Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $21.7600 (-0.5%) ($21.6000 - $21.9300) on Thu. Dec. 16, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $21.7600(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    FXI(88%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(81%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.53(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.55(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.52(1.12%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2004	19.37	21.52		21.53	21.6	21.81	21.76(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	80	27	-17	1.36	69%	0.26	40.7	1%	0	0.8	49	NAN
2	Dec_15_2004	19.32	21.5	21.55	21.39	21.39	21.66	21.87(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	13	90	27	-28	2.27	69%	0.21	40.7	1.01%	0	1.3	59	NAN
3	Dec_14_2004	19.28	21.45	21.55	21.39	21.21	21.4	21.57(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	50	14	-32	2.1	67%	0.26	37.1	1%	0	0.4	59	NAN
4	Dec_13_2004	19.23	21.43	21.54	21.3	21.18	21.13	21.38(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-30	-6	-29	2.02	67%	0.21	46.9	1%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
5	Dec_10_2004	19.19	21.42	21.57	21.4	21.27	21.01	21.06(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-100	-34	-11	2.54	66%	0.21	62.4	0.99%	0	-1.1	54	NAN

6	Dec_9_2004	19.15	21.41	21.65	21.57	21.49	21.24	21.08(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-19	-90	-34	26	3.49	66%	0.21	74.8	0.99%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
7	Dec_8_2004	19.11	21.38	21.69	21.71	21.69	21.54	21.43(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-50	-22	59	2.68	69%	0.16	81.9	0.96%	0	0.1	54	NAN
8	Dec_7_2004	19.08	21.34	21.67	21.79	21.8	21.75	21.54(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10	-9	88	2.12	69%	0.26	85	0.96%	0	0.5	67	NAN
9	Dec_6_2004	19.03	21.29	21.64	21.82	21.84	21.84	21.87(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	0	5	104	1.56	72%	0.21	85.3	0.94%	0	1.2	66	NAN
10	Dec_3_2004	18.99	21.22	21.56	21.77	21.81	21.85	21.91(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	20	4	97	1.99	72%	0.21	91.6	0.94%	0	1.4	68	NAN

11	Dec_2_2004	18.95	21.15	21.51	21.74	21.78	21.84	21.81(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	20	12	114	2.8	73%	0.26	101.4	0.96%	0	1.4	72	NAN
12	Dec_1_2004	18.9	21.07	21.46	21.66	21.73	21.78	21.84(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	30	19	128	6.65	73%	0.21	97.9	0.96%	0	1.6	75	NAN
13	Nov_30_2004	18.86	20.97	21.36	21.53	21.62	21.72	21.67(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	40	16	118	3.99	73%	0.21	92.6	0.96%	0	1.4	74	NAN
14	Nov_29_2004	18.82	20.88	21.3	21.43	21.48	21.68	21.63(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	70	24	128	5.05	73%	0.21	88.6	0.96%	0	1.4	75	NAN
15	Nov_26_2004	18.78	20.79	21.24	21.32	21.32	21.52	21.77(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	70	24	125	1.32	73%	0.27	82.9	0.96%	0	1.8	71	NAN

16	Nov_24_2004	18.73	20.68	21.14	21.24	21.21	21.28	21.41(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	20	11	118	2.29	72%	0.21	78.9	0.94%	0	1.3	69	NAN
17	Nov_23_2004	18.69	20.6	21.05	21.22	21.2	21.12	21.19(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-30	4	124	2.46	71%	0.16	80.8	0.94%	0	1	71	NAN
18	Nov_22_2004	18.66	20.51	20.98	21.16	21.24	21.14	21.15(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-20	-6	128	2.63	71%	0.16	75.9	0.94%	0	1	74	NAN
19	Nov_19_2004	18.63	20.42	20.91	21.16	21.22	21.28	21.07(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	30	-3	146	1.49	71%	0.22	73.6	0.94%	0	1	74	NAN
20	Nov_18_2004	18.59	20.34	20.86	21.15	21.2	21.34	21.37(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	50	28	193	1.53	74%	0.16	74.4	0.91%	0	1.6	83	NAN

21	Nov_17_2004	18.56	20.24	20.77	21.02	21.09	21.15	21.33(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	30	29	198	4	74%	0.22	74.5	0.92%	0	1.7	83	NAN
22	Nov_16_2004	18.52	20.13	20.65	20.85	20.92	21.05	20.86(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	50	13	186	0.96	72%	0.16	70.8	0.89%	0	1.2	76	NAN
23	Nov_15_2004	18.49	20.05	20.56	20.78	20.81	21.02	21.1(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	77	70	35	202	2.48	75%	0.22	68.1	0.88%	0	1.7	86	NAN
24	Nov_12_2004	18.45	19.96	20.44	20.63	20.65	20.79	21.08(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	67	50	26	191	3.26	75%	0.16	61.5	0.88%	0	1.9	87	NAN
25	Nov_11_2004	18.42	19.86	20.3	20.53	20.52	20.6	20.73(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	30	12	185	1.47	74%		56.3	0.88%	0	1.6	85	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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