Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $51.8900 (-3.14%) ($50.9701 - $52.1000) on Wed. Nov. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.01% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $51.8900(-3.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    MCHI(87%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -2.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-1%)    XHB(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.005% (StdDev 4.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $55.53
5 Day Moving Average   $51.42(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.05(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.53(-6.56%)
To recent high   -25.4%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 9.58% (three month std-dev: 4.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.18%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.57%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.91%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.97%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2016	61	55.53	51.05	51.42	51.62	52.44	51.89(-3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	120	7	-105	0.99	49%	0.03	-59.9	4.01%	0	-0.7	42	INF
2	Nov_22_2016	60.98	56.11	51.56	51.09	51.42	52.25	53.57(4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	130	28	-105	0.75	48%	-0.11	-60	3.99%	0	-0.5	43	INF
3	Nov_21_2016	61.05	56.7	52.45	50.7	50.6	50.8	51.21(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	20	8	-113	0.5	46%	-0.03	-58.7	3.98%	0	-0.9	36	INF
4	Nov_18_2016	61.07	57.41	53.51	50.2	50.49	50.59	49.93(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-26	30	6	-121	0.64	46%	-0.03	-58.1	3.96%	0	-1.3	32	INF
5	Nov_17_2016	61.09	58.17	54.2	50.16	50.05	50.41	50.49(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	40	-2	-136	1.15	46%	0.02	-57.6	3.98%	0	-1.3	35	INF

6	Nov_16_2016	61.08	58.91	55	50.63	49.75	50.4	50.26(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	40	-14	-143	0.62	46%	0.07	-55	3.98%	0	-1.5	34	INF
7	Nov_15_2016	61.04	59.7	55.88	52.12	50.84	49.69	51.6(5.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-230	-29	-142	0.93	46%	0.15	-49.6	3.97%	0	-1.5	33	INF
8	Nov_14_2016	60.95	60.37	56.83	54.59	52.69	49.1	48.7(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-104	-580	-89	-147	1.1	43%	0.07	-39.7	3.92%	0	-2.3	25	INF
9	Nov_11_2016	60.91	61.06	58.27	57.38	56.3	52	49.77(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-97	-590	-90	-117	1.55	43%	-0.08	-36.7	3.91%	0	-2.7	27	INF
10	Nov_10_2016	60.96	61.71	59.52	58.75	59.32	56.29	52.81(-8.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-77	-330	-70	-99	1.12	45%	0.05	-41.7	3.89%	0	-2.7	32	INF

11	Nov_9_2016	60.93	62.19	60.53	59.86	59.96	60.6	57.71(-9.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	80	-27	-76	1.33	49%	0.12	-50.5	3.75%	0	-1.7	37	INF
12	Nov_8_2016	60.86	62.47	61.15	60.09	60.09	62.36	63.95(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	30	260	56	-47	0.72	54%	0.25	-59.2	3.56%	0	0.6	45	INF
13	Nov_7_2016	60.71	62.42	61.27	59.51	59.22	59.31	62.67(10.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-0	21	-68	0.92	54%	0.28	-61	3.56%	0	0.1	46	INF
14	Nov_4_2016	60.54	62.65	61.52	59.5	59.25	57.82	56.63(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-180	-42	-89	0.55	48%	0.17	-57.2	3.33%	0	-2.2	41	INF
15	Nov_3_2016	60.44	63.13	62.39	60.49	60.66	59.13	58.36(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-170	-38	-64	0.52	48%	0.2	-51.5	3.32%	0	-1.9	44	INF

16	Nov_2_2016	60.32	63.56	63.08	61.27	61.48	60.68	58.86(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-80	-41	-44	0.8	48%	0.22	-41.9	3.32%	0	-2	46	INF
17	Nov_1_2016	60.19	63.95	63.79	62.29	62.39	62.19	61.02(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-20	-16	-11	1.01	50%	0.27	-36.1	3.3%	0	-1.4	46	INF
18	Oct_31_2016	60.03	64.11	64.17	63.28	62.93	62.29	62.65(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-90	-18	7	0.67	50%	0.25	-28.2	3.28%	0	-0.7	49	INF
19	Oct_28_2016	59.88	64.28	64.08	63.9	63.76	62.59	61.56(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-140	-31	-5	0.63	50%	0.15	-13.2	3.28%	0	-1.4	33	INF
20	Oct_27_2016	59.79	64.45	64.12	64.59	64.77	63.58	62.27(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-120	-29	-4	0.42	50%	0.15	-5.9	3.28%	0	-1.2	42	INF

21	Oct_26_2016	59.7	64.54	64.06	65.14	65.09	64.93	63.95(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-20	-22	-7	0.41	50%	0.2	-8.6	3.26%	0	-0.3	43	INF
22	Oct_25_2016	59.58	64.7	63.96	65.48	65.35	65.97	65.98(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	60	15	4	0.26	50%	0.25	-3.1	3.24%	0	0.7	48	INF
23	Oct_24_2016	59.43	64.67	63.67	65.19	65.24	65.25	65.73(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	0	20	-0	0.29	50%	0.27	1.4	3.27%	0	0.6	56	INF
24	Oct_21_2016	59.27	64.53	63.82	64.29	64.81	64.73	65.01(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	20	6	-16	0.24	50%	0.3	-8.8	3.27%	0	0.3	48	INF
25	Oct_20_2016	59.09	64.56	63.86	63.57	64.04	65.24	65.01(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	150	19	-19	0.32	50%		-5.9	3.28%	0	0.2	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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