Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: EDZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares)
EDZ latest price $271.8500 (3.27%) ($263.7500 - $275.2495) on Fri. Feb. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.71% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $271.8500(3.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDZ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDZ declines -8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(30%)    UUP(23%)    TLT(18%)    SHY(2%)    IPO(1%)
Factors Impacting EDZ price   EDZ will decline at least -2.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
EEM(-99%)    VWO(-93%)    MCHI(-87%)    FXI(-87%)    EWY(-87%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.855% (StdDev 5.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

Resistance Level   $297.1
5 Day Moving Average   $273.47(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $282.82(-3.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $297.1(-8.5%)
To recent high   -19.5%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDZ price fluctuates within 7.43% (three month std-dev: 5.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160305

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2016	283.38	297.1	282.82	273.47	275.01	265.58	271.85(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-220	-50	-105	0.16	63%	-0.15	8.1	5.71%	0	-1.1	38	0
2	Feb_4_2016	283.8	298.25	285.52	271.42	275.45	271.3	263.25(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-131	-60	-128	-138	0.28	63%	-0.28	18.3	5.8%	0	-1.6	46	0
3	Feb_3_2016	284.59	298.79	292.37	276.61	277.06	284.43	269.8(-8.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	190	23	-61	0.23	63%	-0.21	35.9	5.88%	0	-1.4	45	0
4	Feb_2_2016	285.18	298.31	299	283.45	279.09	279.59	294.3(9.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	46	-30	68	-22	0.17	70%	0.13	48.9	5.68%	0	-0.2	51	0
5	Feb_1_2016	284.8	296.51	301.15	284.69	282.39	269.68	268.15(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-129	-340	-138	-100	0.11	65%	-0.26	0	5.52%	0	-1.2	45	0

6	Jan_29_2016	285.53	295.33	307.61	293.9	290.83	278.58	261.6(-9.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-182	-330	-209	-101	0.21	65%	-0.38	0	5.63%	0	-1.4	44	0
7	Jan_28_2016	286.62	294.39	311.77	301.37	300.93	295.1	289.2(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-90	-140	-105	-44	0.19	76%	0.05	0	5.28%	0	-0.2	53	0
8	Jan_27_2016	286.49	291.42	314	310.26	304.17	303.07	304(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-69	-80	-90	-5	0.16	76%	0.3	0	5.21%	0	0.4	64	0
9	Jan_26_2016	285.62	287.64	313.77	316.99	312.32	306.75	300.5(-4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-20	-170	-41	45	0.13	76%	0.28	0	5.35%	0	0.4	67	0
10	Jan_25_2016	284.83	287.64	314.06	320.22	321.49	305.26	314.2(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-109	-340	-128	-51	0.11	76%	0.58	0	5.29%	0	8.5	70	0

11	Jan_22_2016	283.2	287.64	312.78	323.67	322.4	317.88	298.95(-10.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-192	-110	-226	-90	0.1	76%	0.33	0	5.39%	0	8	72	0
12	Jan_21_2016	282.28	287.64	312.38	323.14	330.11	337.72	333.65(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	150	230	176	70	0.28	91%	1.15	0	4.57%	0	8.7	83	0
13	Jan_20_2016	279.07	287.64	305.85	318.07	322.3	326.91	337.65(6.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	110	140	129	52	0.26	91%	1.42	0	4.61%	0	9	86	0
14	Jan_19_2016	275.16	287.64	297.38	310.33	311.45	322.5	316.65(-4.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	260	81	32	0.22	90%	1.09	0	4.66%	0	9	84	0
15	Jan_15_2016	272.2	287.64	291.21	307.12	307.65	317.68	331.45(11.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	225	230	265	106	0.27	90%	1.7	0	4.38%	0	9.6	50	0

16	Jan_14_2016	267.64	287.64	281.59	300.85	299.08	300.4	296.3(-3.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	10	60	24	0.2	86%	0.9	0	3.74%	0	9.4	50	0
17	Jan_13_2016	265.25	287.64	275.49	299.85	296.42	297.61	308.3(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10	41	16	0.28	98%	1.5	0	3.35%	0	9.7	50	0
18	Jan_12_2016	261.34	287.64	266.95	291.49	293.54	297.76	298.95(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	104	120	122	49	0.22	98%	1.46	0	3.52%	0	9.9	50	0
19	Jan_11_2016	257.58	287.64	259.37	282.05	285.71	295.23	300.6(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	174	270	205	82	0.22	98%	1.89	0	3.49%	0	10.3	50	0
20	Jan_8_2016	252.79	287.64	259.37	272.55	273.97	289.33	300.1(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	253	410	298	119	0.19	98%	2.39	0	3.49%	0	11.2	50	0

21	Jan_7_2016	246.88	287.64	259.37	259.51	264.59	276.2	291.3(9.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	315	370	370	148	0.38	98%	2.64	0	3.72%	0	13.1	50	0
22	Jan_6_2016	240.54	287.64	259.37	247.76	251.2	258.61	266.5(5.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	163	250	192	77	0.13	97%	1.83	0	3.24%	0	17.1	50	0
23	Jan_5_2016	236.21	287.64	259.37	238.83	242.37	252.98	251.75(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	191	350	224	90	0.1	96%	1.33	0	3.28%	0	20.3	50	0
24	Jan_4_2016	233.1	287.64	259.37	233.1	234.86	243.78	253.1(7.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	363	290	427	171	0.25	96%	2.19	0	3.25%	0	22.5	50	0
25	Dec_31_2015	228.1	287.64	259.37	182.48	227.15	231.76	234.9(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	9.2	261	880	307	123	0.09	90%		0	2.26%	0	41.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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