Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $40.5600 (-0.95%) ($40.4800 - $41.1500) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $40.5600(-0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    IWO(46%)    IWF(44%)    IWM(44%)    IVW(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.63(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.71(2.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.82(4.48%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $2.146b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -0.84%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.7%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.17%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	34.97	38.82	39.71	40.63	40.73	40.93	40.56(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	40	8	161	0.25	74%	0.26	80	1.43%	0	1.3	73	0
2	Oct_3_2017	34.88	38.62	39.43	40.51	40.49	40.96	40.95(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	71	80	39	165	0.36	74%	0.29	79.1	1.43%	0	1.8	77	0
3	Oct_2_2017	34.78	38.39	39.08	40.07	40.08	40.52	41.31(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	80	48	135	0.29	74%	0.29	76.8	1.43%	0	2.4	75	0
4	Sep_29_2017	34.68	38.16	38.72	39.52	39.54	40.02	40.45(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	54	90	38	103	0.33	68%	0.29	81.1	1.41%	0	2.2	76	0
5	Sep_28_2017	34.58	38	38.46	39.1	39.12	39.64	39.87(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	90	46	84	0.26	70%	0.26	87.6	1.44%	0	2.1	74	0

6	Sep_27_2017	34.49	37.81	38.27	38.66	38.66	39.06	39.97(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	46	70	41	60	0.4	65%	0.23	80.2	1.5%	0	2.5	76	0
7	Sep_26_2017	34.41	37.61	38.07	38.19	38.19	38.61	38.77(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	80	26	43	0.21	62%	0.26	72.9	1.53%	0	1.5	78	0
8	Sep_25_2017	34.32	37.48	38.03	37.93	37.89	38.27	38.55(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	70	25	47	0.2	62%	0.26	72.1	1.53%	0	1.4	77	0
9	Sep_22_2017	34.23	37.34	37.94	37.8	37.67	37.77	38.34(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	10	10	40	0.15	64%	0.23	70	1.55%	0	1.2	64	0
10	Sep_21_2017	34.15	37.23	37.87	37.74	37.7	37.51	37.67(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-40	-8	33	0.18	66%	0.21	72.3	1.54%	0	0.5	55	0

11	Sep_20_2017	34.08	37.13	37.86	37.83	37.85	37.58	37.62(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-16	48	0.39	66%	0.24	66.7	1.61%	0	0.6	66	0
12	Sep_19_2017	34	37.05	37.76	37.93	38.03	37.89	37.48(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-20	-17	58	0.29	67%	0.21	67.7	1.61%	0	0.5	65	0
13	Sep_18_2017	33.93	36.93	37.67	38.13	38.17	38.13	37.87(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-0	1	80	0.16	67%	0.24	67	1.62%	0	0.9	68	0
14	Sep_15_2017	33.85	36.78	37.59	38.09	38.13	38.17	38.06(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	10	4	93	0.39	65%	0.24	63.9	1.61%	0	1.2	73	0
15	Sep_14_2017	33.77	36.65	37.52	38	38.03	38.21	38.11(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	40	10	102	0.2	65%	0.24	68.8	1.64%	0	1.4	69	0

16	Sep_13_2017	33.69	36.55	37.32	37.9	37.85	38.09	38.15(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	40	24	109	0.45	65%	0.24	75.4	1.65%	0	1.6	72	0
17	Sep_12_2017	33.61	36.44	37.12	37.56	37.55	37.85	38.48(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	60	27	96	0.33	65%	0.3	76	1.65%	0	2.2	71	0
18	Sep_11_2017	33.51	36.26	36.88	37.14	37.19	37.62	37.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	35	80	19	84	0.17	63%	0.27	65	1.63%	0	1.6	73	0
19	Sep_8_2017	33.42	36.1	36.69	37.03	36.95	37.25	37.64(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	50	20	89	0.21	63%	0.27	57.1	1.63%	0	1.8	74	0
20	Sep_7_2017	33.33	35.93	36.53	36.96	36.85	36.75	37.58(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-30	13	90	0.32	63%	0.27	48.6	1.64%	0	1.9	65	0

21	Sep_6_2017	33.24	35.8	36.33	36.67	36.82	36.65	36.47(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-20	-5	62	0.22	61%	0.24	41.7	1.61%	0	0.8	52	0
22	Sep_5_2017	33.16	35.74	36.27	36.59	36.71	36.95	36.39(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	60	4	60	0.29	61%	0.24	35.7	1.61%	0	0.8	52	0
23	Sep_1_2017	33.08	35.72	36.13	36.55	36.52	36.98	37.05(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	90	29	69	0.18	63%	0.24	33.8	1.6%	0	1.7	65	0
24	Aug_31_2017	33	35.62	35.91	36.3	36.29	36.47	37.33(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	30	26	58	0.27	63%	0.27	19.6	1.59%	0	2.4	70	0
25	Aug_30_2017	32.91	35.5	35.71	36.05	36.05	36.06	36.1(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	0	4	49	0.37	60%		5.4	1.56%	0	1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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