Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 2, 2005

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $23.4000 (0.73%) ($23.1800 - $23.4100) on Thu. Jun. 2, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $23.4000(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.15(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.03(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.88(2.27%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.52%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.13%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.18%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2005	22.84	22.88	23.03	23.15	23.13	23.18	23.4(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	10	15	73	4.04	45%	0.04	61.4	1.35%	0	1.6	70	0
2	Jun_1_2005	22.83	22.85	22.98	23.02	23.04	23.04	23.23(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	0	5	57	12.79	45%	0.13	68.5	1.36%	0	1.3	57	0
3	May_31_2005	22.8	22.81	22.9	22.95	22.97	23.08	22.96(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	40	2	46	2.98	47%	0.13	60.6	1.36%	0	0.5	56	0
4	May_27_2005	22.77	22.79	22.85	22.96	22.93	23.03	23.16(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	30	10	37	1.42	45%	0.09	55.7	1.35%	0	1.2	47	0
5	May_26_2005	22.75	22.74	22.75	22.91	22.88	22.87	23(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10	2	11	2.25	45%	0.09	46.8	1.35%	0	0.7	45	0

6	May_25_2005	22.73	22.68	22.75	22.9	22.86	22.84	22.74(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10	-4	-4	2.11	47%	0.04	37.4	1.35%	0	0.2	42	0
7	May_24_2005	22.72	22.66	22.69	22.92	22.89	22.89	22.91(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	5	-0	7	-1	2.81	49%	0.04	43.5	1.37%	0	0.7	48	0
8	May_23_2005	22.71	22.63	22.67	22.83	22.85	22.88	22.98(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	10	9	-5	4.3	49%	0	38	1.39%	0	0.9	61	0
9	May_20_2005	22.71	22.61	22.68	22.72	22.72	22.9	22.9(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	60	15	-2	3	49%	0.04	36.9	1.38%	0	0.8	59	0
10	May_19_2005	22.7	22.57	22.68	22.57	22.58	22.83	22.96(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	80	22	1	4.37	49%	0	32.9	1.39%	0	1.1	63	0

11	May_18_2005	22.7	22.55	22.7	22.45	22.42	22.53	22.87(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	30	9	5	9.17	50%	0.04	26.6	1.4%	0	0.8	68	0
12	May_17_2005	22.69	22.55	22.7	22.44	22.38	22.33	22.43(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-20	-3	13	5.79	48%	0.04	14.8	1.39%	0	-0.2	56	0
13	May_16_2005	22.68	22.49	22.71	22.48	22.47	22.3	22.42(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-50	-17	13	6.05	48%	-0.04	7.9	1.39%	0	-0.2	52	0
14	May_13_2005	22.69	22.47	22.72	22.64	22.59	22.43	22.16(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-13	-60	-25	25	14.05	48%	0	7.3	1.36%	0	-0.7	45	0
15	May_12_2005	22.69	22.45	22.74	22.84	22.8	22.64	22.39(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-50	-17	52	7.26	48%	0.04	5.2	1.36%	0	-0.1	55	0

16	May_11_2005	22.68	22.45	22.69	22.98	22.95	22.76	22.78(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-60	-12	61	4.61	51%	0	3.6	1.36%	0	0.8	55	0
17	May_10_2005	22.68	22.44	22.64	23.03	23.03	22.96	22.67(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-20	-2	78	11.31	51%	0.04	2.9	1.36%	0	0.5	62	0
18	May_9_2005	22.67	22.46	22.61	22.97	23.01	23.13	23.19(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	40	15	82	2.35	53%	0.04	4.3	1.33%	0	1.6	59	0
19	May_6_2005	22.66	22.44	22.54	22.81	22.83	23.11	23.17(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	90	24	82	5.19	53%	0.09	-3.3	1.31%	0	1.6	63	0
20	May_5_2005	22.64	22.44	22.44	22.63	22.65	22.9	23.11(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	80	36	76	8.59	53%	0.04	-9.5	1.32%	0	1.4	65	0

21	May_4_2005	22.63	22.43	22.36	22.37	22.41	22.56	22.99(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	50	22	46	14	55%	0.09	-18.6	1.33%	0	1.2	57	0
22	May_3_2005	22.61	22.42	22.24	22.37	22.21	22.4	22.38(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	60	6	4	4.2	52%	0.04	-22	1.31%	0	-0.1	46	0
23	May_2_2005	22.6	22.44	22.23	22.2	22.21	22.26	22.4(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	30	6	-12	8.08	52%	0.04	-13.7	1.31%	0	-0.1	41	0
24	Apr_29_2005	22.59	22.45	22.19	22.24	22.16	22.02	22.25(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-60	-2	-29	9.35	54%	0.04	-7.8	1.3%	0	-0.4	44	0
25	Apr_28_2005	22.58	22.48	22.14	22.22	22.24	22.05	21.81(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-60	-21	-67	5.85	52%		-4.4	1.28%	0	-1.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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