Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $71.3400 (3.47%) ($70.2000 - $71.4200) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $71.3400(3.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    MCHI(87%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.01(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.49(4.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.51(7.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   46.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 3.88% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.12%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.3%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.83%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.05%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2017	59.23	66.51	68.49	70.01	69.96	69.74	71.34(3.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-20	17	111	0.33	76%	0	101	2.37%	0	1.9	78	0
2	Feb_17_2017	59.23	66.03	67.88	69.53	69.96	69.54	68.95(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	10	-12	100	0.26	74%	0.08	90.6	2.35%	0	1	75	0
3	Feb_16_2017	59.18	65.56	67.58	69.38	69.39	70.18	69.95(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	80	38	126	0.39	74%	0.05	81	2.33%	0	1.4	72	0
4	Feb_15_2017	59.15	65.01	67.04	68.69	68.66	69.25	70.74(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	60	38	113	0.36	78%	0.08	72.9	2.36%	0	1.9	76	0
5	Feb_14_2017	59.1	64.44	66.34	67.64	67.79	68.6	69.09(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	90	33	83	0.39	76%	0.12	70.7	2.44%	0	1.6	67	0

6	Feb_13_2017	59.03	64	65.78	66.71	66.9	68.08	68.91(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	130	43	70	0.35	76%	0.05	71.8	2.47%	0	1.8	73	0
7	Feb_10_2017	59	63.57	65.21	66.01	65.92	66.98	68.2(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	110	36	57	0.3	55%	0	76.3	2.59%	0	1.8	75	0
8	Feb_9_2017	59	63.18	64.79	65.53	65.41	65.73	66.49(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	30	22	55	0.28	46%	-0.02	83	2.81%	0	1.4	78	0
9	Feb_8_2017	59.01	62.85	64.56	65.16	65.21	64.86	65.53(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	14	-40	1	53	0.35	46%	0.07	89.3	3.08%	0	1.2	78	0
10	Feb_7_2017	58.97	62.48	64.5	64.83	65.09	65.09	64.43(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	10	-5	63	0.42	54%	0.05	87.9	3.08%	0	0.8	72	0

11	Feb_6_2017	58.94	62.12	64.38	64.67	64.97	65.57	65.39(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	80	15	71	0.23	54%	0.08	86.4	3.35%	0	1.2	70	0
12	Feb_3_2017	58.89	61.71	64.04	64.25	64.48	65.09	65.82(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	80	19	71	0.36	54%	0.08	85.6	3.37%	0	1.5	70	0
13	Feb_2_2017	58.84	61.3	63.41	63.95	63.84	64.36	64.64(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	50	8	60	0.3	52%	0.1	97	3.37%	0	1.3	68	0
14	Feb_1_2017	58.78	60.87	62.86	63.9	63.77	63.88	63.88(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	10	5	56	0.56	52%	0.1	104.2	3.4%	0	1.1	68	0
15	Jan_31_2017	58.72	60.43	62.43	64.15	63.89	63.33	63.61(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-70	-6	61	0.4	52%	0	109.6	3.42%	0	1.1	74	0

16	Jan_30_2017	58.72	59.91	62.12	64.04	64.16	63.66	63.31(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-50	-9	69	0.38	52%	0.03	117.8	3.42%	0	1.2	76	0
17	Jan_27_2017	58.7	59.45	61.85	63.75	64.14	64.46	64.33(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	50	14	86	0.27	52%	-0.07	110.1	3.42%	0	1.5	80	0
18	Jan_26_2017	58.74	58.81	61.46	62.73	63.37	64.65	64.38(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	170	35	86	0.29	52%	-0.09	101.1	3.44%	0	1.7	74	0
19	Jan_25_2017	58.79	58.12	60.99	61.63	61.96	63.83	65.12(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	57	230	48	85	0.46	52%	-0.07	87.4	3.46%	0	2.1	81	0
20	Jan_24_2017	58.83	57.35	60.25	60.48	60.57	62.09	63.04(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	180	41	75	0.41	52%	0.07	74.1	3.43%	0	1.6	81	0

21	Jan_23_2017	58.79	56.65	59.64	59.96	59.79	60.09	61.87(4.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	30	20	71	0.55	52%	-0.07	68.3	3.42%	0	1.6	83	0
22	Jan_20_2017	58.83	56.08	59.15	59.71	59.58	59.04	59.23(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-70	-12	65	0.2	49%	-0.05	60.4	3.38%	0	0.9	72	0
23	Jan_19_2017	58.86	55.68	59.02	59.99	59.9	59.49	58.88(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-50	-15	90	0.36	49%	-0.03	50.1	3.38%	0	0.8	77	0
24	Jan_18_2017	58.88	55.28	58.75	60.22	60.25	60.13	59.39(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10	2	121	0.25	52%	-0.07	45	3.38%	0	1	81	0
25	Jan_17_2017	58.92	54.89	58.31	59.92	60.01	60.31	60.44(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	40	11	136	0.28	52%		37.3	3.45%	0	1.4	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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