Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $31.1900 (-2.23%) ($30.6200 - $31.8400) on Fri. Oct. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.76% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $31.1900(-2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IVW(43%)    IWF(43%)    IWM(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    VIXM(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.38% (StdDev 2.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.7(-1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.44(2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.13(7.07%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $1.65b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 6.39% (three month std-dev: 2.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 2.21%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 3.08%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -3.23%(30%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 5.78%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.46%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2016	31.17	29.13	30.44	31.7		31.54	31.19(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-30	-7	136	0.7	66%	-0.26	64.6	2.76%	0	1.1	72	0
2	Oct_6_2016	31.25	28.9	30.17	31.77	31.67	31.85	31.9(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	30	23	163	0.44	66%	-0.26	69.5	2.74%	0	1.7	72	0
3	Oct_5_2016	31.33	28.69	29.84	30.94	31.41	31.8	32.23(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	130	31	142	0.61	66%	-0.22	64.3	2.74%	0	2.1	74	0
4	Oct_4_2016	31.4	28.44	29.46	30.32	30.49	31.48	31.55(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	240	31	131	0.59	66%	-0.22	63.4	2.73%	0	2.1	74	0
5	Oct_3_2016	31.47	28.22	29.09	29.71	29.79	31.01	31.62(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	71	290	53	124	0.72	66%	-0.19	57.8	2.75%	0	2.6	75	0

6	Sep_30_2016	31.53	27.97	28.62	29.01	29.01	29.5	31.53(13.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	52	120	40	86	1.4	66%	-0.16	49.3	2.76%	0	3.3	68	0
7	Sep_29_2016	31.58	27.7	28.19	28.38	28.37	28.57	27.76(-4.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	50	-6	60	0.57	53%	-0.28	42.8	2.2%	0	0.1	59	0
8	Sep_28_2016	31.67	27.65	28.17	28.57	28.42	28.53	29.16(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	10	13	79	0.58	66%	-0.25	46.5	2.11%	0	2	57	0
9	Sep_27_2016	31.75	27.54	27.95	28.46	28.39	28.17	28.5(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-60	-0	61	0.24	52%	-0.28	43	2.15%	0	1.4	55	0
10	Sep_26_2016	31.84	27.48	27.78	28.36	28.42	28.31	28.1(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-20	2	48	0.24	52%	-0.25	39.7	2.33%	0	1	56	0

11	Sep_23_2016	31.92	27.45	27.73	28.14	28.29	28.61	28.36(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	100	11	46	0.32	46%	-0.25	28.3	2.38%	0	1.4	61	0
12	Sep_22_2016	32	27.39	27.56	27.96	27.96	28.53	28.74(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	140	24	45	0.37	31%	-0.22	17.2	2.39%	0	2.3	66	0
13	Sep_21_2016	32.07	27.3	27.46	27.7	27.63	27.98	28.59(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	80	18	30	0.84	31%	-0.28	7.5	3.47%	0	2.5	63	0
14	Sep_20_2016	32.16	27.25	27.35	27.38	27.33	27.39	28(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11	10	8	19	0.56	31%	-0.28	-1.3	3.46%	0	1.8	56	0
15	Sep_19_2016	32.25	27.23	27.35	27.14	27.18	27.29	26.99(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	30	-2	6	0.38	27%	-0.31	-14.3	3.43%	0	-0.6	47	0

16	Sep_16_2016	32.35	27.28	27.28	27.25	27.12	27.28	27.49(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	30	7	10	1.1	25%	-0.31	5.7	3.47%	0	0.5	49	0
17	Sep_15_2016	32.45	27.29	27.17	27.09	27.04	27.07	27.45(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	0	-1	-4	0.27	25%	-0.31	-1.2	3.47%	0	0.4	52	0
18	Sep_14_2016	32.55	27.27	27.1	27.18	27.06	26.97	26.95(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-40	-5	-5	0.48	25%	-0.34	-1.2	3.46%	0	-0.7	50	0
19	Sep_13_2016	32.66	27.25	27.11	27.32	27.25	27.02	26.81(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-70	-5	-3	0.24	24%	-0.37	-21	3.47%	0	-0.9	44	0
20	Sep_12_2016	32.78	27.28	27.11	27.43	27.4	27.14	27.55(3.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-70	-2	0	0.33	24%	-0.33	-37.8	3.46%	0	0.6	47	0

21	Sep_9_2016	32.89	27.25	27.17	27.3	27.43	27.48	26.71(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2	30	0	-6	0.44	23%	-0.33	-73.3	3.44%	0	-1.1	37	0
22	Sep_8_2016	33	27.3	27.23	27.24	27.27	27.65	27.86(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	100	12	-8	0.29	25%	-0.27	-108.3	3.41%	0	1.2	47	0
23	Sep_7_2016	33.09	27.27	27.14	27	26.98	27.38	27.69(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	100	12	-15	0.3	25%	-0.3	-154.5	3.41%	0	0.9	58	0
24	Sep_6_2016	33.19	27.35	27.12	26.87	26.75	26.9	27.35(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	30	4	-18	0.34	25%	-0.42	-113.3	3.41%	0	0	59	0
25	Sep_2_2016	33.33	27.46	27.16	26.9	26.77	26.57	26.9(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-70	-5	-19	0.39	25%		-85.3	3.38%	0	-0.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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