Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $38.3400 (-0.05%) ($37.4200 - $38.8300) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $38.3400(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IWM(44%)    IVW(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    XHB(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $40.44
5 Day Moving Average   $39.77(-3.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.47(-5.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.44(-5.19%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $2.028b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.48%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.27%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	37.6	40.44	40.47	39.77	39.42	38.25	38.34(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-230	-43	-49	0.53	58%	0.11	-13.9	2.2%	0	-1.8	45	0
2	Nov_15_2017	37.56	40.55	40.67	40.22	39.98	39.36	38.36(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-44	-130	-47	-34	1.68	61%	0.13	-1.9	2.2%	0	-2	48	0
3	Nov_14_2017	37.51	40.66	40.89	40.74	40.53	40.58	40.44(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10	9	9	0.26	66%	0.16	11.9	2.13%	0	-0.2	54	0
4	Nov_13_2017	37.45	40.65	40.95	40.4	40.42	40.6	40.87(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	30	-8	-5	0.28	66%	0.19	0.8	2.13%	0	0.2	55	0
5	Nov_10_2017	37.38	40.63	40.96	40.88	40.45	40.47	40.86(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-30	-14	17	0.25	63%	0.19	16.1	2.13%	0	0.2	55	0

6	Nov_9_2017	37.31	40.6	40.94	41.31	41.17	40.23	40.57(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-170	-11	35	0.33	63%	0.19	28	2.17%	0	-0	52	0
7	Nov_8_2017	37.24	40.57	40.9	41.21	41.8	40.43	40.96(5.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-22	-190	-36	20	0.51	60%	0.24	22.6	2.17%	0	0.4	54	0
8	Nov_7_2017	37.15	40.55	40.82	41.06	41.86	42.12	38.74(-10.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-23	100	-35	15	0.62	58%	0.16	18.1	2.09%	0	-1.9	46	0
9	Nov_6_2017	37.09	40.64	40.98	41.51	41.82	43.16	43.26(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	77	250	72	90	0.6	70%	0.32	30.9	1.64%	0	3	74	0
10	Nov_3_2017	36.97	40.48	40.64	41.06	41.2	41.6	43.03(7.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	59	80	59	59	1.63	70%	0.33	16.1	1.64%	0	3.9	66	0

11	Nov_2_2017	36.85	40.33	40.37	40.57	40.68	40.47	40.05(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-6	-30	-12	11	0.37	65%	0.22	-9.5	1.38%	0	-0.9	48	0
12	Nov_1_2017	36.77	40.36	40.4	40.56	40.7	40.8	40.2(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	6	30	1	19	0.23	65%	0.22	-1.4	1.39%	0	-0.6	55	0
13	Oct_31_2017	36.69	40.36	40.41	40.53	40.53	40.9	40.99(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	60	22	25	0.32	68%	0.25	5.1	1.37%	0	1.9	55	0
14	Oct_30_2017	36.6	40.36	40.31	40.35	40.34	40.59	41.01(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	24	40	27	14	0.21	68%	0.25	17.2	1.37%	0	1.8	57	0
15	Oct_27_2017	36.51	40.37	40.26	40.35	40.14	40.17	40.6(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	0	3	-5	0.24	68%	0.25	41.8	1.37%	0	0.7	53	0

16	Oct_26_2017	36.42	40.37	40.26	40.16	40.15	40.09	39.98(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10	-6	-11	0.16	67%	0.22	67.9	1.36%	0	-1.1	43	0
17	Oct_25_2017	36.34	40.37	40.22	40.22	40.29	40.12	40.09(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-20	-3	-12	0.19	67%	0.25	102.4	1.36%	0	-0.8	44	0
18	Oct_24_2017	36.25	40.36	40.26	40.22	40.26	40.2	40.08(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10	-11	-14	0.25	67%	0.22	98.3	1.37%	0	-0.6	43	0
19	Oct_23_2017	36.17	40.3	40.28	40.25	40.26	40.47	40.05(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	30	1	-15	0.25	67%	0.22	89.3	1.37%	0	-0.4	37	0
20	Oct_20_2017	36.09	40.24	40.31	40.36	40.31	40.33	40.58(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-0	9	-16	0.32	69%	0.25	83.8	1.36%	0	0.5	37	0

21	Oct_19_2017	36	40.14	40.3	40.3	40.3	40.14	40.3(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-30	-3	-23	0.21	71%	0.22	68	1.41%	0	0.2	49	0
22	Oct_18_2017	35.92	40.02	40.31	40.22	40.33	40.3	40.26(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	0	-7	-24	0.17	71%	0.22	56.1	1.43%	0	0.2	56	0
23	Oct_17_2017	35.84	39.9	40.34	40.26	40.33	40.47	40.08(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	30	2	-13	0.17	71%	0.11	50.2	1.44%	0	0.2	53	0
24	Oct_16_2017	35.8	39.78	40.43	40.31	40.3	40.36	40.57(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	11	14	0.23	71%	0.25	45	1.44%	0	0.7	69	0
25	Oct_13_2017	35.71	39.65	40.49	40.26	40.24	40.13	40.31(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-20	-7	30	0.22	71%		44.5	1.43%	0	0.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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