Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $86.4400 (-3.44%) ($86.2600 - $89.5600) on Tue. May. 19, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.08% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $86.4400(-3.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    IWO(44%)    FIVG(40%)    IWM(40%)    ONLN(40%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -3.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    IYT(-5%)    TBT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.04% (StdDev 6.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.26(2.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.83(4.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.96(9.47%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   75.2%
Market Cap   $4.573b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 7.65% (three month std-dev: 6.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(46%) Average negative next day return: -2.86%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 3.68%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -3.76%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 6.37%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.93%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2020	62.58	78.96	82.83	84.26	84.47	87.91	86.44(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	290	36	59	0.41	58%	0.55	78.6	6.08%	0	1.2	76	0.9
2	May_18_2020	62.24	78	82.12	83.26	82.99	84.86	89.52(7.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	44	150	39	59	0.67	58%	0.58	78.4	6.06%	0	1.9	78	1.4
3	May_15_2020	61.88	77.01	81.05	82.27	82.24	81.03	83.35(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-100	-0	39	0.46	56%	0.49	85.2	6%	0	1.1	60	1
4	May_14_2020	61.58	76.21	80.58	81.75	82.54	81.12	80.84(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-90	-18	35	0.39	56%	0.33	81.9	6.04%	0	0.8	67	0.8
5	May_13_2020	61.38	75.38	79.95	81.43	82.59	83.46	81.14(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	120	0	50	0.64	56%	0.44	77	6.04%	0	0.9	76	0.1

6	May_12_2020	61.11	74.49	79.28	81.1	81.93	83.97	81.47(-3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	200	27	70	0.76	56%	0.44	76.6	6.04%	0	1	77	1.2
7	May_11_2020	60.84	73.6	78.68	80.7	80.65	81.71	84.55(4.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	90	23	78	0.5	56%	0.53	75.2	6.02%	0	1.6	81	2.3
8	May_8_2020	60.52	72.47	78.01	79.69	79.94	79.89	80.73(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	7	77	0.39	56%	0.46	78.9	5.95%	0	1.3	69	2
9	May_7_2020	60.24	71.56	77.27	79.29	79.44	79.59	79.25(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	20	4	83	0.4	56%	0.47	82.5	5.99%	0	1.2	71	1.4
10	May_6_2020	59.96	70.7	76.09	78.23	78.84	79.99	79.48(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	130	18	87	0.37	56%	0.45	84.1	6%	0	1.3	76	0.8

11	May_5_2020	59.69	69.69	74.85	77.12	77.43	79.29	79.51(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	180	23	88	0.5	57%	0.51	79.9	6%	0	1.5	77	1.1
12	May_4_2020	59.39	68.76	73.61	76.3	76.24	77.69	79.5(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	130	18	87	0.59	58%	0.49	85.1	6.01%	0	1.7	74	0.5
13	May_1_2020	59.1	67.66	72.64	76.12	76.27	75.58	78.7(6.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-60	9	97	0.78	59%	0.42	92.4	5.99%	0	1.8	75	0.4
14	Apr_30_2020	58.85	66.56	71.46	75.04	76.77	74.78	73.95(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-110	-9	91	0.48	58%	0.38	90.6	5.95%	0	1.2	70	1.3
15	Apr_29_2020	58.63	65.6	70.46	73.56	76.34	76.96	73.95(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	170	2	88	0.71	58%	0.36	80.3	5.96%	0	1.3	71	1.7

16	Apr_28_2020	58.42	64.78	69.36	72.09	74.41	78.75	75.41(-4.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	500	48	101	0.61	58%	0.38	77.1	5.95%	0	1.7	77	1.2
17	Apr_27_2020	58.2	63.73	68.14	70.4	71.62	75.72	78.58(7.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	78	450	70	101	1.38	57%	0.43	75.6	5.93%	0	2.5	75	1.4
18	Apr_24_2020	57.95	62.33	66.42	68.73	68.86	70.07	73.3(10.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	130	33	80	1.54	55%	0.36	76	5.91%	0	2	76	0.9
19	Apr_23_2020	57.74	61.5	65.3	67.5	67.87	67.52	66.57(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-20	4	70	0.36	52%	0.23	82.3	5.81%	0	1	72	0.4
20	Apr_22_2020	57.61	60.91	64.85	66.9	67.44	67.65	66.6(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	50	5	78	0.28	52%	0.24	78	5.81%	0	1.2	76	0.3

21	Apr_21_2020	57.47	60.36	64.14	66.09	66.28	68.22	66.96(-4.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	210	20	81	0.29	53%	0.23	73.5	5.81%	0	1.4	66	-0.2
22	Apr_20_2020	57.34	59.51	63.57	65.4	64.86	67.23	70.2(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	230	41	96	0.43	53%	0.28	59	5.79%	0	2.1	75	0.6
23	Apr_17_2020	57.18	58.45	62.29	63.76	63.5	64.35	67.16(5.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	80	25	87	0.45	53%	0.19	32.8	5.81%	0	1.8	77	1.2
24	Apr_16_2020	57.07	57.73	61.27	62.86	62.66	62.49	63.56(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-30	0	70	0.49	53%	0.16	26.5	5.77%	0	1.3	59	1.1
25	Apr_15_2020	56.98	57.3	60.38	62.53	62.65	62.66	62.58(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	10	4	70	0.3	53%		28.7	5.77%	0	1.2	62	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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