Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 24, 2018

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $162.3500 (2.5%) ($159.0000 - $163.4200) on Wed. Jan. 24, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $162.3500(2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-21%)    TLT(-18%)    BLOK(-6%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $155.98(4.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $150.32(8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $141.96(14.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   51%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 7.7% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 3.84%(46%) Average negative next day return: -3.11%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 5.25%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.52%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 4.94%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.69%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2018	119.6	141.96	150.32	155.98	156.4	159.35	162.35(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	146	140	128	198	0.36	77%	0.5	94.5	2.35%	0	1.9	84	-1.4
2	Jan_23_2018	119	139.87	148.16	153.39	153.42	155.81	158.39(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	117	110	96	178	0.25	74%	0.35	92.1	2.33%	0	1.7	85	0.1
3	Jan_22_2018	118.59	137.85	146.47	150.43	151.22	153.45	156.09(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	113	120	92	177	0.23	74%	0.41	92.1	2.36%	0	1.8	87	0.9
4	Jan_19_2018	118.1	135.85	144.99	148.34	149	151.02	153.17(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	111	110	85	188	0.34	71%	0.42	87.7	2.35%	0	1.7	87	1
5	Jan_18_2018	117.61	133.96	143.47	145.96	146.82	148.99	149.89(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	114	120	86	196	0.21	71%	0.38	82.4	2.37%	0	1.5	88	0

6	Jan_17_2018	117.16	132.32	142.15	143.75	144.39	146.97	149.42(4.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	120	140	90	208	0.34	71%	0.39	76.8	2.37%	0	1.6	88	0
7	Jan_16_2018	116.7	130.53	140.51	142.15	141.91	144.66	143.6(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	111	130	76	215	0.37	69%	0.41	73.6	2.34%	0	1.2	86	0
8	Jan_12_2018	116.22	129.01	138.83	141.89	140.86	141.8	145.6(3.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	107	20	66	230	0.23	71%	0.35	73.5	2.33%	0	1.5	91	0
9	Jan_11_2018	115.81	127.47	136.73	141.17	140.43	139.17	141.31(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	42	-80	-16	216	0.17	69%	0.33	77.3	2.3%	0	1.3	91	0
10	Jan_10_2018	115.43	125.98	134.85	140.58	140.67	139.91	138.81(-1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.2	29	-40	-36	222	0.46	71%	0.32	77.7	2.3%	0	1.2	90	0

11	Jan_9_2018	115.06	124.71	133.12	140.21	140.62	141.69	141.41(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	90	60	33	260	0.28	71%	0.38	78.2	2.31%	0	1.6	88	0
12	Jan_8_2018	114.63	123.21	131.08	138.52	139.32	141.42	142.32(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	143	120	94	288	0.22	71%	0.39	78	2.3%	0	1.9	92	0
13	Jan_5_2018	114.18	121.47	128.64	135.2	136.84	139.55	142.02(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	159	180	121	274	0.22	71%	0.41	71.5	2.32%	0	2.2	92	0
14	Jan_4_2018	113.71	119.69	125.98	131.6	133.23	137.22	138.33(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	162	250	135	244	0.21	69%	0.35	61	2.31%	0	2.2	83	0
15	Jan_3_2018	113.31	118.31	123.64	128.27	129.74	134.14	136.95(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	191	270	177	232	0.19	71%	0.36	47.6	2.31%	0	2.5	85	0

16	Jan_2_2018	112.9	116.99	121.58	125.02	126.03	129.24	132.97(5.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	150	200	138	186	0.38	70%	0.5	36.8	2.34%	0	2.6	77	0
17	Dec_29_2017	112.34	115.87	119.59	122.61	123.07	125.33	125.74(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	103	140	88	148	0.27	69%	0.29	19.3	2.24%	0	2	74	0
18	Dec_28_2017	112.01	115.23	118.31	121.08	121.49	122.83	124.03(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	90	78	136	0.21	69%	0.21	-1.9	2.27%	0	2.1	77	0
19	Dec_27_2017	111.77	115.23	117.4	119.46	119.89	120.8	121.65(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	60	40	119	0.15	69%	0.17	-24.3	2.26%	0	1.8	76	0
20	Dec_26_2017	111.58	114.84	116.41	118.21	118.67	120.16	120.71(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	100	43	105	0.07	69%	0.24	-29.6	2.27%	0	1.5	63	0

21	Dec_22_2017	111.31	114.78	115.67	117.57	117.74	118.98	120.91(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	80	58	106	0.12	64%	0.19	-28.5	2.34%	0	1.3	63	0
22	Dec_21_2017	111.1	114.94	114.77	116.12	117.03	117.18	118.1(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	30	36	81	0.11	63%	0.15	-29.9	2.34%	0	0.7	60	0
23	Dec_20_2017	110.93	115.31	113.81	115.12	115.92	116.51	115.93(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	60	1	44	0.08	63%	0.14	-18.1	2.33%	0	0.1	53	0
24	Dec_19_2017	110.78	115.76	113	115.01	115.28	116.88	115.4(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	100	44	40	0.07	63%	0.14	-6.7	2.33%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	Dec_18_2017	110.62	116.03	112.65	114.27	114.86	115.33	117.5(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	40	61	14	0.17	63%		-5.4	2.32%	0	0.3	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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