Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $61.8700 (4.46%) ($60.3700 - $61.9500) on Mon. Jan. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $61.8700(4.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    MCHI(87%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.96(3.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.64(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.65(9.21%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 5.83% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(48%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 4.53%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -2.27%(52%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 7.6%(35%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.22%(65%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2017	58.79	56.65	59.64	59.96	59.79	60.09	61.87(4.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	30	20	71	0.55	52%	-0.07	68.3	3.42%	0	1.6	83	0
2	Jan_20_2017	58.83	56.08	59.15	59.71	59.58	59.04	59.23(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-70	-12	65	0.2	49%	-0.05	60.4	3.38%	0	0.9	72	0
3	Jan_19_2017	58.86	55.68	59.02	59.99	59.9	59.49	58.88(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-50	-15	90	0.36	49%	-0.03	50.1	3.38%	0	0.8	77	0
4	Jan_18_2017	58.88	55.28	58.75	60.22	60.25	60.13	59.39(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10	2	121	0.25	52%	-0.07	45	3.38%	0	1	81	0
5	Jan_17_2017	58.92	54.89	58.31	59.92	60.01	60.31	60.44(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	40	11	136	0.28	52%	-0.12	37.3	3.45%	0	1.4	86	0

6	Jan_13_2017	58.99	54.48	57.58	59.21	59.46	60.38	60.62(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	120	25	146	0.21	52%	-0.05	27.7	3.42%	0	1.6	88	0
7	Jan_12_2017	59.02	54.04	56.9	58.48	58.63	59.7	60.64(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	140	30	149	0.33	52%	-0.05	18.4	3.44%	0	1.9	77	0
8	Jan_11_2017	59.05	53.82	55.99	57.92	57.77	58.53	59.99(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	80	26	143	0.44	48%	-0.07	20.4	3.43%	0	2	73	0
9	Jan_10_2017	59.09	53.55	55.02	57.11	57.41	57.55	57.91(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	19	124	0.27	48%	-0.1	18	3.51%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Jan_9_2017	59.15	53.45	54.21	56.46	56.84	57	56.89(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	9	105	0.15	48%	-0.17	20.5	3.53%	0	1.2	65	0

11	Jan_6_2017	59.25	53.44	53.42	55.65	56.3	57.28	56.99(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	160	23	86	0.3	48%	-0.19	21.3	3.53%	0	1.3	61	0
12	Jan_5_2017	59.36	53.4	52.76	55.03	55.37	56.69	57.83(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	190	41	78	0.31	50%	-0.15	19.6	3.53%	0	1.6	64	0
13	Jan_4_2017	59.45	53.18	52.05	53.76	54.35	55.32	55.91(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	160	39	36	0.45	48%	-0.2	8.2	3.54%	0	1	43	0
14	Jan_3_2017	59.57	53.03	51.5	52.63	53.26	54.05	54.7(3.52%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	22	140	30	-2	0.45	48%	-0.33	-3.6	3.56%	0	0.6	46	0
15	Dec_30_2016	59.77	52.89	51.16	51.62	52.1	53.39	52.84(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	200	30	-35	0.59	48%	-0.23	-15.6	3.53%	0	-0	39	0

16	Dec_29_2016	59.91	52.86	51.1	50.82	51.1	52.47	53.88(4.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	16	200	41	-60	0.38	46%	-0.18	-23.7	3.54%	0	0.4	39	0
17	Dec_28_2016	60.02	52.85	50.9	50.16	49.93	50.82	51.45(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	110	17	-95	0.22	43%	-0.22	-30.4	3.53%	0	-0.5	34	0
18	Dec_27_2016	60.15	52.96	51.43	50.11	49.82	49.74	50.27(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-30	7	-92	0.11	45%	-0.25	-27.6	3.54%	0	-1	41	0
19	Dec_23_2016	60.3	53.12	51.93	50.22	50.08	49.03	49.67(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-160	-21	-95	0.16	43%	-0.17	-22.1	3.58%	0	-1.4	43	0
20	Dec_22_2016	60.4	53.3	52.62	50.64	50.6	49.91	48.82(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-100	-31	-80	0.31	43%	-0.17	-14.2	3.6%	0	-1.9	45	0

21	Dec_21_2016	60.5	53.48	53.51	51.38	51.4	51.12	50.57(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-40	-9	-45	0.38	48%	-0.12	-2.7	3.59%	0	-1.4	49	0
22	Dec_20_2016	60.57	53.65	54.13	51.74	51.77	51.3	51.22(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-60	-24	-36	0.19	48%	-0.15	6.6	3.75%	0	-1.2	45	0
23	Dec_19_2016	60.66	53.68	54.46	52.97	52.55	51.68	50.8(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-140	-28	-17	0.28	48%	-0.15	29.2	3.75%	0	-1.4	45	0
24	Dec_16_2016	60.75	53.67	54.76	53.93	53.97	52.24	51.77(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-220	-33	-3	0.49	48%	-0.12	42	3.76%	0	-0.9	48	0
25	Dec_15_2016	60.82	53.63	54.85	54.93	54.89	53.42	52.54(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-35	-190	-48	6	0.75	50%		49.5	3.77%	0	-0.5	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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