Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 15, 2003

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $12.1100 (0.17%) ($12.0800 - $12.1100) on Thu. May. 15, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $12.1100(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(87%)    SPY(82%)    EWG(80%)    IWM(76%)    QQQ(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-21%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)    XLU(54%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $12.12(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.05(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.82(2.45%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2003	11.74	11.82	12.05	12.12	12.13	12.11	12.11(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	35	-10	5	126	0.34	77%	0.09	0	1.12%	0	1.1	80	NAN
2	May_14_2003	11.73	11.79	12.01	12.08	12.11	12.14	12.09(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	20	2	126	0.21	77%	0.17	0	1.14%	0	1.1	70	NAN
3	May_13_2003	11.71	11.75	11.97	12.07	12.06	12.16	12.15(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	60	7	129	0.28	77%	0.17	0	1.15%	0	1.5	62	NAN
4	May_12_2003	11.69	11.7	11.93	12.05	12.02	12.08	12.22(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	30	13	134	0.75	77%	0.26	0	1.16%	0	1.9	65	NAN
5	May_9_2003	11.66	11.7	11.85	12	11.98	12.08	12.05(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-20	6	2	0.06	75%	0.17	0	1.17%	0	46.3	63	NAN

6	May_8_2003	11.64	11.7	11.77	11.96	11.97	11.96	11.91(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-0	6	2	0.42	73%	0.17	0	1.19%	0	47.6	60	NAN
7	May_7_2003	11.62	11.7	11.73	11.91	11.93	12.01	12.02(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	50	12	5	0.31	73%	0.17	0	1.18%	0	48.1	66	NAN
8	May_6_2003	11.6	11.7	11.69	11.85	11.85	11.97	12.04(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	70	15	6	0.11	73%	0.26	0	1.21%	0	52.3	69	NAN
9	May_5_2003	11.57	11.7	11.64	11.79	11.78	11.86	11.98(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	40	22	9	0.05	73%	0.26	0	1.25%	0	57	72	NAN
10	May_2_2003	11.54	11.7	11.6	11.68	11.72	11.73	11.85(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	20	20	8	0.07	73%	0.26	0	1.29%	0	65.8	50	NAN

11	May_1_2003	11.51	11.7	11.56	11.56	11.61	11.73	11.67(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	70	9	4	0.23	69%	0.09	0	1.3%	0	68.6	50	NAN
12	Apr_30_2003	11.5	11.7	11.55	11.51	11.5	11.7	11.72(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	120	10	4	0.23	69%	0.17	0	1.33%	0	68.9	50	NAN
13	Apr_29_2003	11.48	11.7	11.51	11.5	11.44	11.51	11.75(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	30	12	5	0.08	69%	0.17	0	1.38%	0	73.4	50	NAN
14	Apr_28_2003	11.46	11.7	11.46	11.47	11.43	11.3	11.42(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-90	-9	-4	0.09	59%	0	0	1.18%	0	81.6	50	NAN
15	Apr_25_2003	11.46	11.7	11.46	11.5	11.49	11.37	11.24(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-17	-80	-20	-8	0.1	50%	-0.26	0	1.14%	0	74.9	50	NAN

16	Apr_24_2003	11.49	11.7	11.46	11.56	11.57	11.56	11.43(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-0	-6	-2	0.09	65%	0	0	1.01%	0	87.9	50	NAN
17	Apr_23_2003	11.49	11.7	11.46	11.58	11.58	11.6	11.66(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	10	28	11	0.03	100%	0.17	0	0.46%	0	83.3	50	NAN
18	Apr_22_2003	11.47	11.7	11.46	11.52	11.55	11.57	11.6(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	20	33	13	0.02	100%	0.26	0	0.5%	0	82.9	50	NAN
19	Apr_21_2003	11.44	11.7	11.46	11.44	11.49	11.56	11.56(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	819	60	963	385	0.07	100%	0.26	0	0.53%	0	88.9	50	NAN
20	Apr_17_2003	11.41	11.7	11.46	9.13	11.39	11.53	11.57(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	18.8	2413	830	2839	1136	0.02	100%	0.44	0	0.24%	0	89	50	NAN

21	Apr_16_2003	11.36	11.7	11.46	6.81	11.39	11.53	11.49(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	42.5	14354	NAN	16887	6755	0.01	100%	0.62	0	0.06%	0	104.5	50	NAN
22	Apr_15_2003	11.29	11.7	11.46	4.52	11.39	11.53	11.36(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	97.7	NAN	NAN	INF	NAN	0.42	100%	0.62	0	0%	0	162.3	50	NAN
23	Apr_14_2003	11.22	11.7	11.46	2.24	11.39	11.53	11.22(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	INF	NAN	NAN	NAN	NAN	0.09	0%		NAN	0%	0	INF	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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