Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $161.5000 (0.62%) ($156.8500 - $163.1000) on Thu. Jul. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.29% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $161.5000(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(27%)    UUP(22%)    TLT(16%)    IPO(4%)    SHY(0%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -2.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)    FXI(-86%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.145% (StdDev 4.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $149.04(-7.72%)
Resistance Level   $169.56
5 Day Moving Average   $157.08(2.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $163.74(-1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169.56(-4.75%)
To recent high   -22.4%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 6.91% (three month std-dev: 4.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.01%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.87%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2016	188.05	169.56	163.74	157.08	157.92	161.79	161.5(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	190	21	-59	0.17	56%	-0.5	-27.6	4.29%	0	-0.7	43	0
2	Jul_6_2016	189	169.54	164.2	156.59	156.89	160.71	160.5(0.72%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	44	180	75	-50	0.28	56%	-0.59	-38.3	4.36%	0	-0.8	43	0
3	Jul_5_2016	190.12	169.74	164.88	158.88	156.18	154.04	159.35(6.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-150	-33	-97	0.22	58%	-0.69	-42.1	4.38%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Jul_1_2016	191.45	170.2	166.07	164.76	160.26	153.08	150(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-138	-400	-142	-127	0.21	56%	-0.82	-37.6	4.36%	0	-1.8	37	0
5	Jun_30_2016	193.04	171.45	169.21	171.08	169.65	158.32	154.05(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-135	-490	-146	-100	0.29	56%	-0.72	-30	4.32%	0	-1.7	43	0

6	Jun_29_2016	194.44	172.86	172.08	171.06	175.44	167.43	159.05(-7.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-138	-240	-154	-91	0.2	56%	-0.71	-35.3	4.32%	0	-1.4	52	0
7	Jun_28_2016	195.83	174.2	174.31	172.44	174.49	180.98	171.95(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	300	-10	-13	0.22	60%	-0.57	-37.7	4.25%	0	-0.2	60	0
8	Jun_27_2016	196.96	174.82	175.64	171.47	172.19	183.45	188.75(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	201	470	235	98	0.35	66%	-0.43	-47.3	4.1%	0	1.4	64	0
9	Jun_24_2016	197.81	174.54	174.96	167.93	167.28	168.01	181.6(17.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	88	20	103	42	0.35	66%	-0.42	-64.9	4.1%	0	0.7	59	0
10	Jun_23_2016	198.64	174.65	174.38	167.79	165.08	160.94	153.95(-7.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-131	-220	-155	-58	0.19	60%	-0.6	-73.9	3.43%	0	-2.1	40	0

11	Jun_22_2016	199.83	176.48	175.8	173.43	171.25	166.54	165.95(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-78	-230	-98	-18	0.16	66%	-0.65	-70.7	3.38%	0	-1.1	41	0
12	Jun_21_2016	201.14	177.97	175.39	176.35	176.75	169.22	167.1(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-113	-290	-137	-41	0.14	66%	-0.51	-59.4	3.38%	0	-1.1	39	0
13	Jun_20_2016	202.17	179.7	175.16	180.17	179.6	175.95	171.05(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-140	-150	-169	-52	0.14	66%	-0.45	-41.8	3.37%	0	-0.8	41	0
14	Jun_17_2016	203.09	181.16	174.89	182.83	183.69	184.28	180.9(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	40	15	19	0.14	65%	-0.54	-33.6	3.3%	0	-0	45	0
15	Jun_16_2016	204.2	182.38	174.02	181.97	184.05	183.24	182.15(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	32	0	38	12	0.25	60%	-0.6	-26.7	3.41%	0	-0	46	0

16	Jun_15_2016	205.44	183.3	173.75	178.46	181.21	183.11	180.55(-3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	120	21	-22	0.22	60%	-0.59	-28.4	3.48%	0	-0.2	42	0
17	Jun_14_2016	206.66	184.05	174.04	174.15	177.54	184.86	186.2(1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	115	350	153	-1	0.23	60%	-0.63	-34	3.51%	0	0.2	40	0
18	Jun_13_2016	207.97	184.39	173.69	169.43	170.75	179.31	184.35(4.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	130	370	183	-28	0.23	60%	-0.56	-44.3	3.52%	0	-0	35	0
19	Jun_10_2016	209.14	185.15	173.6	165.98	165.78	170.22	176.6(7.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	78	180	130	-79	0.25	54%	-0.76	-47	3.56%	0	-0.6	29	0
20	Jun_9_2016	210.74	185.91	174.37	165.22	164.09	162.19	164.6(3.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-100	-20	-166	0.22	50%	-0.83	-49.9	3.43%	0	-1.5	12	0

21	Jun_8_2016	212.51	187.28	176.85	168.56	166.47	161.33	159(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-158	-250	-140	-211	0.27	47%	-0.75	-48.5	3.4%	0	-2.1	13	0
22	Jun_7_2016	214.12	188.9	180.65	173.86	172.52	165.99	162.6(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-156	-290	-146	-187	0.21	47%	-0.25	-42.8	3.46%	0	-2.2	24	0
23	Jun_6_2016	214.65	190.84	184.7	178.4	178.33	171.62	167.1(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-156	-260	-154	-162	0.28	47%	-0.78	-25.3	3.45%	0	-2.3	29	0
24	Jun_3_2016	216.34	192.23	188.21	182.15	182.32	179.05	172.8(-4.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-119	-120	-116	-129	0.3	44%	-0.58	-5.7	3.5%	0	-2.3	28	0
25	Jun_2_2016	217.61	193.36	191.73	184.74	184.91	185.04	181.3(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	10	-18	-66	0.19	46%		20.3	3.48%	0	-1.7	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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