Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EBS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 1, 2021

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $102.2000 (6.46%) ($98.0100 - $102.3000) on Mon. Mar. 1, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.34% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $102.2000(6.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -10.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    IWO(46%)    IWM(45%)    IWC(43%)    FIVG(41%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-10%)    IGOV(-8%)    TBT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.67% (StdDev 3.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $83.18(-18.61%)
Resistance Level   $111.89
5 Day Moving Average   $97.53(4.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.58(-2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.89(-8.66%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   26%
Market Cap   $5.406b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 9.63% (three month std-dev: 3.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.74%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.14%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -4.09%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 7.4%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.58%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2021	97.38	111.89	104.58	97.53	98.25	98.29	102.2(6.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	20	38	-177	0.74	58%	-0.07	-28.3	3.34%	0	-0.9	32	1
2	Feb_26_2021	97.45	112.21	106.72	96.64	96.28	97.31	96(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	60	-32	-210	0.55	55%	-0.15	-31.4	3.22%	0	-1.5	33	0.5
3	Feb_25_2021	97.6	112.95	109.48	98.04	97.21	98.21	97.15(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-40	50	5	-173	0.51	55%	-0.12	-30.6	3.24%	0	-1.6	35	0.2
4	Feb_24_2021	97.72	113.58	111.82	102.03	99	95.26	98.8(5.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-112	-350	-90	-178	0.56	55%	-0.13	-21.9	3.23%	0	-1.6	35	1.4
5	Feb_23_2021	97.85	114.22	113.98	106.77	104.14	96.22	93.49(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-202	-610	-207	-186	1.31	51%	-0.13	-7.5	3.16%	0	-2.4	29	1.3

6	Feb_22_2021	97.98	115.03	117.14	112.72	111.49	102.75	97.74(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-212	-580	-237	-137	1.27	53%	-0.03	13.3	3.14%	0	-2.3	34	1.1
7	Feb_19_2021	98.01	115.64	119.36	118.21	117.66	112.07	103.04(-11.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-165	-350	-200	-58	2.11	56%	-0.03	39.1	3.08%	0	-1.9	52	1.5
8	Feb_18_2021	98.04	116.09	120.93	122.37	122.35	120.22	117.06(-4.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-39	-120	-71	58	0.33	61%	0.14	63.8	2.63%	0	0.2	65	1.3
9	Feb_17_2021	97.9	115.66	121.1	122.94	123.26	123.24	122.51(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	10	-13	108	0.32	64%	0.19	68.3	2.66%	0	1	74	1.4
10	Feb_16_2021	97.71	114.88	120.55	122.33	122.7	124.48	123.23(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	110	31	135	0.33	64%	0.16	72.1	2.67%	0	1.3	70	1.2

11	Feb_12_2021	97.55	114.03	119.82	122.37	121.96	123.28	125.19(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	91	70	64	172	0.33	61%	0.28	81	2.64%	0	1.7	76	1.5
12	Feb_11_2021	97.28	113.04	118.04	120.85	121.12	120.93	123.87(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	-0	30	143	0.47	61%	0.24	83.1	2.69%	0	1.8	73	1.3
13	Feb_10_2021	97.05	112.19	116.52	119.36	119.74	120.64	119.92(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	60	-2	115	0.38	60%	0.2	92	2.66%	0	1.4	64	1
14	Feb_9_2021	96.86	111.36	115.31	118.97	118.97	121.32	119.44(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	81	140	62	138	0.63	60%	0.21	96.8	2.69%	0	1.4	66	1.1
15	Feb_8_2021	96.66	110.35	114.3	118.44	117.84	118.84	123.45(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	40	64	141	0.65	62%	0.25	96.2	2.68%	0	2.2	73	1.1

16	Feb_5_2021	96.42	109.03	112.55	116.91	116.7	116.62	117.55(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10	22	109	0.43	56%	0.17	99.2	2.7%	0	1.5	69	1.1
17	Feb_4_2021	96.26	108.18	111.5	114.77	115.61	116.84	116.43(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	100	35	94	0.53	59%	0.16	98.2	2.71%	0	1.5	69	1.1
18	Feb_3_2021	96.11	107.26	110.81	113.18	113.46	116.77	117.98(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	210	79	97	0.67	59%	0.17	96.7	2.79%	0	1.9	67	0.7
19	Feb_2_2021	95.95	106.2	109.74	111.05	111.38	114.38	116.79(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	107	200	111	96	0.44	59%	0.14	94	2.79%	0	2	71	-0.1
20	Feb_1_2021	95.82	105.02	108.69	109.56	109.04	110.16	115.79(8.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	60	53	72	0.66	59%	0.19	84.8	2.8%	0	2	75	-1.3

21	Jan_29_2021	95.64	103.72	107.67	107.68	108.22	108.38	106.85(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	30	13	56	0.44	54%	0.08	77.7	2.61%	0	0.6	71	-2.7
22	Jan_28_2021	95.56	103.05	107.61	107.73	107.8	107.93	108.49(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	10	-2	63	0.44	54%	0.05	63.7	2.6%	0	0.9	64	-2.2
23	Jan_27_2021	95.51	102.17	107.52	108.05	107.56	108.06	107.31(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	20	2	88	0.5	54%	0.03	59.9	2.65%	0	0.8	67	-3
24	Jan_26_2021	95.48	101.43	107.17	108.16	107.93	107.68	109.37(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-20	19	113	0.5	54%	0.15	53.8	2.64%	0	1.2	72	0.3
25	Jan_25_2021	95.34	100.64	106.17	107.66	107.59	107.05	106.37(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-40	-25	105	0.51	52%		51	2.62%	0	0.9	74	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.