Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 5, 2005

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $23.1100 (0.52%) ($22.8200 - $23.2600) on Thu. May. 5, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $23.1100(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.63(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.44(2.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.43(3.03%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.12%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2005	22.64		22.44	22.63	22.65	22.9	23.11(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	80	36	76	8.59	53%	0.04	-9.5	1.32%	0	1.4	65	0
2	May_4_2005	22.63	22.43	22.36	22.37	22.41	22.56	22.99(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	50	22	46	14	55%	0.09	-18.6	1.33%	0	1.2	57	0
3	May_3_2005	22.61	22.42	22.24	22.37	22.21	22.4	22.38(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	60	6	4	4.2	52%	0.04	-22	1.31%	0	-0.1	46	0
4	May_2_2005	22.6	22.44	22.23	22.2	22.21	22.26	22.4(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	30	6	-12	8.08	52%	0.04	-13.7	1.31%	0	-0.1	41	0
5	Apr_29_2005	22.59	22.45	22.19	22.24	22.16	22.02	22.25(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-60	-2	-29	9.35	54%	0.04	-7.8	1.3%	0	-0.4	44	0

6	Apr_28_2005	22.58	22.48	22.14	22.22	22.24	22.05	21.81(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-60	-21	-67	5.85	52%	0.04	-4.4	1.28%	0	-1.5	38	0
7	Apr_27_2005	22.57	22.48	22.18	22.35	22.32	22.3	22.16(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10	-1	-66	5.88	53%	0	6.3	1.27%	0	-0.8	39	0
8	Apr_26_2005	22.57	22.52	22.23	22.28	22.33	22.44	22.37(-1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	40	7	-78	7.71	55%	0.04	-1	1.26%	0	-0.3	43	0
9	Apr_25_2005	22.56	22.5	22.3	22.27	22.24	22.34	22.6(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	30	15	-68	5.29	55%	0	-13	1.27%	0	0.2	49	0
10	Apr_22_2005	22.56	22.49	22.33	22.14	22.18	22.23	22.18(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	20	13	-83	3.72	53%	0.04	-28.7	1.24%	0	-0.7	45	0

11	Apr_21_2005	22.55	22.5	22.42	22.04	22.06	22.15	22.43(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	30	6	-90	8.1	54%	0	-46.6	1.24%	0	-0.2	48	0
12	Apr_20_2005	22.55	22.49	22.49	21.99	21.98	22.14	21.8(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	50	-10	-94	5.86	50%	0.04	-56	1.2%	0	-1.5	43	0
13	Apr_19_2005	22.54	22.53	22.62	22.18	22.07	21.98	22.32(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-40	-12	-60	10.56	51%	0	-55.4	1.17%	0	-0.5	52	0
14	Apr_18_2005	22.54	22.56	22.66	22.36	22.25	21.83	21.96(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-150	-36	-30	8.46	49%	0	-51.8	1.17%	0	-1.3	56	0
15	Apr_15_2005	22.54	22.63	22.74	22.55	22.56	22.16	21.7(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-39	-120	-50	-4	10.79	48%	0	-46.7	1.16%	0	-2.1	45	0

16	Apr_14_2005	22.54	22.71	22.85	22.84	22.81	22.67	22.17(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-12	-50	-33	50	11.53	52%	0	-38.1	1.14%	0	-1.3	52	0
17	Apr_13_2005	22.54	22.75	22.9	23.05	23	22.95	22.75(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-20	-7	99	8.01	56%	0.09	-40.6	1.11%	0	0	59	0
18	Apr_12_2005	22.52	22.77	22.86	23.11	23.07	22.96	23.21(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-40	3	111	9.85	60%	0.09	-50	1.08%	0	1	60	0
19	Apr_11_2005	22.5	22.79	22.73	23.01	23.08	23.06	22.92(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	0	-1	72	4.36	59%	0.09	-59.2	1.08%	0	0.3	48	0
20	Apr_8_2005	22.48	22.84	22.67	22.97	23.03	23.17	23.14(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	15	55	4.49	59%	0.09	-59.9	1.06%	0	0.6	45	0

21	Apr_7_2005	22.46	22.88	22.58	22.87	22.91	23.1	23.25(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	60	24	19	7.54	59%	0.09	-59.3	1.07%	0	0.6	45	0
22	Apr_6_2005	22.44	22.92	22.48	22.73	22.8	22.89	23.02(1.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	15	40	25	-17	7.75	59%	0.09	-57.5	1.06%	0	0.1	49	0
23	Apr_5_2005	22.42	22.99	22.42	22.58	22.65	22.71	22.71(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	30	19	-56	6.28	55%	0.09	-58.4	1.05%	0	-0.4	42	0
24	Apr_4_2005	22.4	23.08	22.43	22.4	22.51	22.72	22.72(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	80	17	-100	6.83	51%	0.09	-58.3	1.06%	0	-0.4	36	0
25	Apr_1_2005	22.38	23.16	22.48	22.33	22.35	22.59	22.67(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	80	23	-114	17.78	50%		-58.5	1.14%	0	-0.6	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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