Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $55.8000 (-1.47%) ($54.6501 - $56.7100) on Wed. Apr. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.52% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $55.8000(-1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -2.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.26% (StdDev 4.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.92(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.8(5.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.39(8.58%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   81.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 5.84% (three month std-dev: 4.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.71%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.67%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 3.29%(39%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.26%(61%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2016	42.37	51.39	52.8	54.92	54.83	55.94	55.8(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	140	14	75	2.4	71%	0.4	41.3	4.52%	0	1.5	56	INF
2	Apr_19_2016	42.2	51.14	52.08	54.79	54.58	54.91	56.63(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	30	22	68	2.79	71%	0.45	54.1	4.6%	0	1.9	57	INF
3	Apr_18_2016	42.01	50.86	51.11	53.93	54.23	53.72	54.18(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-50	5	41	3.78	71%	0.38	60.2	4.6%	0	1.3	57	INF
4	Apr_15_2016	41.85	50.7	50.66	53.09	53.7	54.24	53.56(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	100	9	33	2.17	65%	0.36	60.7	4.64%	0	1.2	60	INF
5	Apr_14_2016	41.7	50.53	50.44	52.01	52.82	54.74	54.42(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	39	300	40	37	1.51	66%	0.41	61.7	4.9%	0	1.7	63	INF

6	Apr_13_2016	41.53	50.18	50.16	50.29	51.27	53.16	55.16(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	42	320	47	25	2.82	64%	0.46	48.6	4.91%	0	2.3	63	INF
7	Apr_12_2016	41.34	49.66	49.81	48.99	49.14	50.9	52.35(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	260	30	2	2.01	63%	0.36	34.7	4.91%	0	1.2	51	INF
8	Apr_11_2016	41.19	49.39	49.63	47.93	48.18	49.39	49.94(3.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	15	190	25	-16	2.02	63%	0.32	22.7	4.88%	0	0.3	46	INF
9	Apr_8_2016	41.06	49.28	49.53	47.92	47.44	47.38	48.16(5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-40	-6	-34	2.14	63%	0.24	25.6	4.87%	0	-0.5	43	INF
10	Apr_7_2016	40.96	49.15	49.58	48.67	48.05	46.97	45.85(-5.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-200	-22	-36	2.04	58%	0.17	34.8	4.86%	0	-1.4	39	INF

11	Apr_6_2016	40.89	49.13	49.93	49.96	49.05	47.5	48.66(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-280	-30	-19	2.33	58%	0.27	53.3	4.94%	0	-0.2	56	INF
12	Apr_5_2016	40.78	48.92	50.2	50.73	50.32	49.12	47.03(-5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-20	-190	-29	6	2.15	58%	0.25	62.9	4.99%	0	-0.7	61	INF
13	Apr_4_2016	40.68	48.9	50.7	51.52	51.71	50.6	49.92(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-140	-5	38	1.96	57%	0.35	88	4.93%	0	0.4	60	INF
14	Apr_1_2016	40.54	48.72	50.84	51.3	51.35	51.51	51.89(-0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	20	-5	43	2.25	57%	0.42	103.8	5.02%	0	1.1	62	INF
15	Mar_31_2016	40.37	48.33	50.7	50.61	50.91	52.82	52.32(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	280	29	61	1.74	57%	0.47	107.4	5.06%	0	1.4	69	INF

16	Mar_30_2016	40.18	47.83	50.23	49.89	49.68	51.18	52.51(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	200	28	58	1.8	55%	0.48	106.9	5.06%	0	1.6	70	INF
17	Mar_29_2016	39.99	47.25	49.49	49.68	48.78	49.01	50.94(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-20	5	50	2.07	55%	0.45	107.3	5.09%	0	1.2	70	INF
18	Mar_28_2016	39.81	46.58	49.09	49.84	49.18	48.17	48.86(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-180	-12	49	2.32	55%	0.38	89.1	5.06%	0	0.6	58	INF
19	Mar_24_2016	39.66	45.97	48.99	50.33	49.91	48.55	48.4(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-220	-25	56	1.49	55%	0.38	75.6	5.1%	0	0.5	57	INF
20	Mar_23_2016	39.51	45.43	48.68	50.78	50.87	50.2	48.76(-5.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-90	-9	73	0.32	55%	0.38	74.7	5.14%	0	0.7	64	INF

21	Mar_22_2016	39.36	44.85	48.31	50.52	51	51.28	51.44(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	70	16	87	0.25	57%	0.54	70.1	5.14%	0	1.3	73	INF
22	Mar_21_2016	39.15	44.12	47.55	49.2	49.67	51.54	51.72(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	290	26	81	0.25	57%	0.57	65.9	5.18%	0	1.5	76	INF
23	Mar_18_2016	38.93	43.48	46.95	48.23	47.93	50.72	51.32(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	390	40	96	0.48	57%	0.57	68.5	5.23%	0	1.6	81	INF
24	Mar_17_2016	38.71	42.73	46.4	47.5	46.81	47.8	50.64(6.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	100	38	113	0.52	57%	0.57	73.3	5.27%	0	1.7	82	INF
25	Mar_16_2016	38.49	42.04	45.7	46.35	46.16	45.14	47.48(5.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-170	-0	102	0.57	55%		75.7	5.25%	0	1.3	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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