Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 1, 2004

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $19.5300 (1.88%) ($19.2600 - $19.5600) on Fri. Oct. 1, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $19.5300(1.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(81%)    IWM(76%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.09(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.01(2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.76(4.1%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.5%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.35%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2004	17.69	18.76	19.01	19.09	19.1	19.26	19.53(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	60	34	91	2.11	85%	0.17	75.5	0.85%	0	2.1	72	NAN
2	Sep_30_2004	17.66	18.69	18.94	18.96	18.94	19.05	19.17(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	40	17	73	1.41	82%	0.11	78.9	0.84%	0	1.5	70	NAN
3	Sep_29_2004	17.64	18.64	18.9	18.9	18.87	18.93	19.07(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	20	15	78	0.53	82%	0.11	76.2	0.85%	0	1.3	72	NAN
4	Sep_28_2004	17.62	18.58	18.85	18.85	18.82	18.82	18.97(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	16	-0	-3	73	1.44	82%	0.17	71	0.85%	0	1.1	72	NAN
5	Sep_27_2004	17.59	18.53	18.82	18.88	18.83	18.8	18.73(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-20	-9	92	2.09	78%	0.06	71.1	0.85%	0	0.6	68	NAN

6	Sep_24_2004	17.58	18.49	18.81	18.92	18.91	18.82	18.85(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-30	-4	122	1.99	78%	0.06	73.3	0.85%	0	0.9	76	NAN
7	Sep_23_2004	17.57	18.45	18.77	18.93	18.91	18.86	18.9(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-20	-4	133	1.72	83%	0.06	79.6	0.85%	0	1.2	67	NAN
8	Sep_22_2004	17.56	18.4	18.71	18.9	18.92	18.99	18.82(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	30	10	141	1.8	83%	0.06	82.6	0.87%	0	1.1	71	NAN
9	Sep_21_2004	17.55	18.34	18.65	18.84	18.88	18.97	19.11(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	40	24	150	2.05	100%	0.06	81.2	0.85%	0	2	83	NAN
10	Sep_20_2004	17.54	18.28	18.56	18.74	18.76	18.85	18.91(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	40	13	141	1.2	100%	0.06	87.8	0.85%	0	1.8	82	NAN

11	Sep_17_2004	17.53	18.21	18.48	18.68	18.71	18.79	18.89(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	30	20	141	1.95	100%	0.06	95.3	0.85%	0	1.9	76	NAN
12	Sep_16_2004	17.52	18.15	18.42	18.59	18.65	18.67	18.76(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	20	17	135	1.19	100%	0.06	102.7	0.85%	0	1.8	73	NAN
13	Sep_15_2004	17.51	18.09	18.35	18.5	18.57	18.62	18.53(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	10	116	1.32	100%	-0.06	104.5	0.86%	0	1.4	70	NAN
14	Sep_14_2004	17.52	18.03	18.29	18.44	18.48	18.64	18.61(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	70	21	114	1.83	64%	-0.06	97.3	0.89%	0	1.8	78	NAN
15	Sep_13_2004	17.53	17.96	18.21	18.36	18.36	18.52	18.62(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	60	25	93	1.34	64%	-0.06	90.5	1.01%	0	1.9	75	NAN

16	Sep_10_2004	17.54	17.89	18.14	18.25	18.25	18.32	18.45(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	30	11	76	0.85	64%	-0.06	78.1	1.02%	0	1.6	75	NAN
17	Sep_9_2004	17.55	17.81	18.09	18.22	18.25	18.2	18.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	5	81	2.35	53%	-0.06	70.4	1.01%	0	1.2	74	NAN
18	Sep_8_2004	17.56	17.76	18.06	18.18	18.18	18.18	18.22(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	0	8	84	1.42	53%	-0.06	67.3	1.05%	0	1.2	74	NAN
19	Sep_7_2004	17.57	17.72	18.01	18.12	18.14	18.18	18.23(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	10	10	84	2.88	63%	-0.23	66.5	1.07%	0	1.4	78	NAN
20	Sep_3_2004	17.61	17.66	17.96	18.04	18.06	18.17	18.09(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	50	7	81	2.27	55%	-0.06	57.5	1.15%	0	1.1	78	NAN

21	Sep_2_2004	17.62	17.61	17.92	18.01	17.99	18.11	18.29(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	40	14	96	2.51	55%	-0.11	53.7	1.18%	0	1.8	90	NAN
22	Sep_1_2004	17.64	17.55	17.85	17.95	17.93	17.95	18.06(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	0	7	101	3.05	52%	-0.11	50.8	1.17%	0	1.5	89	NAN
23	Aug_31_2004	17.66	17.51	17.81	17.92	17.93	17.86	17.92(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-20	2	108	2.89	52%	-0.11	52.1	1.17%	0	1.2	75	NAN
24	Aug_30_2004	17.68	17.47	17.76	17.88	17.92	17.91	17.84(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	0	-1	103	0.74	52%	0	49.7	1.18%	0	1.2	64	NAN
25	Aug_27_2004	17.68	17.44	17.7	17.87	17.89	17.98	17.94(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	40	9	112	1.99	52%		54.5	1.17%	0	1.6	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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