Trading Signals: ECL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: ECL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ecolab Inc.)
ECL latest price $99.2216 (-1.3%) ($98.5266 - $101.1041) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $99.2216(-1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ECL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ECL declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ECL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(20%)    USO(17%)    XOP(15%)    PCY(14%)    XLB(14%)
Factors Impacting ECL price   ECL will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    XLU(-4%)    GLD(-4%)    VCSH(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $102.66
5 Day Moving Average   $99.82(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.66(-0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.66(-3.35%)
To recent high   -14.3%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $28.318b

Ecolab, Inc. engages in the provision of products and services in the field of water, hygiene, and energy. It operates through the following segments: Global Industrial, Global Institutional, Global Energy, and Others. The Global Industrial segment consists of the water, food and beverage, paper, life sciences and textile care operating segments. It offers water treatment and process applications, and cleaning and sanitizing solutions, primarily to large industrial customers within the manufacturing, food and beverage processing, transportation, chemical, primary metals and mining, power generation, pulp and paper, pharmaceutical and commercial laundry industries. The Global Institutional segment consists of the institutional, specialty and healthcare operating segments. It provides specialized cleaning and sanitizing products to the foodservice, hospitality, lodging, healthcare, government, education and retail industries. The Global Energy segment serves the process chemicals and water treatment needs of the global petroleum and petrochemical industries in both upstream and downstream applications. The Other segment offers services to detect, eliminate and prevent pests, such as rodents and insects. The company was founded by Merritt J. Osborn in 1923 and is headquartered in St. Paul, MN.

$. ECL price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.39%(75%) Average negative next day return: -2.03%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.9%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.6%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	110.06	102.66	99.66	99.82	100.33	99.89	99.22(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-20	-3	-43	1.15	29%	-0.05	-65.5	1.39%	0	-0.8	36	0
2	Jan_26_2016	110.12	103.25	99.93	99.76	99.98	100.22	100.52(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	20	-4	-72	1.15	29%	-0.09	-56.7	1.39%	0	-0.6	30	0
3	Jan_25_2016	110.22	103.79	99.96	99.42	99.5	100.76	99.69(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	90	43	-92	1.21	29%	-0.02	-55.4	1.38%	0	-0.8	29	0
4	Jan_22_2016	110.24	104.41	99.96	99.29	99.28	99.75	101.36(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	30	68	-124	1.56	34%	-0.03	-57.4	1.37%	0	-0.6	28	0
5	Jan_21_2016	110.27	104.85	100.06	99.25	98.74	98.24	98.32(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-80	-50	-37	-210	1.63	28%	-0.05	-55.6	1.34%	0	-1.3	17	0

6	Jan_20_2016	110.33	105.42	100.64	99.5	99.28	98.8	98.89(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-92	-40	-43	-238	1.74	28%	-0.02	-54.5	1.35%	0	-1.2	17	0
7	Jan_19_2016	110.35	105.94	101.59	100.13	100.05	99.24	98.83(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-88	-60	-39	-234	1.43	27%	-0.02	-52.7	1.35%	0	-1.4	20	0
8	Jan_15_2016	110.37	106.58	102.53	100.57	100.68	99.75	99.03(-2.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-103	-60	-56	-243	2.04	27%	-0.06	-55.1	1.36%	0	-1.6	20	0
9	Jan_14_2016	110.44	107.32	103.64	100.91	101.14	100.85	101.19(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-86	-10	-34	-240	1.49	28%	-0.01	-55.2	1.34%	0	-1.3	21	0
10	Jan_13_2016	110.45	107.84	104.62	101	101.35	101.6	99.56(-2.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-67	30	-13	-230	1.4	25%	0	-56.3	1.33%	0	-1.8	24	0

11	Jan_12_2016	110.45	108.39	105.89	101.95	101.62	101.42	102.06(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-72	-20	-26	-211	1.35	27%	0.01	-60.6	1.3%	0	-1.5	33	0
12	Jan_11_2016	110.44	108.75	106.83	103.34	102.4	101.1	101(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-123	-120	-97	-202	1.5	27%	-0.05	-63.2	1.29%	0	-2	32	0
13	Jan_8_2016	110.49	109.31	107.93	104.86	104.41	101.81	100.74(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-154	-190	-143	-186	1.3	31%	-0.06	-63.1	1.29%	0	-2.5	26	0
14	Jan_7_2016	110.56	109.93	109.15	106.79	106.21	103.7	101.63(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-195	-180	-203	-171	1.96	31%	-0.08	-62	1.31%	0	-3	24	0
15	Jan_6_2016	110.65	110.49	110.12	108.75	108.37	107	104.33(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-123	-100	-130	-101	3.84	33%	-0.06	-65.8	1.28%	0	-3	37	0

16	Jan_5_2016	110.72	110.99	110.7	110.36	110.07	108.72	108.99(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-90	-73	-44	1.22	38%	-0.03	-65.2	1.18%	0	-1.3	50	0
17	Jan_4_2016	110.75	111.27	110.71	110.86	110.91	109.75	108.6(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-83	-70	-97	-40	1.77	38%	-0.03	-52.8	1.19%	0	-1.7	53	0
18	Dec_31_2015	110.78	111.52	111	111.49	111.61	111.42	110.42(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10	-40	-2	0.97	47%	0	-42.7	1.19%	0	-0.7	48	0
19	Dec_30_2015	110.78	111.7	111.32	111.9	111.84	112.08	111.43(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	10	14	34	0.53	47%	0	-37.8	1.22%	0	-0.2	47	0
20	Dec_29_2015	110.78	111.87	111.29	111.71	111.85	111.79	112.36(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	0	30	33	0.67	47%	0	-37.6	1.22%	0	0.3	50	0

21	Dec_28_2015	110.78	111.97	111.02	111.09	111.3	111.6	111.47(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	20	7	-8	0.48	43%	0.01	-42.7	1.23%	0	-0.3	44	0
22	Dec_24_2015	110.77	112.11	110.75	110.54	110.82	111.91	111.77(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	30	80	49	-28	0.33	43%	0	-47	1.27%	0	-0.2	42	0
23	Dec_23_2015	110.77	112.24	110.71	110.45	110.32	111	112.47(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	21	40	42	-41	0.82	43%	0.02	-45.7	1.27%	0	0.1	47	0
24	Dec_22_2015	110.75	112.36	110.68	110.72	110.53	109.72	110.46(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-60	-14	-66	0.72	39%	0	-35.2	1.25%	0	-0.9	41	0
25	Dec_21_2015	110.75	112.59	110.82	110.84	111.17	109.64	109.3(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-90	-77	-101	0.91	39%		-28.4	1.26%	0	-1.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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