Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $47.4800 (5.89%) ($43.6800 - $47.8800) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.25% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $47.4800(5.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -2.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.625% (StdDev 5.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.35(2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.7(3.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.04(12.94%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   54.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 9.99% (three month std-dev: 5.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.84%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.33%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.13%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.2%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.29%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	38.49	42.04	45.7	46.35	46.16	45.14	47.48(5.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-170	-0	102	0.57	55%	0.44	75.7	5.25%	0	1.3	75	0
2	Mar_15_2016	38.32	41.55	45.2	45.78	45.92	45.82	44.84(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10	-12	107	0.34	53%	0.31	78.9	5.24%	0	0.8	73	0
3	Mar_14_2016	38.2	41.11	44.83	45.58	45.96	47.18	46.88(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	210	17	129	0.22	53%	0.45	79.4	5.25%	0	1.4	77	0
4	Mar_11_2016	38.03	40.44	43.88	45.44	45.21	46.02	47.68(6.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	110	17	124	0.33	53%	0.48	75.3	5.3%	0	1.7	68	0
5	Mar_10_2016	37.85	39.65	42.73	45.17	44.82	44.73	44.88(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-40	3	118	0.59	51%	0.4	67.6	5.28%	0	1.2	70	0

6	Mar_9_2016	37.7	39.09	41.96	44.97	45.09	44.41	44.64(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-100	1	117	0.32	51%	0.37	63.4	5.33%	0	1.3	68	0
7	Mar_8_2016	37.56	38.51	41.18	44.5	44.7	44.91	43.84(-5.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	50	1	109	0.36	51%	0.35	60.8	5.38%	0	1.3	64	0
8	Mar_7_2016	37.43	38.03	40.49	43.87	44.07	45.77	46.16(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	280	37	120	0.48	51%	0.48	55.2	5.39%	0	2	74	0
9	Mar_4_2016	37.25	37.49	39.75	42.01	42.6	44.48	46.32(5.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	66	350	51	112	0.81	51%	0.54	43.9	5.44%	0	2.5	77	0
10	Mar_3_2016	37.05	36.99	38.73	39.92	40.42	42.37	43.88(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	49	380	37	86	0.34	49%	0.41	36.8	5.44%	0	2.4	78	0

11	Mar_2_2016	36.9	36.58	38.01	38.54	38.84	40.72	42.32(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	360	38	75	0.59	49%	0.35	33.9	5.47%	0	2.4	70	0
12	Mar_1_2016	36.77	36.13	37.51	37.4	37.59	38.48	40.68(10.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	180	27	66	0.47	49%	0.25	23.9	5.5%	0	2.2	69	0
13	Feb_29_2016	36.68	35.93	37	36.64	36.58	36.96	36.84(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	70	-3	47	0.31	45%	0	28.1	5.31%	0	0.5	57	0
14	Feb_26_2016	36.68	35.98	36.71	37.16	36.68	36.7	35.88(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	-30	0	52	0.24	45%	-0.05	45.2	5.35%	0	-0.1	51	0
15	Feb_25_2016	36.7	35.95	36.37	37.31	36.68	36.2	36.96(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-200	-5	38	0.19	45%	0.03	57.9	5.4%	0	0.5	49	0

16	Feb_24_2016	36.69	35.77	36.05	37.35	37.21	36.65	36.66(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-120	-19	25	0.28	45%	0	63.9	5.46%	0	0.4	51	0
17	Feb_23_2016	36.69	35.63	35.71	37.59	37.67	38.22	36.88(-6.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	110	6	38	0.18	45%	0	70	5.54%	0	0.6	59	0
18	Feb_22_2016	36.69	35.42	35.48	37.38	37.63	37.78	39.4(7.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	50	22	34	0.22	47%	0.19	67.1	5.53%	0	1.9	54	0
19	Feb_19_2016	36.62	35.14	35.09	36.21	36.79	37.13	36.64(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	110	12	3	0.22	43%	0.03	52.9	5.44%	0	0.8	46	0
20	Feb_18_2016	36.61	34.87	35.12	35.26	35.89	37.49	37.16(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	370	25	-1	0.25	43%	0.03	28.3	5.51%	0	1.1	55	0

21	Feb_17_2016	36.6	34.55	35.02	34.54	34.43	36.44	37.88(5.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	25	400	34	-2	0.43	43%	0.11	7.9	5.59%	0	1.5	60	0
22	Feb_16_2016	36.56	34.28	34.57	33.59	33.64	34.28	35.84(6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	140	23	-23	0.28	40%	-0.05	-9.8	5.57%	0	0.8	56	0
23	Feb_12_2016	36.58	34.06	34.68	33.34	33.02	32.41	33.52(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-160	-13	-29	0.34	36%	-0.27	-20.8	5.48%	0	-0.3	56	0
24	Feb_11_2016	36.68	34.16	35.14	33.85	33.36	33.01	31.92(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-120	-23	-13	0.5	36%	-0.41	-16.1	5.46%	0	-1	48	0
25	Feb_10_2016	36.83	34.29	35.49	34.94	34.52	33.63	33.56(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-220	-11	22	0.54	36%		-14.8	5.51%	0	-0.3	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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