Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $122.5500 (0.91%) ($120.0500 - $123.7000) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.34% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $122.5500(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    UUP(21%)    TLT(17%)    IPO(6%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)    FXI(-86%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.67% (StdDev 3.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $118.46(3.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.12(6.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $114.13(7.38%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 3.71% (three month std-dev: 3.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 3.48%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.91%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 6.85%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -2.21%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 6.44%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.12%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2016	127.92	114.13	115.12	118.46	118.13	121.01	122.55(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	68	160	66	72	0.33	52%	-0.46	46.1	3.34%	0	2	55	0
2	Nov_2_2016	128.51	113.43	113.88	116.96	116.58	118.06	121.45(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	80	66	49	0.37	52%	-0.5	33.3	3.34%	0	2.1	53	0
3	Nov_1_2016	129.16	112.81	112.64	115.13	114.94	115.25	117.45(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	10	20	7	0.38	50%	-0.52	23.9	3.32%	0	1.4	54	0
4	Oct_31_2016	129.84	112.62	111.99	113.42	114	115.11	114.35(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	80	25	-11	0.2	50%	-0.48	14.2	3.3%	0	0.5	50	0
5	Oct_28_2016	130.47	112.43	112.25	112.41	112.65	114.64	116.5(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	130	49	5	0.32	50%	-0.37	-3.1	3.3%	0	1.3	67	0

6	Oct_27_2016	130.95	112.22	112.26	111.24	110.92	112.89	115.05(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	120	43	2	0.2	50%	-0.34	-12.5	3.3%	0	0.9	58	0
7	Oct_26_2016	131.4	112.16	112.45	110.37	110.41	110.65	112.3(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	20	32	2	0.25	50%	-0.38	-10.6	3.28%	0	0	57	0
8	Oct_25_2016	131.9	112	112.7	109.83	110.02	108.95	108.9(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-60	-23	-17	0.13	50%	-0.45	-17.3	3.27%	0	-1	52	0
9	Oct_24_2016	132.49	112.17	113.27	110.34	110.22	110.18	109.3(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10	-30	-15	0.14	50%	-0.48	-24.2	3.29%	0	-0.9	44	0
10	Oct_21_2016	133.13	112.53	113.15	112.05	110.99	111.09	110.65(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-20	-9	3	0.13	50%	-0.54	-15.6	3.3%	0	-0.6	52	0

11	Oct_20_2016	133.85	112.61	113.2	113.44	112.5	110.27	110.7(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-160	-30	5	0.2	50%	-0.56	-19.1	3.3%	0	-0.6	49	0
12	Oct_19_2016	134.6	112.5	113.1	114.88	113.93	110.88	109.6(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-67	-210	-85	-12	0.14	50%	-0.57	-24.4	3.3%	0	-0.9	45	0
13	Oct_18_2016	135.37	112.55	113.16	115.94	116.24	114.74	111.45(-5.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-29	-80	-44	16	0.18	50%	-0.18	-35.3	3.33%	0	-0.3	55	0
14	Oct_17_2016	135.61	112.96	113.47	116.52	117.07	116.97	117.85(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	9	48	0.17	53%	-0.51	-37.9	3.28%	0	1.2	57	0
15	Oct_14_2016	136.3	113.03	112.71	114.34	116.1	117.75	117.6(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	150	36	30	0.21	53%	-0.51	-46.4	3.28%	0	1	50	0

16	Oct_13_2016	137	113.24	112.16	112.93	113.91	117.18	117.9(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	62	230	72	33	0.38	53%	-0.53	-52.2	3.31%	0	1	56	0
17	Oct_12_2016	137.73	113.32	111.73	111.15	111.65	114.44	114.9(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	190	75	27	0.22	53%	-0.61	-46.1	3.29%	0	0.3	58	0
18	Oct_11_2016	138.57	113.87	111.1	110.06	110.42	110.64	114.35(6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	25	20	34	-1	0.39	53%	-0.65	-33.3	3.33%	0	0.1	55	0
19	Oct_10_2016	139.47	114.5	110.81	110.09	109.55	108.86	106.95(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-60	-36	-42	0.2	49%	-0.69	-19.8	3.22%	0	-1.2	39	0
20	Oct_7_2016	140.44	115.14	111.77	110.8	110.8	110.2	110.55(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-40	-6	-29	0.37	47%	-0.7	-15.4	3.27%	0	-0.7	41	0

21	Oct_6_2016	141.43	115.71	111.92	111.24	111.15	110.25	109(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-60	-30	-52	0.23	47%	-0.67	-14	3.27%	0	-1.1	37	0
22	Oct_5_2016	142.38	115.88	111.89	112.35	111.85	111.39	109.45(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-40	-14	-55	0.28	51%	-0.62	-19.4	3.27%	0	-1	40	0
23	Oct_4_2016	143.27	115.98	111.99	112.19	112.43	112.04	114.5(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-20	3	-73	0.52	54%	-0.56	-28.4	3.34%	0	-0.2	38	0
24	Oct_3_2016	144.08	115.76	112.46	111.67	111.97	112.31	110.5(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	30	-18	-98	0.28	52%	-0.64	-38.2	3.33%	0	-0.8	33	0
25	Sep_30_2016	145.01	116.1	113.42	112.91	112.44	112.81	112.75(-1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	10	12	-75	0.27	52%		-38.7	3.33%	0	-0.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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