Trading Signals: ECL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: ECL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ecolab Inc.)
ECL latest price $109.0143 (0.04%) ($108.7486 - $109.4793) on Thu. Sep. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $109.0143(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ECL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ECL advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ECL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(25%)    XLB(21%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)
Factors Impacting ECL price   ECL will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    GLD(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.85(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.62(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.23(1.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $31.113b

Ecolab, Inc. engages in the provision of products and services in the field of water, hygiene, and energy. It operates through the following segments: Global Industrial, Global Institutional, Global Energy, and Others. The Global Industrial segment consists of the water, food and beverage, paper, life sciences and textile care operating segments. It offers water treatment and process applications, and cleaning and sanitizing solutions, primarily to large industrial customers within the manufacturing, food and beverage processing, transportation, chemical, primary metals and mining, power generation, pulp and paper, pharmaceutical and commercial laundry industries. The Global Institutional segment consists of the institutional, specialty and healthcare operating segments. It provides specialized cleaning and sanitizing products to the foodservice, hospitality, lodging, healthcare, government, education and retail industries. The Global Energy segment serves the process chemicals and water treatment needs of the global petroleum and petrochemical industries in both upstream and downstream applications. The Other segment offers services to detect, eliminate and prevent pests, such as rodents and insects. The company was founded by Merritt J. Osborn in 1923 and is headquartered in St. Paul, MN.

$. ECL price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.54%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -1.67%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.91%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2014	103.47	107.23	108.62	108.85	108.91	109.02	109.01(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	10	21	77	0.59	54%	0.08	69.1	0.62%	0	0.9	79	0
2	Sep_3_2014	103.39	106.95	108.51	108.85	108.72	108.93	108.97(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	10	15	87	0.59	54%	0.09	63.3	0.62%	0	0.9	82	0
3	Sep_2_2014	103.3	106.64	108.41	108.7	108.62	108.8	108.79(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	10	21	122	0.7	54%	0.16	57.3	0.62%	0	1	85	0
4	Aug_29_2014	103.14	106.39	108.3	108.69	108.67	108.51	108.95(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	-10	15	153	0.59	54%	0.09	54	0.62%	0	1.1	88	0
5	Aug_28_2014	103.05	106.13	108.07	108.47	108.62	108.43	108.54(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	23	-10	-22	156	0.69	54%	0.08	49.3	0.62%	0	1.1	88	0

6	Aug_27_2014	102.97	105.85	107.85	108.35	108.49	108.83	108.25(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	59	30	12	199	0.64	54%	0.09	45.3	0.62%	0	1.1	90	0
7	Aug_26_2014	102.88	105.62	107.6	108.28	108.33	108.8	109(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	116	30	73	244	0.67	56%	0.09	45.4	0.62%	0	1.6	86	0
8	Aug_25_2014	102.79	105.37	107.16	108.08	108.04	108.15	108.72(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	89	10	39	240	0.67	56%	0.07	45.8	0.62%	0	1.7	87	0
9	Aug_22_2014	102.72	105.18	106.68	107.85	107.88	107.85	107.85(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	-0	5	222	0.54	54%	0.05	50.6	0.62%	0	1.4	73	0
10	Aug_21_2014	102.67	105.02	106.26	107.61	107.8	107.92	107.95(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	79	10	31	223	0.71	57%	0.05	50.6	0.62%	0	1.7	74	0

11	Aug_20_2014	102.62	104.84	105.73	107.27	107.38	107.91	107.88(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	95	40	55	213	0.67	62%	0.05	50.3	0.63%	0	1.9	76	0
12	Aug_19_2014	102.57	104.65	105.27	106.81	106.91	107.67	108(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	130	50	108	196	0.62	58%	0.06	45.4	0.69%	0	2.3	70	0
13	Aug_18_2014	102.51	104.45	104.73	106.09	106.22	106.86	107.6(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	116	50	105	149	0.81	58%	0.07	36.9	0.71%	0	2.5	65	0
14	Aug_15_2014	102.44	104.24	104.31	105.33	105.39	106.16	106.62(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88	50	85	97	1.12	55%	0.07	22.8	0.7%	0	2.3	53	0
15	Aug_14_2014	102.37	104.14	104	104.71	104.76	105.58	106.24(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	108	60	119	75	0.71	55%	0.05	11.5	0.71%	0	2.3	54	0

16	Aug_13_2014	102.32	104.03	103.65	103.96	104.03	104.62	105.58(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	65	40	82	13	0.67	55%	0.03	-12.8	0.7%	0	1.9	52	0
17	Aug_12_2014	102.29	103.98	103.45	103.51	103.52	103.95	104.39(0.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	39	30	60	-23	0.57	52%	0	-31	0.69%	0	0.6	49	0
18	Aug_11_2014	102.29	103.99	103.41	103.16	103.21	103.44	103.79(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	20	34	-52	0.56	52%	-0.01	-45.1	0.69%	0	-0.3	46	0
19	Aug_8_2014	102.3	104.01	103.54	103.15	103.04	103.08	103.53(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-0	6	-53	0.61	52%	0	-47.9	0.69%	0	-0.6	49	0
20	Aug_7_2014	102.3	104.04	103.67	103.19	103.07	102.97	102.52(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10	-5	-56	0.59	49%	-0.01	-52.9	0.69%	0	-2.1	37	0

21	Aug_6_2014	102.31	104.14	103.89	103.28	103.1	102.99	103.29(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10	-24	-57	0.82	49%	-0.02	-61.3	0.69%	0	-1.3	44	0
22	Aug_5_2014	102.33	104.21	104.01	103.37	103.29	103.17	102.66(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10	-24	-57	0.62	49%	-0.01	-68.3	0.7%	0	-2.5	36	0
23	Aug_4_2014	102.34	104.32	104.19	103.68	103.56	103.22	103.73(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	-30	-39	-52	0.65	52%	0.01	-72.5	0.69%	0	-1.1	44	0
24	Aug_1_2014	102.33	104.36	104.21	104	103.94	103.41	103.73(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-40	-62	-51	0.65	52%	0.02	-44	0.69%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Jul_31_2014	102.31	104.43	104.31	104.24	104.39	103.9	102.98(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-56	-30	-63	-34	1.25	50%		-4.1	0.69%	0	-2.8	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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