Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $55.3900 (-0.31%) ($54.3000 - $55.7900) on Wed. Jul. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.26% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $55.3900(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(91%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -2.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-15%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.13% (StdDev 4.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.01(4.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.91(6.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.9(11%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   33.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 6.95% (three month std-dev: 4.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.15%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.01%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.12%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.29%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2016	48.19	49.9	51.91	53.01	53.85	55.43	55.39(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	250	33	91	1.33	45%	0.4	33.5	4.26%	0	1.6	57	0
2	Jul_12_2016	48	49.4	51.03	51.75	52.36	54.49	55.56(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	320	50	69	1.55	45%	0.36	14.5	4.31%	0	1.8	58	0
3	Jul_11_2016	47.83	48.89	49.76	50.56	50.51	52.27	53.42(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	240	30	27	1.39	45%	0.36	-2.7	4.32%	0	1.5	57	0
4	Jul_8_2016	47.66	48.6	48.87	50.45	49.69	50.23	51.84(6.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	30	15	14	1.62	47%	0.32	-6.4	4.33%	0	1.1	60	0
5	Jul_7_2016	47.51	48.56	49.03	50.39	50.08	48.75	48.83(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-200	-9	25	1.31	42%	0.23	-0.2	4.31%	0	0.1	57	0

6	Jul_6_2016	47.4	48.77	49.18	50.62	50.49	49.14	49.12(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-190	-23	33	1.49	42%	0.3	12.7	4.37%	0	0.1	57	0
7	Jul_5_2016	47.26	48.92	49.29	50.09	50.82	51.41	49.59(-6.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	120	15	53	1.29	40%	0.34	16.3	4.39%	0	0.2	59	0
8	Jul_1_2016	47.1	48.97	49.24	48.7	49.8	51.85	52.89(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	360	52	55	1.66	42%	0.45	11.4	4.37%	0	1.2	63	0
9	Jun_30_2016	46.89	48.78	48.59	47.02	47.35	50.23	51.54(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	450	33	18	1.88	42%	0.41	1.4	4.33%	0	0.9	57	0
10	Jun_29_2016	46.7	48.56	48.05	47.57	45.96	47.75	49.96(7.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	170	30	12	1.62	42%	0.37	9.6	4.33%	0	0.5	48	0

11	Jun_28_2016	46.53	48.38	47.71	47.68	46.93	44.47	46.47(8.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-410	-13	-22	2.09	38%	0.26	14.4	4.26%	0	-0.6	40	0
12	Jun_27_2016	46.41	48.4	47.64	48.45	48.15	44.17	42.65(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-82	-600	-89	-60	1.93	33%	0.15	27.3	4.11%	0	-1.9	35	0
13	Jun_24_2016	46.34	48.61	48.04	49.74	49.91	49.38	44.48(-18.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-43	-60	-45	-35	2.07	34%	0.15	48.8	4.12%	0	-1.4	41	0
14	Jun_23_2016	46.27	48.74	48.43	50.16	50.9	52.14	54.31(7.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	46	210	59	6	1.4	40%	0.39	63.8	3.43%	0	2	60	0
15	Jun_22_2016	46.09	48.27	48.07	48.56	49.16	50.44	50.5(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	20	220	34	-23	1.55	34%	0.37	56.7	3.37%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Jun_21_2016	45.92	47.94	48.3	47.79	47.7	49.67	50.3(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	32	280	46	-11	1.49	34%	0.31	45.6	3.37%	0	0.9	61	0
17	Jun_20_2016	45.78	47.56	48.45	46.81	46.94	47.87	49.11(5.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	34	150	49	-10	1.97	34%	0.24	29.5	3.36%	0	0.5	59	0
18	Jun_17_2016	45.67	47.26	48.62	46.16	45.92	45.74	46.57(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-40	-7	-30	1.87	35%	0.24	21.5	3.29%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	Jun_16_2016	45.56	47.04	48.93	46.43	45.87	46.01	46.34(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10	-22	-20	1.83	39%	0.31	16.9	3.4%	0	-0.2	54	0
20	Jun_15_2016	45.42	46.88	49.08	47.51	46.68	46.11	46.62(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-140	-21	9	1.85	39%	0.29	21.4	3.47%	0	-0.1	57	0

21	Jun_14_2016	45.29	46.76	49.1	48.92	47.86	45.73	45.4(-0.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-33	-380	-55	32	1.84	39%	0.29	30	3.5%	0	-0.4	60	0
22	Jun_13_2016	45.16	46.74	49.27	50.34	49.92	47.25	45.85(-4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-30	-400	-64	74	1.69	39%	0.27	43.5	3.51%	0	-0.3	65	0
23	Jun_10_2016	45.04	46.62	49.37	51.39	51.45	49.99	47.94(-7.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-200	-45	117	1.93	46%	0.38	48.6	3.55%	0	0.4	70	0
24	Jun_9_2016	44.87	46.49	49.24	51.7	52.03	52.59	51.76(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	90	11	174	1.7	50%	0.49	52.3	3.42%	0	1.5	86	0
25	Jun_8_2016	44.65	46.17	48.6	50.81	51.38	52.91	53.65(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	88	240	54	188	1.97	52%		49.4	3.39%	0	2.3	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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