Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $54.4200 (-1.34%) ($54.1200 - $54.9900) on Thu. Apr. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.9% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $54.4200(-1.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -2.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.45% (StdDev 4.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.01(4.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.44(7.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.53(7.7%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   77.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 4.57% (three month std-dev: 4.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.25%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 3.79%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -4.65%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 3.46%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.43%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2016	41.7	50.53	50.44	52.01	52.82	54.74	54.42(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	39	300	40	37	1.51	66%	0.41	61.7	4.9%	0	1.7	63	INF
2	Apr_13_2016	41.53	50.18	50.16	50.29	51.27	53.16	55.16(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	42	320	47	25	2.82	64%	0.46	48.6	4.91%	0	2.3	63	INF
3	Apr_12_2016	41.34	49.66	49.81	48.99	49.14	50.9	52.35(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	260	30	2	2.01	63%	0.36	34.7	4.91%	0	1.2	51	INF
4	Apr_11_2016	41.19	49.39	49.63	47.93	48.18	49.39	49.94(3.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	15	190	25	-16	2.02	63%	0.32	22.7	4.88%	0	0.3	46	INF
5	Apr_8_2016	41.06	49.28	49.53	47.92	47.44	47.38	48.16(5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-40	-6	-34	2.14	63%	0.24	25.6	4.87%	0	-0.5	43	INF

6	Apr_7_2016	40.96	49.15	49.58	48.67	48.05	46.97	45.85(-5.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-200	-22	-36	2.04	58%	0.17	34.8	4.86%	0	-1.4	39	INF
7	Apr_6_2016	40.89	49.13	49.93	49.96	49.05	47.5	48.66(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-280	-30	-19	2.33	58%	0.27	53.3	4.94%	0	-0.2	56	INF
8	Apr_5_2016	40.78	48.92	50.2	50.73	50.32	49.12	47.03(-5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-20	-190	-29	6	2.15	58%	0.25	62.9	4.99%	0	-0.7	61	INF
9	Apr_4_2016	40.68	48.9	50.7	51.52	51.71	50.6	49.92(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-140	-5	38	1.96	57%	0.35	88	4.93%	0	0.4	60	INF
10	Apr_1_2016	40.54	48.72	50.84	51.3	51.35	51.51	51.89(-0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	20	-5	43	2.25	57%	0.42	103.8	5.02%	0	1.1	62	INF

11	Mar_31_2016	40.37	48.33	50.7	50.61	50.91	52.82	52.32(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	280	29	61	1.74	57%	0.47	107.4	5.06%	0	1.4	69	INF
12	Mar_30_2016	40.18	47.83	50.23	49.89	49.68	51.18	52.51(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	200	28	58	1.8	55%	0.48	106.9	5.06%	0	1.6	70	INF
13	Mar_29_2016	39.99	47.25	49.49	49.68	48.78	49.01	50.94(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-20	5	50	2.07	55%	0.45	107.3	5.09%	0	1.2	70	INF
14	Mar_28_2016	39.81	46.58	49.09	49.84	49.18	48.17	48.86(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-180	-12	49	2.32	55%	0.38	89.1	5.06%	0	0.6	58	INF
15	Mar_24_2016	39.66	45.97	48.99	50.33	49.91	48.55	48.4(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-220	-25	56	1.49	55%	0.38	75.6	5.1%	0	0.5	57	INF

16	Mar_23_2016	39.51	45.43	48.68	50.78	50.87	50.2	48.76(-5.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-90	-9	73	0.32	55%	0.38	74.7	5.14%	0	0.7	64	INF
17	Mar_22_2016	39.36	44.85	48.31	50.52	51	51.28	51.44(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	70	16	87	0.25	57%	0.54	70.1	5.14%	0	1.3	73	INF
18	Mar_21_2016	39.15	44.12	47.55	49.2	49.67	51.54	51.72(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	290	26	81	0.25	57%	0.57	65.9	5.18%	0	1.5	76	INF
19	Mar_18_2016	38.93	43.48	46.95	48.23	47.93	50.72	51.32(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	390	40	96	0.48	57%	0.57	68.5	5.23%	0	1.6	81	INF
20	Mar_17_2016	38.71	42.73	46.4	47.5	46.81	47.8	50.64(6.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	100	38	113	0.52	57%	0.57	73.3	5.27%	0	1.7	82	INF

21	Mar_16_2016	38.49	42.04	45.7	46.35	46.16	45.14	47.48(5.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-170	-0	102	0.57	55%	0.44	75.7	5.25%	0	1.3	75	INF
22	Mar_15_2016	38.32	41.55	45.2	45.78	45.92	45.82	44.84(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10	-12	107	0.34	53%	0.31	78.9	5.24%	0	0.8	73	INF
23	Mar_14_2016	38.2	41.11	44.83	45.58	45.96	47.18	46.88(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	210	17	129	0.22	53%	0.45	79.4	5.25%	0	1.4	77	INF
24	Mar_11_2016	38.03	40.44	43.88	45.44	45.21	46.02	47.68(6.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	110	17	124	0.33	53%	0.48	75.3	5.3%	0	1.7	68	INF
25	Mar_10_2016	37.85	39.65	42.73	45.17	44.82	44.73	44.88(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-40	3	118	0.59	51%		67.6	5.28%	0	1.2	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.