Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $67.3300 (2.78%) ($64.1200 - $67.4600) on Wed. Sep. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.35% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $67.3300(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    MCHI(87%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-15%)    BOTZ(-4%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.675% (StdDev 3.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $66(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.35(4.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.99(5.22%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   44.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 5.38% (three month std-dev: 3.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.16%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.7%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2016	55.97	63.99	64.35	66	65.18	65.43	67.33(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10	15	68	0.77	62%	0.38	21.2	3.35%	0	1	48	0
2	Sep_27_2016	55.76	63.77	63.49	65.93	65.77	64.1	65.51(4.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-190	-6	32	0.63	59%	0.4	21.4	3.5%	0	0.5	45	0
3	Sep_26_2016	55.54	63.66	62.78	65.19	65.91	64.92	62.98(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-70	-31	-18	0.56	57%	0.33	14.9	3.53%	0	-0.2	40	0
4	Sep_23_2016	55.36	63.63	62.76	64.93	65.63	67.44	65.69(-4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	230	22	-4	0.58	52%	0.38	6.7	4.18%	0	0.6	51	0
5	Sep_22_2016	55.15	63.53	62.32	63.84	64.61	66.89	68.47(2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	46	280	62	-4	0.66	52%	0.44	-7.7	4.24%	0	1.5	59	0

6	Sep_21_2016	54.91	63.27	62.18	62.46	62.42	63.81	67.02(8.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	25	150	39	-16	0.96	52%	0.37	-23.8	4.23%	0	1.2	60	0
7	Sep_20_2016	54.71	63.06	62.26	60.77	61.28	62.33	61.8(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	150	28	-31	0.48	51%	0.18	-46	4.12%	0	-0.4	50	0
8	Sep_19_2016	54.61	63.17	62.98	60.04	60.43	61.03	61.68(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	90	14	-34	0.55	51%	0.17	-59.1	4.17%	0	-0.5	49	0
9	Sep_16_2016	54.52	63.41	63.34	60.28	59.61	60.23	60.21(-2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	40	1	-31	0.77	51%	0.13	-55.3	4.16%	0	-1	49	0
10	Sep_15_2016	54.45	63.79	63.61	60.55	59.9	59.82	61.58(5.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-40	-6	-34	0.86	51%	0.13	-51.4	4.15%	0	-0.7	48	0

11	Sep_14_2016	54.38	64.01	63.62	61.93	60.59	59	58.6(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-250	-45	-38	0.94	48%	0.09	-37.7	4.12%	0	-1.8	43	0
12	Sep_13_2016	54.33	64.46	64.14	64.02	63.03	59.98	58.14(-7.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-51	-390	-62	-19	1.32	46%	0.11	-16.7	4.12%	0	-2.2	44	0
13	Sep_12_2016	54.27	64.98	64.76	66.31	65.61	62.18	62.86(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-47	-400	-66	9	0.67	50%	0.18	14.5	4.05%	0	-0.8	50	0
14	Sep_9_2016	54.17	65.15	64.75	66.81	67.55	66.08	61.59(-10.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-26	-120	-40	16	1.34	45%	0.13	28.2	4.16%	0	-1.4	41	0
15	Sep_8_2016	54.1	65.42	65.02	66.97	67.97	69.04	68.44(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	150	25	38	0.75	49%	0.24	45	3.98%	0	1.2	50	0

16	Sep_7_2016	53.97	65.2	64.52	65.5	66.2	69.03	69.05(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	44	330	51	24	0.92	49%	0.24	40.3	3.98%	0	1.6	55	0
17	Sep_6_2016	53.84	64.95	63.9	64.33	64.26	66.89	69.59(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	50	280	64	6	1.3	49%	0.3	41.5	3.99%	0	2.1	53	0
18	Sep_2_2016	53.68	64.61	63.26	63.12	62.97	63.36	65.37(4.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	40	31	-33	0.9	48%	0.21	37.1	3.93%	0	0.4	41	0
19	Sep_1_2016	53.57	64.44	63.34	62.49	62.46	61.62	62.38(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-100	-18	-61	0.81	46%	0.13	29.6	3.9%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Aug_31_2016	53.5	64.34	63.85	62.8	62.88	62.58	61.12(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-30	-17	-55	1.01	46%	0.17	32.4	3.9%	0	-1.3	35	0

21	Aug_30_2016	53.41	64.27	64.36	63.32	63.37	63.3	63.17(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10	2	-38	0.66	46%	0.24	35.2	3.87%	0	-0.4	49	0
22	Aug_29_2016	53.28	64.05	64.75	63.34	63.29	63.18	63.58(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10	-7	-36	0.74	46%	0.3	33.7	3.9%	0	-0.2	50	0
23	Aug_26_2016	53.12	63.87	65.19	63.42	63.67	63.43	62.22(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10	-8	-25	1.61	46%	0.32	37.1	3.9%	0	-0.5	51	0
24	Aug_25_2016	52.95	63.78	65.62	64.32	63.88	63.4	63.93(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-70	-17	-8	0.68	46%	0.28	45.6	3.88%	0	0	60	0
25	Aug_24_2016	52.8	63.54	65.91	65.1	64.5	63.9	63.72(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-90	-18	17	0.8	46%		52.9	3.9%	0	0.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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