Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $23.0200 (0.22%) ($22.9400 - $23.0500) on Tue. Feb. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $23.0200(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.79(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.5(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.03(4.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.22%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.46%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.35%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.27%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.41%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2005	20.9	22.03	22.5	22.79	22.81	22.98	23.02(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	50	18	191	3.65	59%	0.19	68.7	0.99%	0	1.7	82	NAN
2	Feb_7_2005	20.86	21.94	22.37	22.69	22.69	22.87	22.97(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	60	26	177	3.88	59%	0.19	61.2	1.01%	0	1.9	71	NAN
3	Feb_4_2005	20.82	21.85	22.22	22.56	22.57	22.64	22.9(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	20	26	152	2.57	60%	0.19	48.2	1.01%	0	2.1	69	NAN
4	Feb_3_2005	20.78	21.77	22.08	22.38	22.44	22.51	22.5(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	30	14	126	1.64	60%	0.19	32.7	1%	0	1.7	70	NAN
5	Feb_2_2005	20.74	21.7	21.95	22.28	22.32	22.49	22.57(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	60	20	107	2.07	60%	0.19	16.5	1.01%	0	2.1	69	NAN

6	Feb_1_2005	20.7	21.64	21.84	22.16	22.19	22.38	22.5(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	60	30	101	6.62	60%	0.19	1.8	1.01%	0	2.3	72	NAN
7	Jan_31_2005	20.66	21.64	21.76	21.99	22.06	22.16	22.31(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	40	27	87	3.04	60%	0.19	-10.5	1.01%	0	2.1	69	NAN
8	Jan_28_2005	20.62	21.64	21.7	21.83	21.9	22	22.02(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	40	15	73	1.91	59%	0.19	-19.1	1%	0	1.1	66	NAN
9	Jan_27_2005	20.58	21.62	21.64	21.72	21.8	21.96	22(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	60	26	67	2.47	60%	0.19	-26.3	1%	0	1.1	66	NAN
10	Jan_26_2005	20.54	21.63	21.59	21.56	21.69	21.8	21.98(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	50	21	48	4	60%	0.2	-35.8	1.02%	0	0.9	66	NAN

11	Jan_25_2005	20.5	21.64	21.51	21.46	21.54	21.64	21.66(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	40	-0	19	2.94	59%	0.05	-40	1.01%	0	0.1	53	NAN
12	Jan_24_2005	20.49	21.66	21.48	21.49	21.55	21.58	21.47(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	20	-1	1	4.42	59%	0.15	-34.1	1.01%	0	-0.5	35	NAN
13	Jan_21_2005	20.46	21.68	21.46	21.56	21.59	21.45	21.5(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-40	-3	-18	3.19	60%	0.2	-25.4	1.01%	0	-0.4	32	NAN
14	Jan_20_2005	20.42	21.72	21.46	21.54	21.62	21.52	21.21(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-20	-17	-51	4.07	59%	0.15	-22.8	1.01%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
15	Jan_19_2005	20.39	21.77	21.44	21.61	21.65	21.72	21.48(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	30	7	-60	2.63	61%	0.2	-12.2	1%	0	-0.7	33	NAN

16	Jan_18_2005	20.35	21.8	21.45	21.56	21.59	21.71	21.78(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	40	18	-81	2.33	65%	0.3	-8.3	0.99%	0	-0	40	NAN
17	Jan_14_2005	20.29	21.8	21.48	21.47	21.48	21.59	21.82(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	40	18	-95	4.4	64%	0.2	-8	0.99%	0	0.1	44	NAN
18	Jan_13_2005	20.25	21.79	21.52	21.36	21.41	21.47	21.43(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	30	10	-108	2.88	59%	0.2	-8.5	0.99%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
19	Jan_12_2005	20.21	21.81	21.6	21.32	21.36	21.37	21.52(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-23	10	8	-114	3.57	57%	0.15	-6.6	1.01%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
20	Jan_11_2005	20.18	21.82	21.67	21.26	21.32	21.35	21.26(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	20	-4	-125	2.44	56%	0.2	-9.8	1.02%	0	-1.4	26	NAN

21	Jan_10_2005	20.14	21.82	21.76	21.31	21.33	21.34	21.3(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	10	-17	-121	2.01	56%	0.2	-12.3	1.02%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
22	Jan_7_2005	20.1	21.83	21.84	21.49	21.44	21.28	21.27(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-60	-30	-93	4.92	56%	0.15	-8.5	1.03%	0	-1.4	44	NAN
23	Jan_6_2005	20.07	21.82	21.93	21.72	21.69	21.32	21.23(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-120	-39	-56	2.27	57%	0.2	-1	1.04%	0	-1.4	42	NAN
24	Jan_5_2005	20.03	21.84	22.03	21.92	21.98	21.6	21.25(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-42	-110	-48	-23	3.01	57%	0.2	8.3	1.04%	0	-1.4	40	NAN
25	Jan_4_2005	19.99	21.86	22.14	22.13	22.21	22.07	21.51(-3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-14	-30	-29	31	4.21	61%		21.9	1.04%	0	-0.9	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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