Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $64.6400 (1.19%) ($64.2200 - $64.8500) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $64.6400(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    MCHI(87%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.95(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.41(1.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.3(5.45%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   32.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 4.36% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 2.32%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.41%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.58%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.99%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.04%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.71%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2017	58.84	61.3	63.41	63.95	63.84	64.36	64.64(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	50	8	60	0.3	52%	0.1	97	3.37%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Feb_1_2017	58.78	60.87	62.86	63.9	63.77	63.88	63.88(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	10	5	56	0.56	52%	0.1	104.2	3.4%	0	1.1	68	0
3	Jan_31_2017	58.72	60.43	62.43	64.15	63.89	63.33	63.61(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-70	-6	61	0.4	52%	0	109.6	3.42%	0	1.1	74	0
4	Jan_30_2017	58.72	59.91	62.12	64.04	64.16	63.66	63.31(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-50	-9	69	0.38	52%	0.03	117.8	3.42%	0	1.2	76	0
5	Jan_27_2017	58.7	59.45	61.85	63.75	64.14	64.46	64.33(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	50	14	86	0.27	52%	-0.07	110.1	3.42%	0	1.5	80	0

6	Jan_26_2017	58.74	58.81	61.46	62.73	63.37	64.65	64.38(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	170	35	86	0.29	52%	-0.09	101.1	3.44%	0	1.7	74	0
7	Jan_25_2017	58.79	58.12	60.99	61.63	61.96	63.83	65.12(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	57	230	48	85	0.46	52%	-0.07	87.4	3.46%	0	2.1	81	0
8	Jan_24_2017	58.83	57.35	60.25	60.48	60.57	62.09	63.04(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	180	41	75	0.41	52%	0.07	74.1	3.43%	0	1.6	81	0
9	Jan_23_2017	58.79	56.65	59.64	59.96	59.79	60.09	61.87(4.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	30	20	71	0.55	52%	-0.07	68.3	3.42%	0	1.6	83	0
10	Jan_20_2017	58.83	56.08	59.15	59.71	59.58	59.04	59.23(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-70	-12	65	0.2	49%	-0.05	60.4	3.38%	0	0.9	72	0

11	Jan_19_2017	58.86	55.68	59.02	59.99	59.9	59.49	58.88(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-50	-15	90	0.36	49%	-0.03	50.1	3.38%	0	0.8	77	0
12	Jan_18_2017	58.88	55.28	58.75	60.22	60.25	60.13	59.39(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10	2	121	0.25	52%	-0.07	45	3.38%	0	1	81	0
13	Jan_17_2017	58.92	54.89	58.31	59.92	60.01	60.31	60.44(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	40	11	136	0.28	52%	-0.12	37.3	3.45%	0	1.4	86	0
14	Jan_13_2017	58.99	54.48	57.58	59.21	59.46	60.38	60.62(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	120	25	146	0.21	52%	-0.05	27.7	3.42%	0	1.6	88	0
15	Jan_12_2017	59.02	54.04	56.9	58.48	58.63	59.7	60.64(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	140	30	149	0.33	52%	-0.05	18.4	3.44%	0	1.9	77	0

16	Jan_11_2017	59.05	53.82	55.99	57.92	57.77	58.53	59.99(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	80	26	143	0.44	48%	-0.07	20.4	3.43%	0	2	73	0
17	Jan_10_2017	59.09	53.55	55.02	57.11	57.41	57.55	57.91(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	19	124	0.27	48%	-0.1	18	3.51%	0	1.5	71	0
18	Jan_9_2017	59.15	53.45	54.21	56.46	56.84	57	56.89(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	9	105	0.15	48%	-0.17	20.5	3.53%	0	1.2	65	0
19	Jan_6_2017	59.25	53.44	53.42	55.65	56.3	57.28	56.99(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	160	23	86	0.3	48%	-0.19	21.3	3.53%	0	1.3	61	0
20	Jan_5_2017	59.36	53.4	52.76	55.03	55.37	56.69	57.83(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	190	41	78	0.31	50%	-0.15	19.6	3.53%	0	1.6	64	0

21	Jan_4_2017	59.45	53.18	52.05	53.76	54.35	55.32	55.91(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	160	39	36	0.45	48%	-0.2	8.2	3.54%	0	1	43	0
22	Jan_3_2017	59.57	53.03	51.5	52.63	53.26	54.05	54.7(3.52%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	22	140	30	-2	0.45	48%	-0.33	-3.6	3.56%	0	0.6	46	0
23	Dec_30_2016	59.77	52.89	51.16	51.62	52.1	53.39	52.84(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	200	30	-35	0.59	48%	-0.23	-15.6	3.53%	0	-0	39	0
24	Dec_29_2016	59.91	52.86	51.1	50.82	51.1	52.47	53.88(4.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	16	200	41	-60	0.38	46%	-0.18	-23.7	3.54%	0	0.4	39	0
25	Dec_28_2016	60.02	52.85	50.9	50.16	49.93	50.82	51.45(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	110	17	-95	0.22	43%		-30.4	3.53%	0	-0.5	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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