Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $192.1000 (5.81%) ($188.2000 - $193.0000) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.01% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $192.1000(5.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(29%)    UUP(23%)    TLT(17%)    IPO(2%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -2.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.505% (StdDev 5.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $172.42(-10.24%)
5 Day Moving Average   $179.31(7.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $181.55(5.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $187.95(2.21%)
To recent high   -43.1%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 6.45% (three month std-dev: 5.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	247.47	187.95	181.55	179.31	180.63	184.73	192.1(5.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	180	88	11	0.22	41%	-0.33	-66	5.01%	0	0.3	39	0
2	Apr_4_2016	248.3	188.36	179.95	176.69	175.8	179.44	181.55(3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	130	18	-39	0.17	42%	-0.41	-88.8	4.95%	0	-0.5	39	0
3	Apr_1_2016	249.31	189.32	179.58	177.72	177.33	176.53	175.3(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	10	-40	27	-41	0.31	42%	-0.46	-106.3	5.03%	0	-1.1	38	0
4	Mar_31_2016	250.45	191.21	180.18	180.29	179.14	172.16	174.25(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-92	-290	-91	-94	0.27	42%	-0.47	-111	5.07%	0	-1.3	31	0
5	Mar_30_2016	251.64	193.52	182.07	182.91	183.7	178.13	173.35(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-100	-200	-101	-98	0.22	43%	-0.49	-111.9	5.07%	0	-1.4	30	0

6	Mar_29_2016	252.88	196.32	185.22	183.84	187.1	186.12	179(-4.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	20	-22	-66	0.23	43%	-0.47	-109.3	5.1%	0	-1.1	30	0
7	Mar_28_2016	254.07	200.1	187.03	183.41	185.75	189.28	186.7(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	170	30	-50	0.17	43%	-0.43	-82.9	5.07%	0	-0.7	42	0
8	Mar_24_2016	255.18	203.76	187.7	181.65	183.26	188.08	188.15(0.43%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	50	210	80	-40	0.24	43%	-0.44	-65.5	5.11%	0	-0.6	43	0
9	Mar_23_2016	256.3	207.04	189.42	180.19	179.9	182.23	187.35(5.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	90	36	-65	0.22	43%	-0.45	-63.2	5.16%	0	-0.7	36	0
10	Mar_22_2016	257.46	210.52	191.36	181.47	179.56	178.45	178(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-70	-36	-98	0.13	41%	-0.53	-59.5	5.15%	0	-1.1	27	0

11	Mar_21_2016	258.83	214.49	194.76	187.11	185.22	177.56	176.85(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-88	-320	-81	-108	0.14	41%	-0.55	-58.3	5.2%	0	-1.3	24	0
12	Mar_18_2016	260.27	217.89	197.44	191.24	192.58	180.68	177.9(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-150	-410	-150	-149	0.22	41%	-0.56	-61.6	5.24%	0	-1.4	19	0
13	Mar_17_2016	261.74	222.14	199.98	194.44	197.34	192.88	180.85(-6.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-143	-110	-137	-162	0.31	41%	-0.56	-67.1	5.29%	0	-1.5	19	0
14	Mar_16_2016	263.21	226.12	203.39	199.73	200.33	204.48	193.75(-6.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-18	150	12	-108	0.31	43%	-0.49	-70.9	5.26%	0	-1.2	25	0
15	Mar_15_2016	264.5	229.22	206.1	202.63	201.77	201.8	206.2(4.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	12	-10	50	-103	0.22	45%	-0.41	-74.5	5.25%	0	-0.9	27	0

16	Mar_14_2016	265.6	232.33	208.32	203.84	201.99	196.18	197.5(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-97	-230	-75	-161	0.18	45%	-0.49	-76.2	5.26%	0	-1.3	23	0
17	Mar_11_2016	266.91	236.88	214.1	204.75	205.62	201.74	193.9(-6.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-91	-120	-71	-150	0.38	45%	-0.53	-70.4	5.3%	0	-1.5	31	0
18	Mar_10_2016	268.34	242.37	220.96	206.22	207.63	207.81	207.3(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	30	-13	-122	0.17	47%	-0.45	-60.5	5.28%	0	-1.2	29	0
19	Mar_9_2016	269.56	246.53	225.8	207.54	206.68	209.49	208.25(-1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	80	1	-113	0.17	47%	-0.46	-56.5	5.33%	0	-1.3	32	0
20	Mar_8_2016	270.81	250.86	230.86	210.18	209.08	207.46	212.25(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-70	6	-102	0.17	47%	-0.45	-54.5	5.38%	0	-1.3	35	0

21	Mar_7_2016	272.03	254.48	235.45	213.89	212.75	203.87	202.05(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-134	-310	-128	-152	0.15	47%	-0.54	-51.4	5.39%	0	-1.8	26	0
22	Mar_4_2016	273.52	258.2	239.92	225.24	221.07	210.69	201.25(-5.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-186	-380	-192	-168	0.21	47%	-0.57	-44.9	5.45%	0	-2.1	22	0
23	Mar_3_2016	275.09	261.62	246.32	237.97	234.19	221.63	213.9(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-156	-420	-160	-143	0.17	49%	-0.49	-43	5.44%	0	-2.1	22	0
24	Mar_2_2016	276.45	264.66	251.12	246.67	244.48	231.44	221.45(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-186	-400	-198	-150	0.09	49%	-0.45	-45.5	5.47%	0	-2.1	30	0
25	Mar_1_2016	277.7	268.41	254.77	254.36	253.1	246.74	230.8(-10.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-141	-190	-145	-127	0.16	49%		-40.8	5.5%	0	-2	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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