Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $103.2500 (-0.34%) ($101.7000 - $103.9500) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.43% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $103.2500(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    UUP(22%)    TLT(18%)    IPO(1%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-88%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.715% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $96.54(-6.5%)
Resistance Level   $109.02
5 Day Moving Average   $103.2(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.18(-1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.02(-5.29%)
To recent high   -27.2%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 3.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.17%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.41%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2017	119.09	109.02	105.18	103.2	103.44	103.23	103.25(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10	-10	-61	0.26	48%	-0.22	-102.7	3.43%	0	-1.1	31	INF
2	Jan_31_2017	119.35	109.91	105.97	102.83	103.28	104.14	103.6(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	70	9	-61	0.23	48%	-0.13	-107	3.45%	0	-1.1	26	INF
3	Jan_30_2017	119.51	111	106.57	103.09	102.89	103.66	104.15(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	50	14	-67	0.18	48%	-0.16	-116	3.45%	0	-1.2	23	INF
4	Jan_27_2017	119.7	111.96	107.11	103.64	102.98	102.41	102.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-35	-60	-18	-87	0.18	48%	-0.08	-106.6	3.45%	0	-1.5	19	INF
5	Jan_26_2017	119.79	113.31	107.83	105.52	104.34	102.13	102.5(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-180	-53	-94	0.16	48%	-0.07	-99	3.46%	0	-1.6	26	INF

6	Jan_25_2017	119.87	114.79	108.7	107.52	106.9	103.54	101.4(-3.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-81	-240	-75	-97	0.16	48%	-0.06	-85	3.49%	0	-1.9	19	INF
7	Jan_24_2017	119.94	116.45	110.05	109.54	109.42	106.56	104.9(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-76	-190	-71	-89	0.16	48%	-0.13	-71.5	3.46%	0	-1.5	19	INF
8	Jan_23_2017	120.1	118.04	111.25	110.49	110.85	110.25	106.9(-4.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-30	-36	-81	0.41	48%	-0.08	-66.3	3.46%	0	-1.5	17	INF
9	Jan_20_2017	120.2	119.32	112.24	110.99	111.27	112.28	111.9(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	70	20	-65	0.18	51%	-0.1	-57.4	3.41%	0	-0.9	27	INF
10	Jan_19_2017	120.32	120.27	112.53	110.49	110.71	111.46	112.5(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	50	25	-88	0.23	51%	-0.11	-47.3	3.41%	0	-0.9	22	INF

11	Jan_18_2017	120.45	121.24	113.12	110.14	110.07	110.27	111.5(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	10	-3	-120	0.14	47%	-0.09	-42.7	3.41%	0	-1	18	INF
12	Jan_17_2017	120.56	122.18	114.07	110.77	110.6	109.96	109.65(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-50	-16	-136	0.16	47%	-0.12	-36.9	3.48%	0	-1.3	13	INF
13	Jan_13_2017	120.7	123.14	115.67	112.22	111.7	109.88	109.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-69	-130	-42	-151	0.14	47%	-0.09	-29.5	3.45%	0	-1.5	12	INF
14	Jan_12_2017	120.81	124.15	117.12	113.69	113.38	111.24	109.4(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-80	-140	-54	-156	0.2	47%	-0.1	-22.6	3.46%	0	-1.7	23	INF
15	Jan_11_2017	120.93	124.71	119.17	114.81	115.1	113.53	110.75(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-90	-43	-146	0.31	52%	-0.09	-25.6	3.46%	0	-1.8	27	INF

16	Jan_10_2017	121.04	125.37	121.36	116.48	115.83	115.53	114.65(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-30	-33	-127	0.16	50%	-0.05	-25.2	3.54%	0	-1.5	28	INF
17	Jan_9_2017	121.1	125.72	123.35	117.87	117.05	116.68	116.9(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-40	-11	-103	0.14	50%	0.02	-29	3.56%	0	-1.3	35	INF
18	Jan_6_2017	121.08	125.86	125.34	119.74	118.25	116.13	116.75(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-160	-43	-94	0.2	50%	0.02	-31	3.56%	0	-1.4	39	INF
19	Jan_5_2017	121.05	126.09	126.98	121.17	120.41	117.43	115(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-79	-190	-75	-92	0.24	47%	-0.02	-30.6	3.56%	0	-1.7	35	INF
20	Jan_4_2017	121.07	126.7	128.7	124.19	122.73	120.38	119.1(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-72	-170	-77	-58	0.34	49%	0.04	-20.3	3.57%	0	-1.3	56	INF

21	Jan_3_2017	121.02	127.19	130.1	126.96	125.44	123.4	121.6(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-150	-60	-20	0.3	49%	0.11	-8.5	3.59%	0	-1	53	INF
22	Dec_30_2016	120.89	127.68	131.03	129.64	128.4	125.09	126.25(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-47	-210	-66	10	0.34	51%	0.09	5.7	3.57%	0	-0.3	61	INF
23	Dec_29_2016	120.78	127.91	131.29	131.86	131.09	127.49	123.9(-4.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-63	-210	-93	29	0.23	54%	0.02	16.1	3.57%	0	-0.7	61	INF
24	Dec_28_2016	120.75	128.08	131.87	133.63	134.21	131.71	130.1(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-16	-120	-46	74	0.16	57%	0.08	24.8	3.57%	0	0.4	65	INF
25	Dec_27_2016	120.65	127.95	130.82	133.81	134.59	134.68	132.95(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	20	-23	77	0.06	54%		20.7	3.58%	0	0.9	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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