Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 20, 2004

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $18.9100 (0.11%) ($18.7100 - $18.9400) on Mon. Sep. 20, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $18.9100(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(88%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(81%)    IWM(76%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.74(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.56(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.28(3.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2004	17.54	18.28	18.56	18.74	18.76	18.85	18.91(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	40	13	141	1.2	100%	0.06	87.8	0.85%	0	1.8	82	0
2	Sep_17_2004	17.53	18.21	18.48	18.68	18.71	18.79	18.89(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	30	20	141	1.95	100%	0.06	95.3	0.85%	0	1.9	76	0
3	Sep_16_2004	17.52	18.15	18.42	18.59	18.65	18.67	18.76(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	20	17	135	1.19	100%	0.06	102.7	0.85%	0	1.8	73	0
4	Sep_15_2004	17.51	18.09	18.35	18.5	18.57	18.62	18.53(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	10	116	1.32	100%	-0.06	104.5	0.86%	0	1.4	70	0
5	Sep_14_2004	17.52	18.03	18.29	18.44	18.48	18.64	18.61(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	70	21	114	1.83	64%	-0.06	97.3	0.89%	0	1.8	78	0

6	Sep_13_2004	17.53	17.96	18.21	18.36	18.36	18.52	18.62(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	60	25	93	1.34	64%	-0.06	90.5	1.01%	0	1.9	75	0
7	Sep_10_2004	17.54	17.89	18.14	18.25	18.25	18.32	18.45(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	30	11	76	0.85	64%	-0.06	78.1	1.02%	0	1.6	75	0
8	Sep_9_2004	17.55	17.81	18.09	18.22	18.25	18.2	18.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	5	81	2.35	53%	-0.06	70.4	1.01%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Sep_8_2004	17.56	17.76	18.06	18.18	18.18	18.18	18.22(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	0	8	84	1.42	53%	-0.06	67.3	1.05%	0	1.2	74	0
10	Sep_7_2004	17.57	17.72	18.01	18.12	18.14	18.18	18.23(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	10	10	84	2.88	63%	-0.23	66.5	1.07%	0	1.4	78	0

11	Sep_3_2004	17.61	17.66	17.96	18.04	18.06	18.17	18.09(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	50	7	81	2.27	55%	-0.06	57.5	1.15%	0	1.1	78	0
12	Sep_2_2004	17.62	17.61	17.92	18.01	17.99	18.11	18.29(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	40	14	96	2.51	55%	-0.11	53.7	1.18%	0	1.8	90	0
13	Sep_1_2004	17.64	17.55	17.85	17.95	17.93	17.95	18.06(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	0	7	101	3.05	52%	-0.11	50.8	1.17%	0	1.5	89	0
14	Aug_31_2004	17.66	17.51	17.81	17.92	17.93	17.86	17.92(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-20	2	108	2.89	52%	-0.11	52.1	1.17%	0	1.2	75	0
15	Aug_30_2004	17.68	17.47	17.76	17.88	17.92	17.91	17.84(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	0	-1	103	0.74	52%	0	49.7	1.18%	0	1.2	64	0

16	Aug_27_2004	17.68	17.44	17.7	17.87	17.89	17.98	17.94(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	40	9	112	1.99	52%	-0.11	54.5	1.17%	0	1.6	72	0
17	Aug_26_2004	17.7	17.41	17.61	17.82	17.83	17.92	17.97(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	40	14	106	1.04	52%	-0.11	56.9	1.19%	0	1.9	76	0
18	Aug_25_2004	17.72	17.38	17.52	17.75	17.75	17.8	17.94(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	20	10	92	1.1	58%	-0.11	56	1.19%	0	2.2	70	0
19	Aug_24_2004	17.74	17.34	17.44	17.68	17.71	17.74	17.73(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	10	79	0.88	58%	-0.17	54.3	1.21%	0	1.8	62	0
20	Aug_23_2004	17.77	17.32	17.4	17.61	17.63	17.7	17.78(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	30	14	72	2.26	58%	-0.11	39.4	1.23%	0	2.1	63	0

21	Aug_20_2004	17.79	17.27	17.34	17.5	17.53	17.67	17.69(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	60	19	57	1.68	61%	-0.11	16.4	1.24%	0	2.2	62	0
22	Aug_19_2004	17.81	17.24	17.27	17.37	17.41	17.56	17.6(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	70	21	31	1.31	65%	-0.11	-15.2	1.24%	0	2.1	57	0
23	Aug_18_2004	17.83	17.23	17.22	17.25	17.27	17.4	17.58(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	12	60	15	4	1.21	69%	-0.06	-36.6	1.29%	0	2.2	53	0
24	Aug_17_2004	17.84	17.22	17.18	17.25	17.18	17.25	17.38(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	30	5	-12	1.67	60%	-0.11	-51.6	1.33%	0	1	52	0
25	Aug_16_2004	17.86	17.23	17.16	17.17	17.13	17.14	17.26(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-0	3	-14	1.66	60%		-50.5	1.43%	0	0.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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