Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $98.0500 (2.78%) ($95.7000 - $98.3750) on Wed. Mar. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $98.0500(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    UUP(22%)    TLT(18%)    IPO(1%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-88%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.63(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.54(2.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.28(2.91%)
To recent high   -28.6%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.55%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 13.66%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 18.09%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2017	114.59	95.28	95.54	96.63	96.16	96.17	98.05(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10	21	57	0.14	50%	-0.12	-43.4	2.45%	0	1.1	60	0
2	Mar_7_2017	114.73	95.44	94.87	95.71	96.15	95.55	95.4(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-30	-14	22	0.11	41%	-0.21	-48.5	2.42%	0	-0	51	0
3	Mar_6_2017	114.97	95.68	94.54	96.16	95.93	96.16	95.75(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	10	-13	20	0.11	41%	-0.19	-46.7	2.49%	0	0	50	0
4	Mar_3_2017	115.19	95.88	94.45	96.04	96.12	96.75	95.8(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	50	28	32	0.26	41%	-0.2	-49.3	2.49%	0	-0	49	0
5	Mar_2_2017	115.42	96.15	94.25	95.71	95.75	95.71	98.15(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-0	25	15	0.24	41%	-0.16	-49.7	2.5%	0	0.6	47	0

6	Mar_1_2017	115.6	96.36	93.68	94.29	95.03	95.49	93.45(-4.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	60	10	-30	0.25	35%	-0.19	-54.1	2.4%	0	-0.8	35	0
7	Feb_28_2017	115.82	96.85	93.84	93.84	94.04	95.79	97.65(2.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	30	140	52	-38	0.14	38%	-0.08	-56.1	2.35%	0	0.2	37	0
8	Feb_27_2017	115.91	97.13	93.56	92.69	92.84	94.58	95.15(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	26	140	57	-67	0.11	34%	-0.14	-62.6	2.32%	0	-0.5	36	0
9	Feb_24_2017	116.07	97.49	93.63	92.68	92.25	92.29	94.15(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10	21	-93	0.13	34%	-0.14	-71	2.32%	0	-0.8	35	0
10	Feb_23_2017	116.23	97.9	94.05	92.64	92.61	91.1	91.05(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-120	-37	-127	0.14	27%	-0.16	-80.9	2.28%	0	-1.5	23	0

11	Feb_22_2017	116.42	98.44	94.96	92.98	93.33	92.21	91.2(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-70	-55	-135	0.09	24%	-0.21	-94.8	2.33%	0	-1.7	22	0
12	Feb_21_2017	116.66	99.14	96.05	93.77	93.88	94.13	91.9(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	20	-23	-112	0.09	24%	-0.13	-99.8	2.39%	0	-1.8	22	0
13	Feb_17_2017	116.81	99.89	96.94	94.49	94.7	94.45	95.1(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10	14	-97	0.11	26%	-0.17	-85.8	2.37%	0	-1	25	0
14	Feb_16_2017	117.01	100.7	97.44	94.74	94.75	93.64	93.95(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-69	-80	-50	-127	0.14	26%	-0.13	-75.8	2.36%	0	-1.3	28	0
15	Feb_15_2017	117.16	101.61	98.24	95.73	95.8	94.95	92.75(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-65	-60	-48	-114	0.16	22%	-0.17	-68.2	2.38%	0	-1.7	24	0

16	Feb_14_2017	117.36	102.55	99.31	97.26	97.06	95.87	95.15(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-90	-44	-87	0.12	24%	-0.19	-66.9	2.47%	0	-1.5	33	0
17	Feb_13_2017	117.58	103.28	100.16	98.7	98.39	96.64	95.5(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-64	-130	-59	-77	0.07	24%	-0.14	-69.5	2.49%	0	-1.7	27	0
18	Feb_10_2017	117.75	103.99	101.05	99.74	99.91	98.26	96.35(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-110	-51	-65	0.1	45%	-0.1	-74.1	2.61%	0	-1.7	25	0
19	Feb_9_2017	117.87	104.66	101.71	100.5	100.7	100.14	98.9(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-30	-33	-63	0.14	53%	-0.1	-80.4	2.83%	0	-1.4	21	0
20	Feb_8_2017	117.99	105.26	102.1	101.1	101.03	101.57	100.4(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-15	40	-1	-57	0.14	53%	-0.17	-86.9	3.1%	0	-1.2	22	0

21	Feb_7_2017	118.19	105.95	102.22	101.67	101.27	101.26	102.35(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10	9	-65	0.14	45%	-0.16	-85.5	3.11%	0	-0.8	28	0
22	Feb_6_2017	118.38	106.65	102.45	101.92	101.47	100.5	100.7(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-80	-22	-77	0.09	45%	-0.19	-84.8	3.38%	0	-1.2	30	0
23	Feb_3_2017	118.61	107.43	103.05	102.61	102.25	101.27	100.15(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-80	-29	-78	0.23	45%	-0.19	-84.6	3.4%	0	-1.4	29	0
24	Feb_2_2017	118.83	108.18	104.17	103.08	103.29	102.44	101.9(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-50	-14	-65	0.14	48%	-0.22	-96.2	3.4%	0	-1.2	31	0
25	Feb_1_2017	119.09	109.02	105.18	103.2	103.44	103.23	103.25(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10	-10	-61	0.26	48%		-102.7	3.43%	0	-1.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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