Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $201.2495 (5.26%) ($193.4000 - $202.3500) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.02% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $201.2495(5.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(29%)    UUP(23%)    TLT(17%)    IPO(3%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -2.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)    FXI(-86%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.01% (StdDev 4.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $193.93(3.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $190.47(5.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $177.83(13.17%)
To recent high   -25.4%
To recent low   28.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 8.15% (three month std-dev: 4.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 4.78%(69%) Average negative next day return: -2.24%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 5.39%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.15%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	226.83	177.83	190.47	193.93	191.56	193.57	201.25(5.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	86	40	67	142	0.25	37%	-0.12	49.2	4.02%	0	1.6	72	0
2	May_12_2016	227.1	176.01	187.25	192.12	191.23	188.79	191.2(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-100	-18	107	0.28	34%	-0.17	42	3.98%	0	1.1	70	0
3	May_11_2016	227.49	174.6	184.92	192.5	192.26	189.55	189.65(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-17	-100	-56	99	0.23	34%	-0.18	32.6	4.02%	0	1.1	71	0
4	May_10_2016	227.89	173.17	182.24	193.17	192.71	193.67	188.1(-5.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	30	-13	125	0.24	34%	-0.19	27.2	4.08%	0	1.2	73	0
5	May_9_2016	228.32	172.21	179.93	192.29	192.61	194.98	199.45(3.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	107	90	85	173	0.41	36%	-0.14	18.2	4.03%	0	2.2	84	0

6	May_6_2016	228.64	170.98	176.79	186.33	188.73	191.75	192.2(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	93	150	75	146	0.37	36%	-0.18	4.2	4.05%	0	1.9	71	0
7	May_5_2016	229.05	170.47	174.09	181.53	182.84	190.23	193.1(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	117	300	110	137	0.27	36%	-0.17	-3.2	4.08%	0	1.9	68	0
8	May_4_2016	229.45	170.34	170.99	176.19	177.37	185.72	193(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	177	350	188	143	0.34	36%	-0.18	-8.1	4.11%	0	2	70	0
9	May_3_2016	229.86	169.74	167.42	169.82	171.2	175.44	183.7(8.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	114	200	123	85	0.49	30%	-0.23	-19.6	4.06%	0	1.3	67	0
10	May_2_2016	230.4	169.96	164.6	165.9	166.83	169.03	169.65(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	110	34	18	0.29	31%	-0.3	-24.5	4.01%	0	-0	48	0

11	Apr_29_2016	231.1	170.51	163.98	165.89	165.78	166.96	168.2(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	50	29	5	0.5	28%	-0.32	-26.8	4.21%	0	-0.2	40	0
12	Apr_28_2016	231.84	170.85	163.73	165.48	165.77	164.64	166.4(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-40	2	-23	0.32	28%	-0.34	-33.1	4.35%	0	-0.4	34	0
13	Apr_27_2016	232.62	171.26	163.42	164.9	165.73	164.6	161.15(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-30	-22	-59	0.23	28%	-0.37	-40.3	4.35%	0	-0.9	25	0
14	Apr_26_2016	233.48	171.92	163.5	164.43	165.26	166.9	164.1(-3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	80	15	-64	0.16	28%	-0.36	-44.4	4.35%	0	-0.7	37	0
15	Apr_25_2016	234.33	172.68	164.07	162.91	163.79	166.87	169.6(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	150	59	-68	0.26	28%	-0.34	-46.8	4.36%	0	-0.3	36	0

16	Apr_22_2016	235.13	173.49	164.79	161.8	161.14	163.63	166.15(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	100	32	-85	0.26	26%	-0.36	-45.6	4.41%	0	-0.7	42	0
17	Apr_21_2016	235.99	174.56	166.57	161.86	161.3	160.7	163.5(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-40	17	-82	0.39	26%	-0.39	-42.3	4.56%	0	-1	45	0
18	Apr_20_2016	236.91	175.75	169.56	161.88	162.17	158.65	158.8(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-150	-43	-94	0.31	29%	-0.42	-45.1	4.53%	0	-1.5	43	0
19	Apr_19_2016	237.91	176.8	172.18	162.43	163.07	161.89	156.5(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-40	-56	-89	0.32	29%	-0.44	-58.3	4.62%	0	-1.9	43	0
20	Apr_18_2016	238.97	177.94	175.75	165.25	164.2	165.69	164.05(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	40	-5	-50	0.38	29%	-0.41	-67.2	4.62%	0	-1.5	43	0

21	Apr_15_2016	239.95	178.72	177.6	168.23	166.18	164.26	166.45(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-120	-13	-44	0.27	35%	-0.41	-71.1	4.66%	0	-1.4	40	0
22	Apr_14_2016	240.93	179.5	178.65	172.17	169.2	162.72	163.6(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-95	-320	-103	-72	0.23	34%	-0.43	-76.6	4.92%	0	-1.9	37	0
23	Apr_13_2016	241.98	181.03	179.95	178.62	174.7	168.11	161.55(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-119	-330	-135	-69	0.38	34%	-0.45	-67.3	4.93%	0	-2.4	36	0
24	Apr_12_2016	243.08	183.24	181.42	183.32	182.64	175.68	170.6(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-78	-280	-91	-37	0.31	36%	-0.41	-53.4	4.92%	0	-1.5	48	0
25	Apr_11_2016	244.08	184.59	182.42	187.62	186.61	181.29	178.95(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-86	-220	-106	-26	0.36	36%		-42.9	4.9%	0	-0.7	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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