Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $97.1500 (-3.19%) ($97.1500 - $98.8000) on Fri. Mar. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.47% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $97.1500(-3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    UUP(22%)    TLT(18%)    IPO(1%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-88%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.34(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.75(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.28(1.96%)
To recent high   -29.3%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.31%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.55%(75%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.05%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2017	114.35	95.28	96.75	97.34	97.61	99.06	97.15(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	110	16	65	0.12	46%	-0.13	-25.4	2.47%	0	0.8	54	0
2	Mar_9_2017	114.5	95.33	96.47	97.07	97.12	98.69	100.35(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	71	110	67	84	0.19	50%	-0.08	-32.9	2.46%	0	2	61	0
3	Mar_8_2017	114.59	95.28	95.54	96.63	96.16	96.17	98.05(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10	21	57	0.14	50%	-0.12	-43.4	2.45%	0	1.1	60	0
4	Mar_7_2017	114.73	95.44	94.87	95.71	96.15	95.55	95.4(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-30	-14	22	0.11	41%	-0.21	-48.5	2.42%	0	-0	51	0
5	Mar_6_2017	114.97	95.68	94.54	96.16	95.93	96.16	95.75(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	10	-13	20	0.11	41%	-0.19	-46.7	2.49%	0	0	50	0

6	Mar_3_2017	115.19	95.88	94.45	96.04	96.12	96.75	95.8(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	50	28	32	0.26	41%	-0.2	-49.3	2.49%	0	-0	49	0
7	Mar_2_2017	115.42	96.15	94.25	95.71	95.75	95.71	98.15(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-0	25	15	0.24	41%	-0.16	-49.7	2.5%	0	0.6	47	0
8	Mar_1_2017	115.6	96.36	93.68	94.29	95.03	95.49	93.45(-4.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	60	10	-30	0.25	35%	-0.19	-54.1	2.4%	0	-0.8	35	0
9	Feb_28_2017	115.82	96.85	93.84	93.84	94.04	95.79	97.65(2.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	30	140	52	-38	0.14	38%	-0.08	-56.1	2.35%	0	0.2	37	0
10	Feb_27_2017	115.91	97.13	93.56	92.69	92.84	94.58	95.15(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	26	140	57	-67	0.11	34%	-0.14	-62.6	2.32%	0	-0.5	36	0

11	Feb_24_2017	116.07	97.49	93.63	92.68	92.25	92.29	94.15(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10	21	-93	0.13	34%	-0.14	-71	2.32%	0	-0.8	35	0
12	Feb_23_2017	116.23	97.9	94.05	92.64	92.61	91.1	91.05(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-120	-37	-127	0.14	27%	-0.16	-80.9	2.28%	0	-1.5	23	0
13	Feb_22_2017	116.42	98.44	94.96	92.98	93.33	92.21	91.2(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-70	-55	-135	0.09	24%	-0.21	-94.8	2.33%	0	-1.7	22	0
14	Feb_21_2017	116.66	99.14	96.05	93.77	93.88	94.13	91.9(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	20	-23	-112	0.09	24%	-0.13	-99.8	2.39%	0	-1.8	22	0
15	Feb_17_2017	116.81	99.89	96.94	94.49	94.7	94.45	95.1(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10	14	-97	0.11	26%	-0.17	-85.8	2.37%	0	-1	25	0

16	Feb_16_2017	117.01	100.7	97.44	94.74	94.75	93.64	93.95(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-69	-80	-50	-127	0.14	26%	-0.13	-75.8	2.36%	0	-1.3	28	0
17	Feb_15_2017	117.16	101.61	98.24	95.73	95.8	94.95	92.75(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-65	-60	-48	-114	0.16	22%	-0.17	-68.2	2.38%	0	-1.7	24	0
18	Feb_14_2017	117.36	102.55	99.31	97.26	97.06	95.87	95.15(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-90	-44	-87	0.12	24%	-0.19	-66.9	2.47%	0	-1.5	33	0
19	Feb_13_2017	117.58	103.28	100.16	98.7	98.39	96.64	95.5(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-64	-130	-59	-77	0.07	24%	-0.14	-69.5	2.49%	0	-1.7	27	0
20	Feb_10_2017	117.75	103.99	101.05	99.74	99.91	98.26	96.35(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-110	-51	-65	0.1	45%	-0.1	-74.1	2.61%	0	-1.7	25	0

21	Feb_9_2017	117.87	104.66	101.71	100.5	100.7	100.14	98.9(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-30	-33	-63	0.14	53%	-0.1	-80.4	2.83%	0	-1.4	21	0
22	Feb_8_2017	117.99	105.26	102.1	101.1	101.03	101.57	100.4(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-15	40	-1	-57	0.14	53%	-0.17	-86.9	3.1%	0	-1.2	22	0
23	Feb_7_2017	118.19	105.95	102.22	101.67	101.27	101.26	102.35(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10	9	-65	0.14	45%	-0.16	-85.5	3.11%	0	-0.8	28	0
24	Feb_6_2017	118.38	106.65	102.45	101.92	101.47	100.5	100.7(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-80	-22	-77	0.09	45%	-0.19	-84.8	3.38%	0	-1.2	30	0
25	Feb_3_2017	118.61	107.43	103.05	102.61	102.25	101.27	100.15(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-80	-29	-78	0.23	45%		-84.6	3.4%	0	-1.4	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.