Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $30.4000 (-2.22%) ($29.3300 - $31.2700) on Wed. Jan. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.78% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $30.4000(-2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IVW(43%)    IWF(43%)    IWM(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.89% (StdDev 3.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

Resistance Level   $33.48
5 Day Moving Average   $32.3(-5.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.7(-7.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.48(-9.2%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   23.6%
Market Cap   $1.608b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 4.15% (three month std-dev: 3.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(80%) Average negative next day return: -5.07%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.76%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.43%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.13%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2017	29.54	33.48	32.7	32.3	32.37	31.06	30.4(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-40	-280	-36	-50	0.55	51%	0.1	41.4	3.78%	0	-2.2	29	0
2	Jan_10_2017	29.51	33.65	32.94	33	33.22	32.41	31.09(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-29	-150	-27	-35	0.63	53%	0.1	89.5	3.77%	0	-2.2	38	0
3	Jan_9_2017	29.48	33.74	33.21	33.42	33.22	33.68	32.04(-7.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	20	-7	-26	0.92	53%	0.14	147.7	3.76%	0	-1.7	34	0
4	Jan_6_2017	29.44	33.54	33.37	33.58	33.71	34.02	34.66(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	80	11	-26	0.79	57%	0.24	163.7	3.65%	0	1.1	42	0
5	Jan_5_2017	29.37	33.16	33.29	33.3	33.43	33.75	33.31(-1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	80	9	-37	0.44	55%	0.24	87.6	3.62%	0	0.1	44	0

6	Jan_4_2017	29.3	32.91	33.45	33.18	33.19	33.39	33.88(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	40	11	-37	0.35	55%	0.27	63.7	3.62%	0	0.4	49	0
7	Jan_3_2017	29.22	32.61	33.46	32.91	32.93	33.1	33.23(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	40	1	-46	0.45	55%	0.27	53.3	3.61%	0	0.2	51	0
8	Dec_30_2016	29.14	32.3	33.71	32.98	32.91	32.99	32.84(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	10	0	-30	0.26	61%	0.17	40.1	3.61%	0	0.2	55	0
9	Dec_29_2016	29.09	31.99	34	33.11	32.99	32.77	33.24(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-60	-5	7	0.25	58%	0.21	34.2	3.98%	0	0.4	76	0
10	Dec_28_2016	29.03	31.69	34.13	33.29	33.22	32.83	32.69(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-90	-16	40	0.25	59%	0.1	31.8	4.03%	0	0.3	77	0

11	Dec_27_2016	29	31.48	34.3	33.77	33.75	33.22	32.54(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-110	-13	83	0.31	59%	0.07	34	4.03%	0	0.3	69	0
12	Dec_23_2016	28.98	31.28	34.43	34.09	34.19	33.6	33.59(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-110	-18	120	0.38	59%	0.1	36	3.99%	0	0.7	74	0
13	Dec_22_2016	28.95	31.09	34.34	34.54	34.61	34.29	33.5(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-60	-17	167	0.31	59%	0.1	40.3	3.99%	0	0.7	76	0
14	Dec_21_2016	28.92	30.89	33.79	35.01	35.13	34.77	34.15(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	47	-60	-4	200	0.43	59%	0.14	45.4	3.98%	0	0.9	78	0
15	Dec_20_2016	28.88	30.61	33.09	35.09	35.24	34.93	35.07(2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	50	-50	-4	212	0.57	61%	0.14	45.1	3.97%	0	1.3	78	0

16	Dec_19_2016	28.84	30.31	32.39	34.92	35.15	35.48	34.12(-4.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	56	90	3	216	0.57	61%	0.1	43.4	3.98%	0	1.2	68	0
17	Dec_16_2016	28.81	30.05	31.75	34.79	34.86	35.56	35.88(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	150	26	229	1.88	63%	0.17	42.1	3.93%	0	1.8	74	0
18	Dec_15_2016	28.76	29.72	30.79	34.09	34.07	34.82	35.83(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	150	43	202	0.55	63%	0.14	38.4	3.93%	0	2.1	64	0
19	Dec_14_2016	28.72	29.37	29.81	32.37	33.12	34.16	34.57(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	74	290	52	139	0.84	63%	0.1	25.4	3.92%	0	2.1	64	0
20	Dec_13_2016	28.69	29.12	29	30.76	31.2	33.32	34.21(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	58	520	51	80	0.66	63%	0.1	13.4	3.92%	0	2.3	65	0

21	Dec_12_2016	28.66	28.94	28.35	29.47	29.47	32.08	33.47(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	63	620	70	43	0.96	63%	0.1	8.2	3.93%	0	2.3	61	0
22	Dec_9_2016	28.63	28.77	27.77	28.28	28.14	29.09	32.37(18.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	45	220	60	-2	2.09	61%	0.03	4.5	3.93%	0	2.1	59	0
23	Dec_8_2016	28.62	28.66	27.46	27.06	27.06	26.85	27.22(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-50	0	-76	0.36	53%	-0.07	0.4	3.2%	0	-0.9	37	0
24	Dec_7_2016	28.64	28.75	27.68	26.87	26.95	27.18	26.52(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	70	-2	-84	0.58	53%	-0.1	7.3	3.18%	0	-1.5	35	0
25	Dec_6_2016	28.67	28.83	27.91	26.92	26.87	27.26	27.77(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	100	6	-91	0.57	56%		10.9	3.13%	0	-0.7	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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