Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $109.4500 (-4.41%) ($108.9000 - $111.9000) on Wed. Oct. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $109.4500(-4.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    UUP(21%)    TLT(17%)    IPO(6%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)    FXI(-86%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $115.88
5 Day Moving Average   $112.35(-2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.89(-2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.88(-5.55%)
To recent high   -32.2%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 5.3% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.32%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -8.15%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.65%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.15%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2016	142.38	115.88	111.89	112.35	111.85	111.39	109.45(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-40	-14	-55	0.28	51%	-0.62	-19.4	3.27%	0	-1	40	INF
2	Oct_4_2016	143.27	115.98	111.99	112.19	112.43	112.04	114.5(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-20	3	-73	0.52	54%	-0.56	-28.4	3.34%	0	-0.2	38	INF
3	Oct_3_2016	144.08	115.76	112.46	111.67	111.97	112.31	110.5(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	30	-18	-98	0.28	52%	-0.64	-38.2	3.33%	0	-0.8	33	INF
4	Sep_30_2016	145.01	116.1	113.42	112.91	112.44	112.81	112.75(-1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	10	12	-75	0.27	52%	-0.55	-38.7	3.33%	0	-0.5	46	INF
5	Sep_29_2016	145.81	116.58	114.39	112.74	113.11	111.64	114.55(5.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-80	4	-79	0.41	47%	-0.53	-37.4	3.35%	0	-0.3	45	INF

6	Sep_28_2016	146.58	117.09	114.96	111.4	112.73	112.08	108.65(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-0	-32	-92	0.28	38%	-0.55	-38.8	3.37%	0	-1.3	52	INF
7	Sep_27_2016	147.39	117.76	116.8	111.68	111.95	114.58	111.9(-4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	170	8	-50	0.24	38%	-0.6	-39.7	3.52%	0	-0.9	55	INF
8	Sep_26_2016	148.28	118.21	118.41	113.37	112	113.38	116.7(4.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	50	46	2	0.34	40%	-0.52	-33.2	3.54%	0	-0.2	59	INF
9	Sep_23_2016	149.05	118.54	118.69	114.15	112.83	109.33	111.9(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-250	-40	-22	0.2	46%	-0.55	-24.1	4.18%	0	-1.1	48	INF
10	Sep_22_2016	149.88	118.99	119.78	116.44	114.92	110.62	107.85(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-89	-300	-107	-34	0.31	46%	-0.58	-9.8	4.23%	0	-1.8	41	INF

11	Sep_21_2016	150.75	119.69	120.33	119.05	119.07	116.33	110.05(-8.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-52	-160	-64	-14	0.54	46%	-0.5	5.4	4.23%	0	-1.8	40	INF
12	Sep_20_2016	151.5	120.31	120.56	122.52	121.41	119.23	120.35(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-38	-150	-51	3	0.2	47%	-0.33	31.6	4.11%	0	0	50	INF
13	Sep_19_2016	152	120.3	119.54	124.15	123.26	121.81	120.6(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	-100	-34	9	0.22	47%	-0.32	47.6	4.16%	0	0.1	51	INF
14	Sep_16_2016	152.49	120.06	119.17	123.9	125.14	123.59	123.35(2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-60	-11	9	0.35	47%	-0.29	44.6	4.15%	0	0.6	50	INF
15	Sep_15_2016	152.93	119.59	119.02	123.67	124.88	124.71	120.9(-5.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	20	-9	11	0.32	47%	-0.27	41.1	4.15%	0	0.2	52	INF

16	Sep_14_2016	153.34	119.39	119.37	121.69	123.93	126.69	127.4(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	210	63	32	0.58	50%	-0.24	27.6	4.12%	0	1.5	56	INF
17	Sep_13_2016	153.71	118.74	118.66	118.22	119.95	125.05	128.5(7.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	77	340	95	21	0.82	52%	-0.27	4.5	4.12%	0	1.9	56	INF
18	Sep_12_2016	154.13	117.95	117.73	114.34	115.64	121.18	119.35(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	78	370	104	-2	0.66	48%	-0.31	-27.2	4.04%	0	0.3	50	INF
19	Sep_9_2016	154.61	117.81	118.07	113.82	112.51	114.84	122.2(10.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	42	110	60	-14	0.56	53%	-0.27	-38.8	4.15%	0	1	59	INF
20	Sep_8_2016	155.03	117.47	117.82	113.94	112.1	110.1	111(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-170	-39	-48	0.3	48%	-0.32	-52.8	3.96%	0	-1.4	50	INF

21	Sep_7_2016	155.52	117.96	118.84	116.81	115.51	110.18	110.05(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-76	-360	-87	-44	0.22	48%	-0.3	-50.7	3.97%	0	-1.8	44	INF
22	Sep_6_2016	155.99	118.51	120.08	119.1	119.2	114.09	109.1(-6.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-92	-300	-113	-30	0.28	48%	-0.43	-54.8	3.97%	0	-2.4	47	INF
23	Sep_2_2016	156.66	119.22	121.32	121.39	121.69	120.83	116.75(-4.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-40	-40	-59	17	0.26	49%	-0.3	-53.7	3.92%	0	-0.7	58	INF
24	Sep_1_2016	157.13	119.64	121.3	122.74	122.79	124.32	122.8(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	90	30	62	0.27	52%	-0.25	-42.4	3.89%	0	0.8	60	INF
25	Aug_31_2016	157.52	119.92	120.44	122.26	122.06	122.56	125.35(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	20	27	57	0.34	52%		-41.3	3.88%	0	1.1	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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