Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $30.5100 (1.6%) ($30.0100 - $30.6300) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.32% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $30.5100(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(46%)    IVW(43%)    IWF(43%)    IWM(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    VIXM(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.66% (StdDev 3.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.63(2.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.34(3.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.33(7.7%)
To recent high   -26.9%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $1.614b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 4.55% (three month std-dev: 3.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	34.85	28.33	29.34	29.63	29.52	29.82	30.51(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	34	60	18	80	0.67	33%	-0.09	-100	3.32%	0	1.7	79	0
2	Jul_20_2016	34.88	28.27	29.08	29.34	29.3	29.17	30.03(4.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	22	-40	4	74	0.54	33%	-0.11	-143.1	3.32%	0	1.4	77	0
3	Jul_19_2016	34.92	28.57	28.85	29.14	29.24	29.22	28.62(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	10	-9	71	0.7	27%	-0.09	-83.8	3.25%	0	0	70	0
4	Jul_18_2016	34.95	28.95	28.73	29.37	29.24	29.43	29.53(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	10	6	97	0.45	27%	-0.14	-66.3	3.24%	0	0.2	85	0
5	Jul_15_2016	35	29.27	28.49	29.22	29.38	29.26	29.45(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10	6	91	1.04	27%	-0.14	-62.7	3.24%	0	0.1	60	0

6	Jul_14_2016	35.05	29.68	28.21	29	29.18	29.32	29.08(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	50	4	68	0.57	27%	-0.2	-57.8	3.25%	0	-0.2	49	0
7	Jul_13_2016	35.12	30.13	27.96	28.78	28.94	29.5	29.03(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	150	17	48	0.6	27%	-0.17	-55.9	3.26%	0	-0.2	45	0
8	Jul_12_2016	35.18	30.61	27.73	28.5	28.52	29.04	29.76(3.41%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	15	130	26	-20	0.8	27%	-0.17	-54.6	3.27%	0	-0.2	27	0
9	Jul_11_2016	35.24	31.04	27.32	27.99	28.02	28.39	28.78(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	100	17	-108	0.74	23%	-0.2	-56.3	3.24%	0	-0.4	23	0
10	Jul_8_2016	35.31	31.56	27.2	27.66	27.64	28.01	28.37(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	90	17	-169	0.6	23%	-0.17	-56.1	3.23%	0	-0.6	23	0

11	Jul_7_2016	35.37	32.17	27.22	27.29	27.31	27.64	27.94(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-48	90	14	-233	0.41	23%	-0.2	-55.5	3.23%	0	-0.7	18	0
12	Jul_6_2016	35.44	32.83	27.35	27.03	27.02	27.28	27.67(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-64	70	10	-287	0.44	29%	-0.23	-54.9	3.23%	0	-0.9	17	0
13	Jul_5_2016	35.52	33.51	28.2	26.84	26.87	26.98	27.18(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-65	30	12	-294	0.57	29%	-0.2	-55.2	3.29%	0	-1	14	0
14	Jul_1_2016	35.59	34.23	29.12	26.55	26.65	26.76	27.12(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-81	40	-3	-313	0.7	29%	-0.17	-56.1	3.28%	0	-1.2	16	0
15	Jun_30_2016	35.65	34.95	30.05	26.67	26.67	26.75	26.56(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-88	20	-10	-323	0.87	33%	-0.17	-57.2	3.27%	0	-1.4	12	0

16	Jun_29_2016	35.71	35.7	31.23	27.15	26.95	26.54	26.61(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-95	-130	-20	-320	0.76	38%	-0.14	-58	3.27%	0	-1.6	11	0
17	Jun_28_2016	35.76	36.45	32.44	27.75	27.57	26.59	26.75(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-131	-270	-67	-323	1.49	38%	-0.14	-59	3.36%	0	-1.8	11	0
18	Jun_27_2016	35.81	37.22	33.72	29.82	29.19	27.36	25.73(-7.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-136	-500	-84	-290	1.73	34%	-0.22	-53	3.32%	0	-2.3	5	0
19	Jun_24_2016	35.89	38.05	35.1	32.11	31.76	28.54	27.71(-4.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-135	-740	-94	-256	2.04	38%	-0.22	-48.4	3.23%	0	-2.4	6	0
20	Jun_23_2016	35.97	38.75	36.37	33.93	34.14	31.02	28.95(-2.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-144	-620	-116	-227	2.85	39%	-0.17	-43.8	3.2%	0	-2.7	10	0

21	Jun_22_2016	36.03	39.38	37.63	35.9	36.29	34.98	29.59(-20.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-101	-220	-80	-164	10.15	45%	-0.17	-37	3.22%	0	-3.6	11	0
22	Jun_21_2016	36.09	39.95	38.88	37.75	37.76	37.26	37.14(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-55	-90	-27	-140	0.44	64%	0.08	-30.9	2.11%	0	-1.8	24	0
23	Jun_20_2016	36.06	40.09	39.31	38.22	38.25	37.6	37.14(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-120	-32	-126	0.37	64%	0.08	-22.2	2.11%	0	-2.1	22	0
24	Jun_17_2016	36.03	40.24	39.77	38.59	38.75	38.27	36.81(-5.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-54	-70	-35	-111	0.7	59%	0.08	-8.5	2.12%	0	-2.8	21	0
25	Jun_16_2016	36	40.37	40.24	39.22	39.1	38.9	38.8(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-40	-25	-83	0.52	66%		16.9	2.07%	0	-1.6	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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