Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EDC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: EDC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 28, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares)
EDC latest price $40.6800 (10.42%) ($38.9600 - $40.8000) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $40.6800(10.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EDC advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EDC advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EDC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(99%)    VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)
Factors Impacting EDC price   EDC will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.4(8.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.51(8.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.13(12.59%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   32.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EDC price fluctuates within 5.81% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.28%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.61%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -4.82%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.74%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2016	36.77	36.13	37.51	37.4	37.59	38.48	40.68(10.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	180	27	66	0.47	49%	0.25	23.9	5.5%	0	2.2	69	INF
2	Feb_29_2016	36.68	35.93	37	36.64	36.58	36.96	36.84(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	70	-3	47	0.31	45%	0	28.1	5.31%	0	0.5	57	INF
3	Feb_26_2016	36.68	35.98	36.71	37.16	36.68	36.7	35.88(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	-30	0	52	0.24	45%	-0.05	45.2	5.35%	0	-0.1	51	INF
4	Feb_25_2016	36.7	35.95	36.37	37.31	36.68	36.2	36.96(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-200	-5	38	0.19	45%	0.03	57.9	5.4%	0	0.5	49	INF
5	Feb_24_2016	36.69	35.77	36.05	37.35	37.21	36.65	36.66(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-120	-19	25	0.28	45%	0	63.9	5.46%	0	0.4	51	INF

6	Feb_23_2016	36.69	35.63	35.71	37.59	37.67	38.22	36.88(-6.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	110	6	38	0.18	45%	0	70	5.54%	0	0.6	59	INF
7	Feb_22_2016	36.69	35.42	35.48	37.38	37.63	37.78	39.4(7.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	50	22	34	0.22	47%	0.19	67.1	5.53%	0	1.9	54	INF
8	Feb_19_2016	36.62	35.14	35.09	36.21	36.79	37.13	36.64(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	110	12	3	0.22	43%	0.03	52.9	5.44%	0	0.8	46	INF
9	Feb_18_2016	36.61	34.87	35.12	35.26	35.89	37.49	37.16(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	370	25	-1	0.25	43%	0.03	28.3	5.51%	0	1.1	55	INF
10	Feb_17_2016	36.6	34.55	35.02	34.54	34.43	36.44	37.88(5.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	25	400	34	-2	0.43	43%	0.11	7.9	5.59%	0	1.5	60	INF

11	Feb_16_2016	36.56	34.28	34.57	33.59	33.64	34.28	35.84(6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	140	23	-23	0.28	40%	-0.05	-9.8	5.57%	0	0.8	56	INF
12	Feb_12_2016	36.58	34.06	34.68	33.34	33.02	32.41	33.52(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-160	-13	-29	0.34	36%	-0.27	-20.8	5.48%	0	-0.3	56	INF
13	Feb_11_2016	36.68	34.16	35.14	33.85	33.36	33.01	31.92(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-120	-23	-13	0.5	36%	-0.41	-16.1	5.46%	0	-1	48	INF
14	Feb_10_2016	36.83	34.29	35.49	34.94	34.52	33.63	33.56(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-220	-11	22	0.54	36%	-0.3	-14.8	5.51%	0	-0.3	59	INF
15	Feb_9_2016	36.94	34.38	35.52	35.53	35.37	33.71	33.12(-4.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-340	-19	38	0.38	36%	-0.35	-22.3	5.58%	0	-0.6	59	INF

16	Feb_8_2016	37.07	34.48	35.63	35.64	35.91	35.42	34.6(-4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-70	-20	43	0.4	36%	-0.24	-36	5.65%	0	0.1	56	INF
17	Feb_5_2016	37.16	34.48	35.45	36.18	35.96	37.03	36.04(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	190	0	65	0.34	36%	-0.11	-51.2	5.72%	0	0.7	62	INF
18	Feb_4_2016	37.2	34.51	35.27	36.64	36.07	36.41	37.36(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	20	18	78	0.61	36%	0	-65.8	5.81%	0	1.4	53	INF
19	Feb_3_2016	37.2	34.6	34.64	36.17	36.05	34.89	36.52(8.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-240	-1	53	0.4	36%	-0.05	-79.3	5.89%	0	0.8	55	INF
20	Feb_2_2016	37.22	34.85	34.07	35.54	35.99	35.72	33.68(-9.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10	-12	27	0.33	29%	-0.4	-78.5	5.69%	0	-0.4	48	INF

21	Feb_1_2016	37.37	35.25	33.99	35.56	35.78	37.21	37.32(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	300	24	36	0.31	33%	0	0	5.53%	0	0.6	54	INF
22	Jan_29_2016	37.37	35.62	33.38	34.57	34.89	36.26	38.32(9.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	300	32	10	0.61	33%	0.11	0	5.64%	0	0.8	56	INF
23	Jan_28_2016	37.33	35.96	33.02	33.74	33.76	34.35	35(4.79%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	11	120	19	-14	0.31	23%	-0.29	0	5.28%	0	-0.2	47	INF
24	Jan_27_2016	37.44	36.59	32.9	32.92	33.48	33.51	33.4(-1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	60	14	-49	0.4	23%	-0.53	0	5.22%	0	-0.7	36	INF
25	Jan_26_2016	37.64	37.31	33.07	32.38	32.78	33.17	33.76(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	120	4	-81	0.27	23%		0	5.36%	0	-0.7	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.