Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $50.3000 (2.42%) ($49.0300 - $50.6900) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $50.3000(2.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.79(5.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.3(4.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.94(4.92%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 5.55% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 8.78%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.89%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2016	45.92	47.94	48.3	47.79	47.7	49.67	50.3(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	32	280	46	-11	1.49	34%	0.31	45.6	3.37%	0	0.9	61	0
2	Jun_20_2016	45.78	47.56	48.45	46.81	46.94	47.87	49.11(5.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	34	150	49	-10	1.97	34%	0.24	29.5	3.36%	0	0.5	59	0
3	Jun_17_2016	45.67	47.26	48.62	46.16	45.92	45.74	46.57(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-40	-7	-30	1.87	35%	0.24	21.5	3.29%	0	-0.2	54	0
4	Jun_16_2016	45.56	47.04	48.93	46.43	45.87	46.01	46.34(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10	-22	-20	1.83	39%	0.31	16.9	3.4%	0	-0.2	54	0
5	Jun_15_2016	45.42	46.88	49.08	47.51	46.68	46.11	46.62(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-140	-21	9	1.85	39%	0.29	21.4	3.47%	0	-0.1	57	0

6	Jun_14_2016	45.29	46.76	49.1	48.92	47.86	45.73	45.4(-0.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-33	-380	-55	32	1.84	39%	0.29	30	3.5%	0	-0.4	60	0
7	Jun_13_2016	45.16	46.74	49.27	50.34	49.92	47.25	45.85(-4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-30	-400	-64	74	1.69	39%	0.27	43.5	3.51%	0	-0.3	65	0
8	Jun_10_2016	45.04	46.62	49.37	51.39	51.45	49.99	47.94(-7.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-200	-45	117	1.93	46%	0.38	48.6	3.55%	0	0.4	70	0
9	Jun_9_2016	44.87	46.49	49.24	51.7	52.03	52.59	51.76(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	90	11	174	1.7	50%	0.49	52.3	3.42%	0	1.5	86	0
10	Jun_8_2016	44.65	46.17	48.6	50.81	51.38	52.91	53.65(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	88	240	54	188	1.97	52%	0.47	49.4	3.39%	0	2.3	86	0

11	Jun_7_2016	44.44	45.75	47.59	49.32	49.68	51.47	52.51(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	78	270	52	156	1.47	52%	0.2	40.5	3.44%	0	2.4	76	0
12	Jun_6_2016	44.35	45.28	46.57	48.1	48.11	49.85	51.08(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	69	250	50	124	2.57	52%	0.45	17.3	3.43%	0	2.5	70	0
13	Jun_3_2016	44.15	44.96	45.71	47.1	47.08	47.89	49.5(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	120	36	96	2.66	56%	0.32	-9.9	3.47%	0	2.4	71	0
14	Jun_2_2016	44.01	44.72	44.9	46.44	46.41	46.38	47.31(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10	8	58	1.44	53%	0.32	-44.9	3.46%	0	1.6	54	0
15	Jun_1_2016	43.87	44.6	44.42	46.04	46.27	46.26	46.21(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	5	37	2.4	59%	0.25	-84	3.48%	0	1.1	50	0

16	May_31_2016	43.76	44.65	44.17	45.55	46.08	46.44	46.4(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	90	19	25	2.57	53%	0.46	-103.4	3.5%	0	1.1	49	0
17	May_27_2016	43.56	44.88	43.96	44.75	45.32	46.28	46.1(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	190	23	12	1.72	59%	0.23	-69.4	3.71%	0	0.5	57	0
18	May_26_2016	43.46	45.15	43.64	44.07	44.38	45.72	46.18(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	230	37	-4	1.67	59%	0.14	-66.5	3.74%	0	0.3	51	0
19	May_25_2016	43.4	45.45	43.52	43.13	43.51	44.37	45.32(3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	18	160	32	-25	2.38	59%	0.07	-64.7	3.76%	0	-0	50	0
20	May_24_2016	43.37	45.88	43.53	42.59	42.54	43.03	43.73(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	80	5	-45	1.83	59%	0.02	-64.1	3.74%	0	-0.5	45	0

21	May_23_2016	43.36	46.35	43.74	42.63	42.43	42.65	42.41(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	20	-1	-52	2.42	55%	-0.02	-65.3	3.72%	0	-0.9	34	0
22	May_20_2016	43.37	46.84	43.89	43.07	42.82	42.06	42.69(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-140	-6	-69	2.13	58%	-0.07	-64	3.89%	0	-1	27	0
23	May_19_2016	43.4	47.36	44.17	43.14	43.28	42.21	41.5(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-48	-160	-31	-99	3.38	58%	-0.12	-63	3.91%	0	-1.3	22	0
24	May_18_2016	43.45	47.99	44.56	43.94	43.87	43.59	42.64(-2.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-50	-23	-105	2.97	58%	-0.16	-58.7	3.9%	0	-1.2	23	0
25	May_17_2016	43.52	48.65	44.84	44.58	44.61	44.36	43.9(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-33	-40	-6	-115	2.25	60%		-53.9	3.89%	0	-1	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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