Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $122.8000 (-2.03%) ($122.6500 - $126.0000) on Thu. Sep. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.89% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $122.8000(-2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(27%)    UUP(22%)    TLT(16%)    IBUY(6%)    IPO(4%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -1.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)    FXI(-86%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.945% (StdDev 3.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.74(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.3(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $119.64(2.64%)
To recent high   -34.9%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 3.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.12%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.78%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.06%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2016	157.13	119.64	121.3	122.74	122.79	124.32	122.8(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	90	30	62	0.27	52%	-0.25	-42.4	3.89%	0	0.8	60	INF
2	Aug_31_2016	157.52	119.92	120.44	122.26	122.06	122.56	125.35(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	20	27	57	0.34	52%	-0.29	-41.3	3.88%	0	1.1	65	INF
3	Aug_30_2016	157.98	120.18	119.55	121.31	121.2	121.26	121.5(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	0	-6	33	0.31	52%	-0.37	-41.3	3.86%	0	0.2	51	INF
4	Aug_29_2016	158.56	120.7	118.9	121.32	121.41	121.56	120.55(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	10	11	34	0.26	52%	-0.41	-39.1	3.88%	0	-0	50	INF
5	Aug_26_2016	159.22	121.17	118.2	121.24	120.73	121.15	123.5(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	9	22	0.77	52%	-0.46	-42.5	3.88%	0	0.4	49	INF

6	Aug_25_2016	159.95	121.44	117.47	119.62	120.33	121.26	120.4(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	70	27	7	0.29	52%	-0.4	-48.7	3.86%	0	-0.2	40	INF
7	Aug_24_2016	160.6	121.98	116.98	118.28	119.23	120.3	120.6(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	90	28	-19	0.31	52%	-0.45	-54.3	3.88%	0	-0.2	34	INF
8	Aug_23_2016	161.33	122.52	116.86	117.51	117.47	119.41	121.55(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	110	25	-40	0.45	52%	-0.37	-56.2	3.89%	0	-0.1	33	INF
9	Aug_22_2016	161.93	123.08	116.65	116.15	117.06	118.16	120.15(4.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	24	90	50	-55	0.4	52%	-0.34	-59.1	3.88%	0	-0.4	29	INF
10	Aug_19_2016	162.49	123.87	116.81	114.77	115.8	115.52	115.4(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	10	-1	-96	0.29	50%	-0.36	-61	3.85%	0	-1.1	27	INF

11	Aug_18_2016	163.08	124.74	117.75	115.03	115.01	115.97	113.7(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	60	-8	-103	0.26	50%	-0.37	-62.2	3.86%	0	-1.4	25	INF
12	Aug_17_2016	163.69	125.86	119.31	115.43	115.61	116.07	116.75(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	30	24	-90	0.34	50%	-0.38	-63.7	3.88%	0	-1.2	25	INF
13	Aug_16_2016	164.31	126.76	120.79	116.13	115.55	114.04	114.75(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-110	-29	-107	0.19	50%	-0.44	-66.2	3.88%	0	-1.6	21	INF
14	Aug_15_2016	165.04	127.88	122.62	117.25	116.78	115.15	113.25(-2.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-62	-110	-46	-108	0.15	50%	-0.32	-69.9	3.89%	0	-2	16	INF
15	Aug_12_2016	165.57	128.92	124.42	119.14	118.55	117.06	116.7(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-100	-36	-97	0.18	53%	-0.44	-79.7	3.95%	0	-1.9	16	INF

16	Aug_11_2016	166.3	129.93	125.8	120.9	120.05	118.42	115.7(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-120	-50	-96	0.21	53%	-0.44	-91.2	3.95%	0	-2.4	25	INF
17	Aug_10_2016	167.03	130.98	127.52	123.76	122.35	120.05	120.25(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-170	-51	-83	0.16	49%	-0.35	-108.6	3.93%	0	-2	26	INF
18	Aug_9_2016	167.62	132.05	128.77	126.19	125.07	121.68	120.35(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-75	-220	-74	-79	0.16	49%	-0.34	-119.6	3.98%	0	-2.3	30	INF
19	Aug_8_2016	168.2	133.1	130.16	128.83	128.57	124.66	122.7(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-71	-220	-73	-66	0.13	49%	-0.33	-120.2	4.02%	0	-2	29	INF
20	Aug_5_2016	168.76	134.31	131.6	130.45	131.12	128.47	125.5(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-130	-60	-47	0.14	49%	-0.33	-103.3	4.01%	0	-1.5	42	INF

21	Aug_4_2016	169.32	135.58	132.4	131.36	131.96	132.48	130(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	40	-20	-30	0.16	52%	-0.38	-77.4	4%	0	-0.7	41	INF
22	Aug_3_2016	169.97	137.05	132.98	131.82	132.2	133.77	132.4(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	23	90	32	-6	0.18	56%	-0.45	-64.3	4.05%	0	-0.5	45	INF
23	Aug_2_2016	170.73	138.37	133.18	131.79	131.8	131.44	133.55(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-20	9	-21	0.25	56%	-0.38	-63.8	4.19%	0	-0.5	39	INF
24	Aug_1_2016	171.38	139.58	133.46	131.82	131.82	130.63	130.8(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-60	-30	-41	0.14	56%	-0.37	-75.4	4.19%	0	-0.9	35	INF
25	Jul_29_2016	172.02	140.54	133.69	133.02	132.87	132.17	130.05(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-40	-20	-44	0.22	56%		-86	4.22%	0	-1.1	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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