	Jun_20_2005	23.08	23.45	23.76	24.03	24.02	24.19	24.15(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	50	13	82	3.1	47%	0.09	79.2	1.29%	0	1.6	77	0

21	Jun_17_2005	23.06	23.39	23.69	23.92	23.91	24.11	24.37(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	60	25	83	9.41	49%	0.13	84.6	1.29%	0	2.4	75	0
22	Jun_16_2005	23.03	23.32	23.58	23.75	23.73	23.86	24.08(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	40	16	66	7.16	49%	0.09	95.9	1.3%	0	2.2	74	0
23	Jun_15_2005	23.01	23.25	23.51	23.62	23.67	23.7	23.87(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	20	14	64	4.56	47%	0.09	95.5	1.3%	0	2	76	0
24	Jun_14_2005	22.99	23.18	23.44	23.5	23.58	23.6	23.69(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	20	3	54	3.51	47%	0.09	80.4	1.33%	0	1.6	67	0
25	Jun_13_2005	22.97	23.12	23.37	23.45	23.52	23.64	23.59(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	40	5	49	2.46	47%		62.9	1.34%	0	1.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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