Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $66.7500 (3.79%) ($64.9000 - $66.9500) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $66.7500(3.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-15%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.04(4.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.75(8.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.93(11.38%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   60.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 4.46% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.24%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.66%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.44%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2016	51.39	59.93	61.75	64.04	64.5	65.33	66.75(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	110	30	90	1.23	45%	0.37	91.7	3.97%	0	2.6	75	0
2	Aug_10_2016	51.2	59.45	60.91	62.64	63.34	64.5	64.31(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	160	30	75	2.2	48%	0.25	107.5	3.95%	0	2.1	74	0
3	Aug_9_2016	51.07	59	60.34	61.52	62.03	63.66	64.32(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	210	41	66	1.16	48%	0.26	117.3	4%	0	2.5	70	0
4	Aug_8_2016	50.94	58.55	59.69	60.27	60.4	62.18	63.06(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	40	210	37	49	0.96	48%	0.24	120	4.03%	0	2.2	70	0
5	Aug_5_2016	50.82	58.06	59.07	59.53	59.22	60.4	61.78(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	120	28	32	1.19	48%	0.22	105.1	4.02%	0	1.7	59	0

6	Aug_4_2016	50.71	57.58	58.72	59.13	58.85	58.61	59.71(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-40	9	22	1.13	46%	0.24	81.3	4.01%	0	0.8	59	0
7	Aug_3_2016	50.59	57.07	58.49	58.94	58.76	58.05	58.73(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-90	-14	9	1.17	42%	0.3	67.6	4.07%	0	0.5	54	0
8	Aug_2_2016	50.44	56.62	58.42	58.95	58.95	59.09	58.09(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	20	-5	19	1.57	42%	0.22	66.3	4.21%	0	0.4	61	0
9	Aug_1_2016	50.33	56.22	58.33	58.97	58.96	59.48	59.36(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	60	15	31	1.15	42%	0.24	76.1	4.2%	0	0.9	65	0
10	Jul_29_2016	50.21	55.89	58.26	58.48	58.51	58.81	59.77(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	40	9	35	1.52	42%	0.3	85.3	4.23%	0	1.1	72	0

11	Jul_28_2016	50.06	55.48	58.01	58.25	58.08	58.44	58.77(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	30	5	43	0.81	42%	0.3	80.8	4.23%	0	1	74	0
12	Jul_27_2016	49.91	55.04	57.9	57.98	58.01	58.22	58.75(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	30	9	63	1.11	42%	0.3	76.5	4.25%	0	1.1	79	0
13	Jul_26_2016	49.76	54.45	57.57	57.82	57.79	57.71	58.18(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-10	1	74	1.01	42%	0.24	64.5	4.26%	0	1	77	0
14	Jul_25_2016	49.64	53.71	57.32	57.61	57.7	57.79	56.95(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	20	-3	86	0.68	42%	0.22	47.5	4.26%	0	0.7	74	0
15	Jul_22_2016	49.53	53.12	57.01	57.98	57.64	57.86	58.61(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	10	6	99	0.72	42%	0.3	44.9	4.26%	0	1.1	64	0

16	Jul_21_2016	49.38	52.86	56.37	57.73	57.56	57.61	57.4(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-0	2	98	0.91	42%	0.3	53.9	4.26%	0	1	65	0
17	Jul_20_2016	49.23	52.5	55.57	57.79	57.51	57.43	57.98(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	-20	4	101	0.88	42%	0.37	60.7	4.27%	0	1.2	70	0
18	Jul_19_2016	49.05	52.09	54.72	57.28	57.45	57.5	57.11(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	10	5	104	0.9	42%	0.43	65.7	4.27%	0	1.2	75	0
19	Jul_18_2016	48.84	51.68	53.98	56.97	56.99	57.6	58.8(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	80	15	125	1.06	42%	0.47	70.3	4.29%	0	1.7	83	0
20	Jul_15_2016	48.61	51.05	53.34	55.89	56.42	57.41	57.36(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	150	28	139	0.99	42%	0.43	64.9	4.28%	0	1.6	75	0

21	Jul_14_2016	48.4	50.48	52.72	54.79	55.44	56.39	57.72(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	160	38	121	1.75	42%	0.44	52.9	4.29%	0	1.9	54	0
22	Jul_13_2016	48.19	49.9	51.91	53.01	53.85	55.43	55.39(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	250	33	91	1.33	45%	0.4	33.5	4.26%	0	1.6	57	0
23	Jul_12_2016	48	49.4	51.03	51.75	52.36	54.49	55.56(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	320	50	69	1.55	45%	0.36	14.5	4.31%	0	1.8	58	0
24	Jul_11_2016	47.83	48.89	49.76	50.56	50.51	52.27	53.42(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	240	30	27	1.39	45%	0.36	-2.7	4.32%	0	1.5	57	0
25	Jul_8_2016	47.66	48.6	48.87	50.45	49.69	50.23	51.84(6.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	30	15	14	1.62	47%		-6.4	4.33%	0	1.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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